can111

41Qualified whaleProven trader

0x5cfd881133ff44d1f7b81ea8a819a30dfc39ca1b· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$28,730

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

84%

418 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$17,600

Capital deployed

$340,392

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,482

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 1.1/30Return 7.0/25Consistency 21.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -8.1Total 41.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	82.0¢	$11,529	+$1,525	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	70.0¢	$1,350	+$350	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	75.0¢	$1,140	+$140	Trade ↗
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$1,046	+$47	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	94.6¢	$1,022	+$22	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	78.0¢	$1,005	-$165	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	44.0¢	$360	-$80	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	13.0¢	$135	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	11.0¢	$5	-$95	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	3.2¢	$5	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	1.8¢	$2	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.1¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?	Yes	26.0¢	$0	-$39	Trade ↗
Spread: Chargers (-9.5)	Chargers	53.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	40.8¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	74.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	69.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks	High Point Panthers	16.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?	No	73.6¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?	No	29.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?	No	90.0¢	$0	-$1,000	Trade ↗
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)	Jaguars	48.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 7.5 Corners	Over	46.6¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	61.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Spread: Lions (-6.5)	Lions	56.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	75.6¢	$0	-$1,000	Trade ↗
Seahawks vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	43.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?	Yes	54.8¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?	No	89.9¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	68.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	71.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?	No	53.6¢	$0	-$74	Trade ↗
Packers vs. Vikings	Packers	57.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	48.7¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?	No	61.9¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	28.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Spread: Jets (-1.5)	Jets	47.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?	No	69.8¢	$0	-$1,000	Trade ↗
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	58.0¢	$0	-$116	Trade ↗
Belgium vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5	Over	56.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Spread: Eagles (-1.5)	Vikings	49.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$190	Trade ↗
Antoine Semenyo: 3+ shots	Yes	55.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will O'Higgins FC vs. CD Universidad de Concepción end in a draw?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	73.8¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?	Yes	54.9¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Spread: Falcons (-2.5)	Falcons	58.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)	Browns	62.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)	Colts	58.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Spread: Bills (-8.5)	Bills	56.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?	Yes	53.2¢	$0	-$400	Trade ↗
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	Yes	27.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	75.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	57.0¢	$0	-$400	Trade ↗
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Thiago Agustin Tirante	27.9¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)	Eagles	47.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?	Yes	43.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?	No	29.0¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?	No	56.3¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Spread: Bills (-2.5)	Bills	56.0¢	$0	-$87	Trade ↗
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 6.5 Corners	Over	30.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?	No	74.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	57.6¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	64.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Spread: Packers (-13.5)	Packers	48.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?	No	18.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?	Yes	29.0¢	$0	-$40	Trade ↗
Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	88.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Silver (SI) Up or Down on December 24?	Down	67.2¢	$0	-$343	Trade ↗
Chiefs vs. Bills: O/U 52.5	Over	52.9¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)	Aston Villa	66.3¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	40.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	73.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	10.3¢	$0	-$41	Trade ↗
Grokipedia released by October 31?	No	26.8¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	89.3¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	34.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	38.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	59.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Spread: Texans (-12.5)	Texans	57.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	58.6¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?	No	79.0¢	$0	-$75	Trade ↗
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	63.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Spread: Bills (-2.5)	Bills	57.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?	Yes	34.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?	No	27.6¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Bills vs. Dolphins	Bills	30.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	48.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	Yes	36.0¢	$0	-$30	Trade ↗
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)	Bears	51.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)	Seahawks	59.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	85.8¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	61.3¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?	Yes	93.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Patriots	32.0¢	$0	-$800	Trade ↗
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)	Commanders	50.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
39d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	99.9¢	$11,482