WhaleWatcher

AgricultureSecretary

73Qualified whaleProven trader
0x6ffb4354cbe6e0f9989e3b55564ec5fb8646a834· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
+$1,170,402
closed + open positions
Return on capital
7%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$24,767
Capital deployed
$15,631,946
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$1,247,291
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
33

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 6.2/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -8.5Total 72.7 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes11.0¢$16,750+$5,772Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes66.7¢$2,889-$39,926Trade ↗
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-22?Yes12.0¢$988+$688Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4.9¢$655+$165Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No13.0¢$443+$378Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes9.0¢$428-$272Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes17.0¢$363-$11Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes16.0¢$330+$10Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes16.0¢$330+$10Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes20.0¢$287+$7Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes9.9¢$253-$297Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes16.0¢$178-$141Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes16.0¢$125-$355Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?Yes87.6¢$89-$52,108Trade ↗
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Yes6.0¢$84-$28Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No53.0¢$80+$28Trade ↗
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes54.6¢$70-$71Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?Yes68.0¢$66-$29,802Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes7.4¢$62-$127Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?No91.0¢$57-$34,493Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?Yes58.0¢$42-$31Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?No3.7¢$34-$13Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No11.3¢$30-$101Trade ↗
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes11.9¢$28-$76Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?Yes50.0¢$28-$23Trade ↗
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.0¢$20-$80Trade ↗
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes29.0¢$16-$129Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Yes7.5¢$14-$26Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No19.4¢$10-$15Trade ↗
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Yes4.3¢$9+$3Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?No0.6¢$9+$3Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes4.9¢$2-$1Trade ↗
Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?Yes7.0¢$1-$11Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
3d agoWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?BUYYes99.0¢$24,873
3d agoWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?BUYNo99.0¢$25,252
3d agoWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?BUYYes98.8¢$49,865
6d agoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?BUYYes99.9¢$43,972
7d agoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?BUYYes99.9¢$45,958
8d agoWill Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUYYes99.0¢$11,232
9d agoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUYYes99.8¢$19,513
9d agoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUYYes99.8¢$39,815
12d agoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUYYes99.9¢$21,467
19d ago0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?BUYNo91.5¢$10,321
20d agoBitcoin Up or Down on October 5?BUYDown99.9¢$30,976
27d agoWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?BUYYes99.9¢$19,007
35d agoBowling Green Team Total: O/U 9.5BUYUnder99.0¢$109,999
40d agoWill Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?BUYYes99.9¢$10,275
41d agoJets vs. Titans: O/U 32.5BUYOver99.0¢$53,746
42d agoTennessee State vs. Alabama A&M: O/U 28.5BUYOver99.0¢$10,037
51d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELLYes53.0¢$11,489
51d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes49.0¢$23,639
53d agoSet 1 Winner: Basavareddy vs SchoolkateBUYSchoolkate95.0¢$10,441
55d agoZhangjiagang: Koki Matsuda vs Fanming MengSELLKoki Matsuda99.9¢$39,577
55d agoZhangjiagang: Koki Matsuda vs Fanming MengBUYKoki Matsuda63.3¢$26,136
55d agoSV Zulte Waregem leading at halftime?BUYNo98.0¢$16,718
55d agoFC Augsburg vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5BUYOver98.0¢$141,085
56d agoExact Score: CD Fátima 1 - 1 Sport Benfica e Castelo Branco?BUYNo99.9¢$45,388
57d agoACF Fiorentina to score first vs. Frosinone Calcio?BUYNo99.0¢$54,825