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88Qualified whaleProven trader

0x510904c9a58f5c5ad799a1b44947077564175e9c· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,091,623

closed + open positions

Return on capital

16%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$34,855

Capital deployed

$6,781,857

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$26,946

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

114

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 13.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 88.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	45.7¢	$5,353	+$2,559	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	35.9¢	$3,728	+$2,385	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	57.7¢	$3,599	+$917	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	55.8¢	$2,437	-$94	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	46.7¢	$2,093	+$956	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	52.0¢	$1,995	+$435	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	23.4¢	$1,777	+$1,346	Trade ↗
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	70.9¢	$1,673	+$191	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	22.9¢	$1,263	-$302	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	33.7¢	$1,249	-$1,225	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	31.4¢	$976	+$658	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	22.7¢	$958	-$653	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	10.0¢	$950	-$50	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	8.0¢	$650	-$150	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.6¢	$598	+$125	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	8.4¢	$506	+$229	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	26.3¢	$464	-$233	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4.8¢	$455	+$314	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Yes	22.0¢	$370	-$70	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Yes	25.0¢	$345	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$291	+$291	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	74.6¢	$271	-$147	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$259	+$179	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3.5¢	$250	+$75	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.0¢	$243	+$243	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4.0¢	$210	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$194	+$148	Trade ↗
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	97.1¢	$148	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.6¢	$125	-$121	Trade ↗
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	21.0¢	$109	-$829	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	59.3¢	$85	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	43.0¢	$72	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.0¢	$70	-$394	Trade ↗
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	13.0¢	$68	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$58	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.5¢	$56	+$11	Trade ↗
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	18.3¢	$43	-$78	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$40	+$40	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$40	+$40	Trade ↗
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$37	-$43	Trade ↗
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$37	-$43	Trade ↗
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$37	-$43	Trade ↗
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$34	-$40	Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$31	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$29	+$29	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$28	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$26	-$53	Trade ↗
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$26	-$53	Trade ↗
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$26	-$53	Trade ↗
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$26	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$24	-$28	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$22	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$21	-$43	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	33.3¢	$18	+$10	Trade ↗
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	74.0¢	$18	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4.3¢	$16	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$16	-$64	Trade ↗
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$16	-$64	Trade ↗
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$16	-$64	Trade ↗
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$16	-$64	Trade ↗
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$16	-$64	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$16	-$64	Trade ↗
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$16	-$64	Trade ↗
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$16	-$64	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	0.0¢	$15	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$15	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$15	-$60	Trade ↗
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$11	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$11	-$69	Trade ↗
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$11	-$69	Trade ↗
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$9	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	92.3¢	$9	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$7	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$7	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$6	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$6	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$5	-$75	Trade ↗
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$5	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$5	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$5	-$74	Trade ↗
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$5	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$5	+$5	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	7.2¢	$4	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$3	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$3	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$3	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$3	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$3	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$3	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$3	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$3	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$3	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$3	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	68.0¢	$2	-$52	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
74d ago	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	SELL	No	99.8¢	$26,946