WhaleWatcher

tetrose

60Qualified whaleProven trader
0x74471a007ddcc488f6d57b5e86dfb35a8d48a16d· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$1,579,932
closed + open positions
Return on capital
4%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
61%
306 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$334,806
Capital deployed
$36,138,791
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$805,073
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
90

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 3.6/25Consistency 7.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.2Total 60.5 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No71.4¢$86,557+$1,267Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No21.3¢$37,988+$3,483Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2.3¢$34,296+$32,808Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes9.7¢$17,813+$9,387Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes33.0¢$16,596+$2,371Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No17.1¢$15,812-$1,634Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes28.6¢$13,854-$8,767Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No33.0¢$11,470+$1,639Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes11.8¢$10,286+$1,325Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes6.2¢$9,967+$5,984Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes15.0¢$9,946+$207Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes24.4¢$9,063+$5,579Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes17.2¢$7,565-$2,854Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes21.3¢$7,093-$6,042Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes17.5¢$6,433-$36,066Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes16.1¢$4,967+$515Trade ↗
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Yes15.9¢$3,590-$4,007Trade ↗
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes19.3¢$3,048+$745Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes50.5¢$2,950+$1,007Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No21.3¢$2,501-$5,688Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes6.0¢$1,838-$3,541Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No25.9¢$1,568-$323Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes5.0¢$1,275+$116Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Yes18.5¢$1,232+$508Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No4.1¢$1,184-$4,594Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No32.0¢$1,049-$766Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes27.0¢$1,011-$3,185Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by November 30?Yes10.7¢$991-$129Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?No10.9¢$988-$3,077Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes3.1¢$871-$34Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No26.0¢$850-$450Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No60.0¢$730+$51Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No33.5¢$676-$179Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Yes11.5¢$666-$227Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?No15.6¢$580-$90Trade ↗
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?No change29.2¢$563+$396Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes42.0¢$548-$2,994Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No48.8¢$489+$200Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes50.0¢$474-$97Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No83.0¢$461+$56Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes70.0¢$436+$68Trade ↗
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.1¢$372-$1,346Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes0.4¢$328+$23Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes5.1¢$319-$138Trade ↗
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes6.2¢$274-$11,024Trade ↗
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2.3¢$239-$1,298Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No22.1¢$203-$96Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes32.0¢$184-$196Trade ↗
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes16.0¢$164-$274Trade ↗
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes71.0¢$161-$5Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes13.7¢$143-$1,928Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes12.0¢$140-$460Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.4¢$140+$61Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.4¢$130+$51Trade ↗
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5¢$122-$1,683Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes1.6¢$122+$44Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes15.0¢$114-$49Trade ↗
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes15.0¢$107-$62Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes46.0¢$104-$461Trade ↗
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2.3¢$103-$1,435Trade ↗
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2.3¢$103-$1,435Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes0.4¢$96+$21Trade ↗
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.8¢$93-$1,613Trade ↗
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2.2¢$92-$1,280Trade ↗
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2.0¢$81-$1,516Trade ↗
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2.3¢$68-$1,469Trade ↗
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2.3¢$68-$1,469Trade ↗
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2.3¢$68-$1,469Trade ↗
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2.3¢$68-$1,469Trade ↗
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2.3¢$68-$1,469Trade ↗
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes0.0¢$57+$57Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Yes12.0¢$49-$49Trade ↗
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes0.0¢$47+$47Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes36.0¢$22-$9Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes12.5¢$19-$24Trade ↗
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes0.2¢$6-$24Trade ↗
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes0.2¢$6-$24Trade ↗
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes0.2¢$6-$24Trade ↗
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes0.2¢$6-$24Trade ↗
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes0.2¢$6-$24Trade ↗
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes0.2¢$6-$24Trade ↗
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes0.2¢$6-$24Trade ↗
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes0.2¢$6-$24Trade ↗
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5.9¢$6-$656Trade ↗
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes10.5¢$1-$308Trade ↗
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes0.4¢$1-$9Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No50.0¢$1+$0Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes25.9¢$1-$4Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.4¢$0+$0Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.4¢$0+$0Trade ↗
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes2.1¢$0-$841Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes9.9¢$0-$14,189Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No54.0¢$0-$5Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes24.5¢$0-$918Trade ↗
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes44.0¢$0-$860Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes2.3¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Yes8.4¢$0-$35Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Yes4.7¢$0-$3,383Trade ↗
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?Yes5.3¢$0-$757Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes32.9¢$0-$4,327Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
8d agoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELLNo20.0¢$14,557
10d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUYNo29.0¢$13,005
10d agoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUYNo20.4¢$21,303
17d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELLYes16.0¢$10,731
17d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUYYes15.0¢$14,200
17d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUYYes17.0¢$13,600
17d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUYYes16.0¢$13,617
25d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUYYes50.4¢$24,733
26d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELLYes14.0¢$12,394
29d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUYYes16.0¢$14,347
29d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELLYes35.4¢$45,160
31d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUYYes35.0¢$16,524
31d ago2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUYYes29.8¢$15,298
31d agoWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUYYes35.0¢$14,637
33d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUYYes15.0¢$21,136
33d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUYYes46.6¢$53,963
33d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELLYes15.0¢$20,339
33d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUYYes20.6¢$20,985
33d agoNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUYYes29.5¢$10,113
33d agoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUYYes19.5¢$11,541
35d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUYYes87.0¢$10,303
35d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUYYes16.0¢$24,304
36d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELLYes75.0¢$34,535
36d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUYYes79.0¢$23,700
37d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUYYes76.0¢$40,498