WongKimArk

58Qualified whaleProven trader

0x7bb244d0c70293e66dee84f3d0623fbbbf7d682c· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$325,674

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

69%

261 of 380 resolved

Resolved markets

380

Portfolio value

$208,215

Capital deployed

$4,716,648

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$21,800

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 20.9/30Return 5.8/25Consistency 11.7/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 58.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	62.4¢	$27,789	+$9,040	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	77.0¢	$16,700	+$1,300	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	87.0¢	$16,275	+$2,007	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	21.3¢	$15,549	+$11,800	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	51.5¢	$13,700	+$3,400	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	75.3¢	$10,845	+$2,381	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	64.4¢	$10,223	+$3,326	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	70.2¢	$9,059	+$2,517	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	63.2¢	$8,193	+$401	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	71.6¢	$8,005	+$1,246	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	71.0¢	$7,150	+$50	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	18.3¢	$6,855	+$2,745	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	60.0¢	$6,650	+$650	Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	50.4¢	$4,920	-$120	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	65.0¢	$4,725	+$1,475	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	37.3¢	$4,654	+$704	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2.1¢	$4,417	+$1,030	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	83.0¢	$4,075	-$75	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	39.4¢	$3,575	-$22,025	Trade ↗
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	73.0¢	$3,525	-$125	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4.0¢	$3,500	+$719	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	55.0¢	$3,425	+$675	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	80.0¢	$2,927	+$527	Trade ↗
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	31.0¢	$2,700	+$1,770	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	77.1¢	$2,171	+$438	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	20.0¢	$1,335	+$583	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	13.6¢	$906	+$498	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	72.0¢	$850	+$130	Trade ↗
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	74.1¢	$826	+$85	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	53.2¢	$761	+$229	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.8¢	$483	-$643	Trade ↗
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	84.7¢	$440	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.5¢	$325	+$75	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	8.0¢	$195	-$605	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	54.0¢	$168	-$437	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.7¢	$159	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.2¢	$143	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	53.0¢	$20	-$1	Trade ↗
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$450	Trade ↗
Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in August?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$130	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	3.2¢	$0	-$41	Trade ↗
US recession in 2025?	Yes	58.7¢	$0	-$13,943	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	26.2¢	$0	-$3,924	Trade ↗
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	40.0¢	$0	-$800	Trade ↗
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	28.2¢	$0	-$2,874	Trade ↗
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?	No	55.5¢	$0	-$3,140	Trade ↗
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	No	40.3¢	$0	-$4,440	Trade ↗
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	87.0¢	$0	-$8,700	Trade ↗
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?	No	29.5¢	$0	-$590	Trade ↗
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	4.5¢	$0	-$900	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?	No	11.3¢	$0	-$308	Trade ↗
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	37.4¢	$0	-$2,200	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?	No	34.4¢	$0	-$3,936	Trade ↗
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?	No	64.4¢	$0	-$998	Trade ↗
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	2.9¢	$0	-$452	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$574	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$1,500	Trade ↗
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	18.6¢	$0	-$4,081	Trade ↗
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$184	Trade ↗
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$130	Trade ↗
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?	No	44.4¢	$0	-$486	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	63.0¢	$0	-$6,300	Trade ↗
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?	No	15.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?	No	36.7¢	$0	-$6,156	Trade ↗
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?	Yes	60.3¢	$0	-$2,813	Trade ↗
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	No	26.9¢	$0	-$2,003	Trade ↗
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?	Yes	73.0¢	$0	-$730	Trade ↗
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	50.7¢	$0	-$1,520	Trade ↗
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?	No	72.0¢	$0	-$7,200	Trade ↗
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?	No	48.8¢	$0	-$21,493	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?	No	11.5¢	$0	-$115	Trade ↗
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	16.1¢	$0	-$2,742	Trade ↗
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	61.0¢	$0	-$915	Trade ↗
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026	Yes	59.6¢	$0	-$764	Trade ↗
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	47.0¢	$0	-$4,375	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?	No	65.2¢	$0	-$718	Trade ↗
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	23.0¢	$0	-$920	Trade ↗
ICE shooter charged by March 31?	Yes	26.0¢	$0	-$3,380	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?	No	19.2¢	$0	-$2,566	Trade ↗
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$900	Trade ↗
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?	No	61.9¢	$0	-$1,870	Trade ↗
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	70.0¢	$0	-$3,500	Trade ↗
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?	No	63.7¢	$0	-$637	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?	No	65.5¢	$0	-$1,016	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	57.0¢	$0	-$1,710	Trade ↗
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	12.5¢	$0	-$625	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?	No	16.0¢	$0	-$1,113	Trade ↗
Government shutdown on Saturday?	Yes	62.6¢	$0	-$6,157	Trade ↗
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	45.0¢	$0	-$11,350	Trade ↗
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?	No	15.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	20.2¢	$0	-$6,050	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?	No	40.0¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	39.3¢	$0	-$5,900	Trade ↗
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?	No	68.0¢	$0	-$680	Trade ↗
Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?	No	68.0¢	$0	-$204	Trade ↗
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?	No	46.3¢	$0	-$57,893	Trade ↗
Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	Yes	72.0¢	$0	-$720	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1.2¢	$0	-$750	Trade ↗
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	No	30.5¢	$0	-$6,808	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
32d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	53.0¢	$10,600
45d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	56.0¢	$11,200