The-Joker

76Qualified whaleProven trader

0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729· stats updated 4d ago

Realized PnL

+$322,560

closed + open positions

Return on capital

14%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$16,886

Capital deployed

$2,381,731

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$44,068

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 20.8/30Return 11.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.5Total 75.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	74.2¢	$5,455	+$719	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	60.3¢	$3,971	+$576	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	30.1¢	$1,618	+$232	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	67.9¢	$799	-$462	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?	No	92.5¢	$795	+$12	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?	No	39.5¢	$747	+$174	Trade ↗
Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	No	78.9¢	$614	+$60	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?	No	62.3¢	$582	+$88	Trade ↗
Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m?	Yes	37.2¢	$536	+$88	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	32.5¢	$452	-$320	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	63.0¢	$396	+$135	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?	No	80.4¢	$293	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Trump nationalize elections?	No	62.4¢	$256	+$86	Trade ↗
Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	Yes	59.1¢	$236	+$49	Trade ↗
Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	96.0¢	$78	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	76.8¢	$30	-$1	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	26.5¢	$23	-$777	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	54.1¢	$5	-$1	Trade ↗
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	27.0¢	$0	-$538	Trade ↗
Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?	Yes	59.9¢	$0	-$352	Trade ↗
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs	Team Yandex	29.0¢	$0	-$290	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	9z	23.0¢	$0	-$230	Trade ↗
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%?	Yes	46.9¢	$0	-$332	Trade ↗
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	41.8¢	$0	-$121	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	3.4¢	$0	-$23	Trade ↗
Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	8.9¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	Lynn Vision	24.8¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
5d ago	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	BUY	Yes	99.7¢	$18,238
5d ago	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$13,977
28d ago	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	BUY	No	99.5¢	$11,853