WhaleWatcher

stupid22

64Qualified whaleProven trader
0x8afa03dd6974e44d00c4d14dcccb00c0ddf6adb6· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$216,248
closed + open positions
Return on capital
2%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$703,694
Capital deployed
$10,775,407
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$239,403
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
53

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 17.6/30Return 1.7/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.2Total 64.0 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No91.9¢$182,285+$3,080Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No96.8¢$106,152+$1,884Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No93.0¢$56,418+$295Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?No83.9¢$35,595+$1,080Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No93.6¢$29,453-$351Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by September 30?No96.4¢$24,954+$294Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No97.4¢$22,984+$190Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No97.5¢$18,772+$249Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 9?No99.9¢$14,985$0Trade ↗
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes93.2¢$14,517+$713Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?No93.5¢$14,175+$149Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No91.3¢$12,397+$540Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No96.0¢$10,502+$92Trade ↗
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No90.0¢$10,338+$92Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes94.6¢$9,744+$439Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No93.7¢$9,645+$275Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo88.0¢$9,229+$52Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes63.1¢$8,925-$1,800Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?No98.3¢$8,860+$17Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No96.7¢$8,793+$93Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No95.5¢$8,514+$243Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by October 31?No93.7¢$7,848+$70Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes29.3¢$7,778+$2,795Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?No99.1¢$7,687+$6Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes31.3¢$7,130+$862Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes29.1¢$6,014+$3,077Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?No96.9¢$5,799-$15Trade ↗
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes25.5¢$5,795+$945Trade ↗
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes97.2¢$5,369+$98Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes86.7¢$5,249-$475Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 8?No99.9¢$4,757+$2Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes95.0¢$4,280+$82Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?No98.1¢$2,958+$15Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes38.5¢$2,679-$1,210Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No92.7¢$2,186-$118Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes45.3¢$2,060+$249Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes95.0¢$1,894-$6Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes39.0¢$1,420-$140Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?No98.0¢$1,225+$10Trade ↗
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?No94.1¢$922+$32Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?No97.8¢$842+$14Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 8?No99.9¢$586+$0Trade ↗
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?No99.9¢$468+$0Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8?Yes99.9¢$468+$0Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?No94.4¢$397+$3Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo91.4¢$131+$3Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No81.3¢$124+$14Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No91.0¢$119+$3Trade ↗
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 9?No99.9¢$100+$0Trade ↗
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 9?No99.9¢$82+$0Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on September 8?No99.9¢$49+$0Trade ↗
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 8?No99.9¢$35+$0Trade ↗
China coup attempt before 2027?No94.7¢$5+$0Trade ↗
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes40.2¢$0-$402Trade ↗
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes39.0¢$0-$39Trade ↗
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes17.8¢$0-$196Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes77.0¢$0-$688Trade ↗
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes1.2¢$0-$1Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)