WhaleWatcher

stupid22

65Qualified whaleProven trader
0x8afa03dd6974e44d00c4d14dcccb00c0ddf6adb6· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$246,910
closed + open positions
Return on capital
2%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$789,625
Capital deployed
$12,796,397
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$368,872
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
42

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 18.6/30Return 1.6/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.6Total 64.7 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No93.7¢$220,089-$5,224Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?No86.1¢$181,249-$1,216Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by October 31?No98.0¢$100,820+$101Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No86.0¢$24,450-$1,350Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No98.7¢$22,067+$161Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by November 30?No93.7¢$20,811-$746Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No94.1¢$19,911-$125Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No95.0¢$19,645-$96Trade ↗
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No92.8¢$18,173-$63Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No91.6¢$17,565-$118Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?No94.9¢$15,598-$39Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No89.6¢$13,989-$179Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?No95.0¢$12,138-$697Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No93.9¢$11,718+$452Trade ↗
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No90.2¢$11,580+$530Trade ↗
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes81.6¢$10,160-$2,890Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo88.0¢$9,646+$469Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes32.9¢$8,787+$2,531Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?No98.3¢$7,279+$42Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes84.7¢$6,085+$57Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes29.1¢$5,187+$2,251Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes71.2¢$4,551+$243Trade ↗
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?No98.9¢$4,487-$8Trade ↗
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No90.0¢$4,476+$73Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes95.2¢$3,880+$72Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No98.1¢$2,946+$3Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes38.5¢$2,780-$1,109Trade ↗
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?No97.9¢$2,342-$7Trade ↗
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes81.0¢$1,620$0Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?No93.3¢$1,404-$50Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?No98.2¢$1,381+$12Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes79.0¢$775-$15Trade ↗
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes97.8¢$743+$6Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?No94.4¢$401+$6Trade ↗
Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes82.0¢$222-$26Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo91.4¢$135+$6Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No81.3¢$129+$19Trade ↗
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Yes90.2¢$119+$6Trade ↗
Will Hsu Shu-hua win the next Nantou County Magistrate election?Yes95.0¢$117-$0Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes44.0¢$110-$110Trade ↗
Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election?Yes86.8¢$56+$4Trade ↗
China coup attempt before 2027?No94.7¢$5+$0Trade ↗
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes40.2¢$0-$402Trade ↗
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on September 25?Yes96.0¢$0-$4,478Trade ↗
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes39.0¢$0-$39Trade ↗
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes17.8¢$0-$196Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes77.0¢$0-$688Trade ↗
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes1.2¢$0-$1Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
20d agoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELLYes83.6¢$11,406
27d agoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUYNo99.7¢$12,665
30d agoIran leadership change by December 31?BUYNo87.0¢$23,038
31d agoIran leadership change by September 30?BUYNo99.5¢$11,806
33d agoIran leadership change by December 31?BUYNo85.0¢$44,753
36d agoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUYNo99.0¢$15,640
37d agoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUYNo99.3¢$10,162
46d agoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUYNo93.0¢$21,608
52d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELLNo99.9¢$14,985
52d agoMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?BUYNo96.0¢$10,211
59d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYNo97.5¢$10,725
67d agoXi Jinping out before 2027?SELLNo95.9¢$68,061
68d agoZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUYNo94.0¢$16,128
70d agoIran leadership change by September 30?BUYNo95.0¢$11,594
72d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUYNo98.5¢$13,396
77d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUYNo94.0¢$10,340
77d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELLNo99.5¢$35,322
79d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUYNo99.1¢$14,068
79d agoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 7?BUYNo99.9¢$12,964