WhaleWatcher

aviato

74Qualified whaleProven trader
0x2a019dc0089ea8c6edbbafc8a7cc9ba77b4b6397· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$585,080
closed + open positions
Return on capital
5%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$247,716
Capital deployed
$12,750,259
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$191,978
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
233

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 25.6/30Return 3.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 74.5 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No83.9¢$16,821+$1,727Trade ↗
Yoon out of custody before 2027?No83.9¢$14,103+$1,618Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No84.0¢$14,025-$265Trade ↗
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No94.6¢$12,074+$347Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No91.5¢$11,941+$6Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No90.7¢$11,229+$535Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No92.1¢$9,984+$250Trade ↗
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No85.5¢$9,191+$880Trade ↗
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?No92.6¢$6,952-$49Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No92.2¢$4,910-$36Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes91.6¢$4,575-$7Trade ↗
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No83.6¢$4,529-$144Trade ↗
Will Daniel Craig be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No93.0¢$3,942+$227Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes70.0¢$3,901+$752Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No91.7¢$3,728+$61Trade ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No95.5¢$2,921+$57Trade ↗
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic94.3¢$2,853+$25Trade ↗
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No91.8¢$2,830+$111Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No94.0¢$2,799-$20Trade ↗
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No91.7¢$2,780+$100Trade ↗
Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No89.3¢$2,737+$214Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No94.3¢$2,507+$54Trade ↗
Will Adam Scott be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No94.3¢$2,471+$60Trade ↗
Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No93.6¢$2,130+$83Trade ↗
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?No95.2¢$2,031+$6Trade ↗
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No87.0¢$2,024+$23Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes20.0¢$1,995+$1,395Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes94.9¢$1,975+$39Trade ↗
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?No91.7¢$1,923+$80Trade ↗
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No87.7¢$1,902+$148Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No93.0¢$1,870+$10Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No93.5¢$1,870$0Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes89.0¢$1,850+$70Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo90.4¢$1,830+$22Trade ↗
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?No95.4¢$1,791+$3Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?No94.5¢$1,742+$23Trade ↗
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?No91.6¢$1,724+$26Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes68.0¢$1,671+$293Trade ↗
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?No95.4¢$1,563+$31Trade ↗
Will "Cry to Heaven" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No91.3¢$1,508+$106Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes92.0¢$1,430+$44Trade ↗
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No93.6¢$1,414+$44Trade ↗
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?No92.1¢$1,333+$34Trade ↗
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?No98.1¢$1,295+$8Trade ↗
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No88.3¢$1,282+$82Trade ↗
Will Palmer Luckey attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No95.0¢$1,279+$44Trade ↗
Will Reve have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?No84.5¢$1,199+$180Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No94.8¢$1,131-$2Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?No87.6¢$1,108+$91Trade ↗
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?No92.3¢$1,101+$59Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?No93.2¢$1,091+$31Trade ↗
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No95.9¢$1,042-$7Trade ↗
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?No93.9¢$1,030-$31Trade ↗
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No93.7¢$995-$5Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?Yes98.2¢$988+$6Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No93.3¢$979-$12Trade ↗
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?No92.0¢$962+$42Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No86.0¢$959+$99Trade ↗
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No86.0¢$956+$96Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No93.6¢$953+$3Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes93.0¢$935+$5Trade ↗
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No92.0¢$930+$10Trade ↗
Will Joan Collins be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No92.3¢$910+$37Trade ↗
Will Emily Blunt be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No85.2¢$904+$49Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No72.0¢$895+$175Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No85.0¢$815-$35Trade ↗
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028?No94.0¢$772+$18Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes87.0¢$765-$105Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes20.0¢$735+$135Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes92.9¢$719+$4Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?No92.2¢$710-$7Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?No94.6¢$702+$15Trade ↗
Will Daisy Edgar-Jones be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No91.5¢$696-$4Trade ↗
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No85.1¢$684+$65Trade ↗
Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No85.3¢$683+$76Trade ↗
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No91.8¢$675+$9Trade ↗
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?No95.2¢$671+$16Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No93.1¢$663+$6Trade ↗
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?No91.0¢$655-$7Trade ↗
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No93.4¢$653+$10Trade ↗
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?No94.7¢$625+$25Trade ↗
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No89.9¢$615+$55Trade ↗
Will "Whalefall" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?No93.4¢$600-$7Trade ↗
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?No93.5¢$550+$19Trade ↗
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No92.3¢$547+$31Trade ↗
Will Himesh Patel be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No90.4¢$546+$30Trade ↗
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election?No90.9¢$526+$9Trade ↗
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No93.0¢$505+$21Trade ↗
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2027?No91.0¢$503+$3Trade ↗
Jonathan Majors as Kang?No88.8¢$501+$14Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?No92.8¢$496-$4Trade ↗
Will Zendaya be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No91.1¢$470-$18Trade ↗
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?No91.3¢$470+$6Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?No93.8¢$462+$3Trade ↗
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes93.0¢$439+$2Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?No94.8¢$428+$4Trade ↗
Will Kirsten Dunst be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No94.0¢$427+$21Trade ↗
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?No92.7¢$426+$7Trade ↗
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes81.6¢$425-$23Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?No92.8¢$415+$7Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)