0x8c66E28FbE7Ede7F57bA6CBc70408DfF442944F3-1777220320442

37Qualified whaleProven trader

0x8c66e28fbe7ede7f57ba6cbc70408dff442944f3· stats updated 18h ago

Realized PnL

+$124,854

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

72%

63 of 88 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$42,449

Capital deployed

$3,880,762

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$62,460

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 13.1/30Return 2.7/25Consistency 13.5/25Sample size 14.5/20Concentration -7.2Total 36.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	87.0¢	$25,968	+$2,061	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	84.0¢	$5,985	+$105	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	87.0¢	$5,002	+$445	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	93.0¢	$3,203	-$53	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	51.5¢	$1,743	+$738	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	14.0¢	$471	+$396	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	29.5¢	$77	+$53	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$667	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	92.8¢	$0	-$186	Trade ↗
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?	No	55.7¢	$0	-$990	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	2.4¢	$0	-$1,205	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$6,223	Trade ↗
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?	Yes	13.4¢	$0	-$1,207	Trade ↗
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	No	8.0¢	$0	-$9,092	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	No	25.0¢	$0	-$999	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$147	Trade ↗
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	20.1¢	$0	-$506	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	91.0¢	$0	-$1,820	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	9.9¢	$0	-$1,715	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	No	8.1¢	$0	-$370	Trade ↗
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Yes	59.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$195	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	Yes	18.5¢	$0	-$2,425	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	33.9¢	$0	-$3,852	Trade ↗
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	24.8¢	$0	-$491	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	13.7¢	$0	-$8,776	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	10.0¢	$0	-$107	Trade ↗
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?	No	14.6¢	$0	-$139	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	40.0¢	$0	-$720	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	24.8¢	$0	-$1,028	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$789	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	No	9.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?	Yes	18.3¢	$0	-$1,043	Trade ↗
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$116	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?	Yes	7.1¢	$0	-$1,081	Trade ↗
Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	31.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$27	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	91.4¢	$0	-$1,011	Trade ↗
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Yes	33.8¢	$0	-$626	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	25.2¢	$0	-$3,196	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	Yes	11.2¢	$0	-$852	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$131	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	0.9¢	$0	-$900	Trade ↗
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?	Yes	13.3¢	$0	-$1,479	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	14.3¢	$0	-$3,017	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	No	40.7¢	$0	-$1,099	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	No	54.4¢	$0	-$3,920	Trade ↗
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Yes	4.8¢	$0	-$21	Trade ↗
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	19.4¢	$0	-$531	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	17.4¢	$0	-$1,024	Trade ↗
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?	No	5.7¢	$0	-$567	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	42.8¢	$0	-$214	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Yes	17.3¢	$0	-$7,327	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	21.0¢	$0	-$57	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	Yes	13.7¢	$0	-$445	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$115	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?	Yes	6.9¢	$0	-$316	Trade ↗
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	43.0¢	$0	-$324	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	5.2¢	$0	-$672	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
9d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	87.0¢	$10,440
39d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	88.0¢	$13,200
43d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	79.0¢	$23,700
59d ago	Iran leadership change by December 31?	BUY	No	84.0¢	$15,120