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88Qualified whaleProven trader

0x510904c9a58f5c5ad799a1b44947077564175e9c· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,049,200

closed + open positions

Return on capital

16%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$30,513

Capital deployed

$6,684,702

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$26,946

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

109

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 13.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 88.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	45.7¢	$3,502	+$671	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	57.7¢	$3,320	+$638	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	31.9¢	$3,105	+$1,142	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	23.0¢	$2,540	+$416	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	46.7¢	$2,065	+$928	Trade ↗
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	70.9¢	$1,767	+$285	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	27.2¢	$1,715	+$1,213	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	52.0¢	$1,515	-$45	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	35.9¢	$1,401	+$58	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	33.7¢	$1,175	-$1,298	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	22.7¢	$1,029	-$582	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	31.4¢	$925	+$607	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	31.0¢	$785	+$303	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	22.0¢	$660	-$68	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	32.4¢	$461	-$493	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7.8¢	$444	-$975	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	26.3¢	$384	-$313	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	74.6¢	$363	-$55	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.8¢	$289	-$708	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	22.1¢	$282	-$821	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	17.6¢	$275	-$235	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	26.9¢	$234	-$843	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$164	-$5,128	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$151	-$2,873	Trade ↗
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	97.1¢	$148	+$4	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	70.0¢	$137	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	12.1¢	$117	-$5,536	Trade ↗
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	34.5¢	$101	-$5,276	Trade ↗
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$93	-$4,824	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	59.3¢	$84	+$31	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1.3¢	$83	-$113	Trade ↗
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$74	-$5,218	Trade ↗
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	18.3¢	$73	-$48	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	50.0¢	$72	-$719	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$61	-$938	Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.8¢	$52	-$944	Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	33.3¢	$47	-$953	Trade ↗
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$42	-$5,247	Trade ↗
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$41	-$959	Trade ↗
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	49.9¢	$37	-$5,249	Trade ↗
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	49.9¢	$37	-$5,247	Trade ↗
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$32	-$5,260	Trade ↗
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	68.0¢	$28	-$26	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	45.6¢	$27	-$429	Trade ↗
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$26	-$5,266	Trade ↗
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	49.0¢	$26	-$5,166	Trade ↗
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	49.9¢	$26	-$5,254	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$26	-$5,266	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$25	-$2,767	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	20.5¢	$24	-$1,942	Trade ↗
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$24	-$3,394	Trade ↗
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	48.4¢	$22	-$946	Trade ↗
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$21	-$4,269	Trade ↗
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	74.0¢	$18	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4.3¢	$17	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	49.7¢	$16	-$5,244	Trade ↗
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	48.5¢	$16	-$5,118	Trade ↗
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$16	-$5,277	Trade ↗
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$16	-$5,276	Trade ↗
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$16	-$5,277	Trade ↗
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$16	-$5,277	Trade ↗
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$16	-$5,277	Trade ↗
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$16	-$5,277	Trade ↗
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$16	-$5,236	Trade ↗
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.7¢	$15	-$980	Trade ↗
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$15	-$4,903	Trade ↗
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.7¢	$13	-$981	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$11	-$989	Trade ↗
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.6¢	$11	-$982	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	33.3¢	$9	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$9	-$991	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	92.3¢	$9	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$5	-$5,287	Trade ↗
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$5	-$5,287	Trade ↗
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$5	-$995	Trade ↗
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$5	-$995	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	7.2¢	$5	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.6¢	$5	-$492	Trade ↗
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$4	-$891	Trade ↗
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.2¢	$4	-$489	Trade ↗
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$3	-$996	Trade ↗
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.9¢	$3	-$996	Trade ↗
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	48.9¢	$3	-$975	Trade ↗
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.9¢	$3	-$995	Trade ↗
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.9¢	$3	-$995	Trade ↗
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$3	-$997	Trade ↗
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.8¢	$3	-$993	Trade ↗
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$3	-$997	Trade ↗
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$3	-$997	Trade ↗
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.4¢	$3	-$986	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	0.4¢	$3	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.6¢	$3	-$189	Trade ↗
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	50.0¢	$2	-$789	Trade ↗
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$2	-$498	Trade ↗
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.7¢	$2	-$496	Trade ↗
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$1	-$999	Trade ↗
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$1	-$999	Trade ↗
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$1	-$999	Trade ↗
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$1	-$998	Trade ↗
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	50.0¢	$1	-$790	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
28d ago	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	SELL	No	99.8¢	$26,946