smartpreset

72Qualified whaleProven trader

0x16807201e53a62e472b1b62e7835833c1222490d· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$150,263

closed + open positions

Return on capital

15%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$5,477

Capital deployed

$978,331

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,867

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 14.6/30Return 12.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 72.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?	No	86.1¢	$400	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	87.5¢	$397	+$27	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	88.9¢	$390	+$34	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	85.4¢	$312	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $880 in October?	No	87.3¢	$235	+$24	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	No	82.5¢	$228	-$38	Trade ↗
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	No	84.2¢	$221	-$148	Trade ↗
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	79.9¢	$217	-$38	Trade ↗
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	85.1¢	$211	-$32	Trade ↗
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in October?	No	86.3¢	$207	-$30	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in October?	No	86.0¢	$187	+$9	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	28.3¢	$181	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	69.0¢	$149	-$17	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	88.3¢	$130	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	84.3¢	$114	-$56	Trade ↗
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	No	85.2¢	$112	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	89.2¢	$111	+$5	Trade ↗
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	82.6¢	$105	+$12	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	81.2¢	$99	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	60.9¢	$96	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	63.0¢	$95	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	85.0¢	$95	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	77.5¢	$95	-$16	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	No	74.7¢	$90	+$20	Trade ↗
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	No	85.1¢	$74	+$4	Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	83.0¢	$66	+$11	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	87.0¢	$58	+$4	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	47.7¢	$58	-$104	Trade ↗
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5.9¢	$55	-$28	Trade ↗
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?	No	87.8¢	$55	-$160	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	37.5¢	$55	-$203	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	86.0¢	$53	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	67.0¢	$47	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in October?	No	92.0¢	$41	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	No	72.3¢	$41	+$4	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$39	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in October?	No	89.0¢	$38	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	44.1¢	$37	+$2	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$36	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	58.3¢	$35	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	75.8¢	$25	+$2	Trade ↗
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?	No	76.0¢	$18	+$4	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	74.0¢	$17	-$19	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stage	Blitzkrieg	50.0¢	$17	$0	Trade ↗
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T?	No	82.5¢	$17	+$2	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	53.7¢	$16	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?	No	83.6¢	$15	-$67	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	54.7¢	$13	+$3	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: OldBoys vs Fire Flux Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Fire Flux Esports	75.0¢	$10	-$2	Trade ↗
ITF W50 Prague Women: Anna Siskova vs Aneta Kucmova	Aneta Kucmova	50.0¢	$10	$0	Trade ↗
Will Brent Ingraham be the next confirmed Army Secretary?	No	86.0¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $900 in October?	No	90.0¢	$9	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	57.0¢	$8	-$2	Trade ↗
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	JD Gaming	51.0¢	$7	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	Yes	24.0¢	$6	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?	Yes	93.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$5	-$1	Trade ↗
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No	80.0¢	$1	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	31.7¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	3.5¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	25.5¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?	No	70.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner	GIANTX	20.3¢	$0	-$346	Trade ↗
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	75.7¢	$0	-$357	Trade ↗
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winner	Gentle Mates	68.0¢	$0	-$130	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	47.9¢	$0	-$522	Trade ↗
SC Internacional vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	30.3¢	$0	-$315	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Overtake (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs	Chicken Coop Esports	54.7¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino	Nao Hibino	52.3¢	$0	-$1,051	Trade ↗
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner	KT Rolster	69.3¢	$0	-$1,095	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	MOUZ	46.8¢	$0	-$81	Trade ↗
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 29?	Yes	25.8¢	$0	-$54	Trade ↗
Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs Shelton	Shelton	48.0¢	$0	-$128	Trade ↗
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star - Map 1 Winner	Astralis	81.0¢	$0	-$3,713	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs	BIG	71.0¢	$0	-$82	Trade ↗
Estoril Praia vs. FC Arouca: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	15.0¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Alianza Lima Esports vs SUKEBAN - Map 1 Winner	SUKEBAN	10.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	54.0¢	$0	-$44	Trade ↗
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner	Sentinels	66.7¢	$0	-$919	Trade ↗
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5	Under	23.0¢	$0	-$397	Trade ↗
Will CA Unión win on 2026-09-07?	No	2.8¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner	TYLOO	65.0¢	$0	-$981	Trade ↗
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	Yes	93.2¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs mellren - Map 2 Winner	Esport BERG	47.3¢	$0	-$73	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	9z	34.0¢	$0	-$23	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner	9z	28.0¢	$0	-$44	Trade ↗
Jaguars vs. Broncos	Jaguars	17.1¢	$0	-$583	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	54.7¢	$0	-$2,600	Trade ↗
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	72.8¢	$0	-$172	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 4 Winner	Aurora Gaming	35.3¢	$0	-$1,599	Trade ↗
Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)	Pipsqueak+4	29.5¢	$0	-$99	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stage	MASONIC	62.2¢	$0	-$88	Trade ↗
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner	KT Rolster	31.1¢	$0	-$386	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	79.0¢	$0	-$218	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: underw0rld vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #3 Playoffs	QUINTESSÊNCIA	56.0¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	37.5¢	$0	-$106	Trade ↗
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	56.0¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	49.5¢	$0	-$2,368	Trade ↗
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	36.0¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
73d ago	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner	SELL	Team Liquid	99.9¢	$10,867