DonationsReceiver

34Qualified whaleProven trader

0x847667d84fc4d81db36689c4f4c5845c8d125418· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$89,682

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

56%

279 of 495 resolved

Resolved markets

495

Portfolio value

$70,521

Capital deployed

$17,257,344

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$63,301

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 10.4/30Return 0.4/25Consistency 4.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.7Total 34.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$19,989	+$7,488	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	85.7¢	$9,779	+$724	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	94.0¢	$7,818	+$41	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	80.2¢	$5,988	-$181	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	96.3¢	$5,355	+$6	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$5,013	-$7,488	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	82.0¢	$4,231	+$76	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	78.0¢	$2,637	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	76.7¢	$2,234	-$65	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	70.0¢	$2,145	+$45	Trade ↗
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$2,087	+$23	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	48.2¢	$1,225	-$544	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	12.4¢	$708	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10.1¢	$542	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	9.1¢	$528	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	4.1¢	$62	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	0.2¢	$51	-$33	Trade ↗
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?	Yes	4.0¢	$42	+$32	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$40	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.1¢	$15	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	95.1¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	90.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.3¢	$3	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.3¢	$3	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	59.0¢	$2	-$1	Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	0.0¢	$2	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	79.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	73.3¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	48.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
9d ago	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	No	94.0¢	$10,626
33d ago	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	No	98.0¢	$12,366
34d ago	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	No	97.9¢	$10,339
34d ago	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	SELL	Yes	99.9¢	$29,970