PotatoKotato

39Qualified whaleProven trader

0xa7cc00c563726032007221e827bbf7fdb6d7644e· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$54,585

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

69%

147 of 212 resolved

Resolved markets

212

Portfolio value

$77,943

Capital deployed

$2,591,085

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$13,594

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 6.3/30Return 1.8/25Consistency 12.1/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.8Total 39.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	84.0¢	$22,770	+$399	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	93.0¢	$18,709	+$100	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	83.7¢	$12,464	+$547	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	70.8¢	$9,124	+$212	Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	74.0¢	$5,918	+$796	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	55.5¢	$3,510	+$180	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	13.0¢	$1,743	-$70	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	42.0¢	$1,537	+$284	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	81.8¢	$1,323	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	23.8¢	$771	+$309	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	95.0¢	$14	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	25.0¢	$13	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	12.0¢	$12	+$0	Trade ↗
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	30.6¢	$6	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.5¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	43.9¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3.1¢	$5	-$0	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	53.0¢	$4	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$3	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	23.4¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	9.5¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	70.0¢	$1	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4.2¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	20.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	21.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	56.5¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	26.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins	Gentle Mates	59.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	15.8¢	$0	-$186	Trade ↗
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	30.2¢	$0	-$3,522	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	17.5¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner	DN SOOPers	41.0¢	$0	-$994	Trade ↗
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	9.9¢	$0	-$321	Trade ↗
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	G2 Esports	16.8¢	$0	-$3,860	Trade ↗
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)	Astralis	50.0¢	$0	-$395	Trade ↗
Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	28.0¢	$0	-$224	Trade ↗
Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?	No	10.7¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	28.2¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	20.2¢	$0	-$1,706	Trade ↗
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)	Xtreme Gaming	57.0¢	$0	-$1,140	Trade ↗
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	59.0¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)	JiJieHao	43.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A	FURIA Esports	21.0¢	$0	-$393	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	13.1¢	$0	-$253	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	19.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	T1	57.0¢	$0	-$42	Trade ↗
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winner	LYON	44.0¢	$0	-$13,944	Trade ↗
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner	Kiwoom DRX	46.5¢	$0	-$451	Trade ↗
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?	No	1.6¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	64.0¢	$0	-$352	Trade ↗
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	11.3¢	$0	-$124	Trade ↗
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner	Kiwoom DRX	57.6¢	$0	-$462	Trade ↗
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner	KT Rolster	39.9¢	$0	-$366	Trade ↗
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	59.4¢	$0	-$1,029	Trade ↗
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	48.0¢	$0	-$488	Trade ↗
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	43.0¢	$0	-$432	Trade ↗
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winner	100 Thieves	75.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner	Ninjas in Pyjamas	29.1¢	$0	-$1,168	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	14.9¢	$0	-$7,478	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$0	-$110	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	25.5¢	$0	-$255	Trade ↗
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner	KT Rolster Challengers	60.0¢	$0	-$78	Trade ↗
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA	37.0¢	$0	-$862	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	22.6¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	-$39	Trade ↗
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner	EDward Gaming	12.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
31d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	84.0¢	$13,594