novv25

0xa9fe4929d4ea1525ca03bd0ff68ea1fbf9e7f135· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

-$83,738

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-2%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

57%

51 of 89 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$84,177

Capital deployed

$3,943,647

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$13,532

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 4.6/25Sample size 14.6/20Concentration -2.0Total 17.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	50.1¢	$29,287	-$984	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	13.4¢	$24,692	-$10,103	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	25.1¢	$13,081	-$9,551	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	51.3¢	$6,015	-$485	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes	24.9¢	$5,890	+$2,803	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	31.9¢	$1,972	-$1,624	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	23.3¢	$1,671	-$6,781	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$1,010	-$32	Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	7.5¢	$305	-$49	Trade ↗
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	Yes	6.8¢	$195	-$83	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	12.0¢	$45	-$75	Trade ↗
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8.4¢	$8	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Yes	25.0¢	$3	-$11	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	44.0¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	83.2¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	66.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	38.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	57.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	21.3¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	No	55.0¢	$0	-$132	Trade ↗
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	21.1¢	$0	-$99	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	12.6¢	$0	-$6,611	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	9.2¢	$0	-$16,191	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	44.3¢	$0	-$109	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	18.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	30.4¢	$0	-$6,154	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	10.3¢	$0	-$663	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	42.9¢	$0	-$1,716	Trade ↗
Will England win the World Cup?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	4.2¢	$0	-$144	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?	Yes	18.0¢	$0	-$127	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
9d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	Yes	15.0¢	$13,532