smartpreset

34Qualified whaleProven trader

0x16807201e53a62e472b1b62e7835833c1222490d· stats updated 23h ago

Realized PnL

+$43,803

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

66%

236 of 357 resolved

Resolved markets

357

Portfolio value

$4,452

Capital deployed

$768,151

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,867

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 4.6/30Return 4.8/25Consistency 10.1/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -5.8Total 33.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	52.2¢	$2,399	-$83	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	69.0¢	$434	+$62	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	90.0¢	$263	+$4	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	28.3¢	$162	-$42	Trade ↗
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5.9¢	$158	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	85.0¢	$152	-$5	Trade ↗
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners	Texas Rangers	82.0¢	$128	+$23	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	47.7¢	$125	-$88	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	37.5¢	$120	-$214	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	17.9¢	$59	-$117	Trade ↗
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?	No	73.0¢	$50	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by September 30?	No	94.0¢	$43	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	75.8¢	$39	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?	No	82.0¢	$30	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.025T by September 30?	No	94.0¢	$26	+$1	Trade ↗
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?	No	76.0¢	$22	+$4	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	53.5¢	$18	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?	No	70.0¢	$18	+$1	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	89.0¢	$18	+$0	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stage	Blitzkrieg	50.0¢	$17	$0	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	No	72.7¢	$15	+$2	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?	No	90.7¢	$15	+$1	Trade ↗
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T?	No	82.5¢	$13	-$3	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?	No	78.0¢	$12	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win 100 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	94.0¢	$12	+$0	Trade ↗
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	Yes	35.4¢	$12	-$54	Trade ↗
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$11	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	Yes	48.3¢	$11	-$59	Trade ↗
ITF W50 Prague Women: Anna Siskova vs Aneta Kucmova	Aneta Kucmova	50.0¢	$10	$0	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	96.3¢	$9	+$0	Trade ↗
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$9	+$1	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	76.0¢	$9	-$0	Trade ↗
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	JD Gaming	51.0¢	$7	-$0	Trade ↗
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	Yes	93.2¢	$7	-$7	Trade ↗
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	10.4¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$4	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?	Yes	61.0¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by September 30?	Yes	66.0¢	$4	-$2	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	66.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 11, 2026?	Yes	21.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
SC Internacional vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	30.3¢	$0	-$315	Trade ↗
Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	3.5¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs mellren - Map 2 Winner	Esport BERG	47.3¢	$0	-$73	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner	TYLOO	65.0¢	$0	-$981	Trade ↗
Will CA Unión win on 2026-09-07?	No	2.8¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5	Under	23.0¢	$0	-$397	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	54.0¢	$0	-$44	Trade ↗
Estoril Praia vs. FC Arouca: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	15.0¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs	BIG	71.0¢	$0	-$82	Trade ↗
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 29?	Yes	25.8¢	$0	-$54	Trade ↗
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner	KT Rolster	69.3¢	$0	-$1,095	Trade ↗
US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino	Nao Hibino	52.3¢	$0	-$1,051	Trade ↗
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner	KT Rolster	31.1¢	$0	-$386	Trade ↗
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winner	Gentle Mates	68.0¢	$0	-$130	Trade ↗
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	75.7¢	$0	-$357	Trade ↗
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner	GIANTX	20.3¢	$0	-$346	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C	Vitality	81.6¢	$0	-$97	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Over	36.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	8.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?	Yes	30.0¢	$0	-$31	Trade ↗
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner	Karmine Corp Blue	71.9¢	$0	-$317	Trade ↗
Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth <25%?	No	84.4¢	$0	-$62	Trade ↗
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs	T1	45.8¢	$0	-$820	Trade ↗
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	Dplus KIA	61.6¢	$0	-$412	Trade ↗
Torino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 1.5	Over	71.9¢	$0	-$809	Trade ↗
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Gabi Boitan	Gabi Boitan	41.0¢	$0	-$38	Trade ↗
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5	Under	15.5¢	$0	-$1,952	Trade ↗
Trump out as President by August 31?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Byron Donalds finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	59.0¢	$0	-$3,000	Trade ↗
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heide	Gustavo Heide	51.3¢	$0	-$2,737	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	31.0¢	$0	-$30	Trade ↗
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner	Shifters	34.7¢	$0	-$515	Trade ↗
Will England win?	No	36.0¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	EDward Gaming	38.3¢	$0	-$599	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D	9z	68.0¢	$0	-$401	Trade ↗
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner	FlyQuest	37.6¢	$0	-$190	Trade ↗
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Shifters	44.3¢	$0	-$1,013	Trade ↗
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winner	TLN Pirates	26.6¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will SK Brann vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	T1	50.3¢	$0	-$499	Trade ↗
Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)	Shifters	46.9¢	$0	-$74	Trade ↗
AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 4.5	Over	6.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
US Open, Qualification WTA: Vendula Valdmannova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	58.0¢	$0	-$2,631	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	39.5¢	$0	-$2,641	Trade ↗
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner	Fnatic	57.3¢	$0	-$2,776	Trade ↗
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-07?	No	1.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner	Team Heretics	66.0¢	$0	-$909	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D	Wildcard	62.7¢	$0	-$1,261	Trade ↗
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	44.6¢	$0	-$719	Trade ↗
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	49.3¢	$0	-$1,473	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C	100 Thieves	45.0¢	$0	-$363	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	56.5¢	$0	-$45	Trade ↗
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner	KT Rolster	64.7¢	$0	-$2,152	Trade ↗
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-09-01?	No	3.0¢	$0	-$43	Trade ↗
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?	Grüne	53.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner	Nongshim Red Force	70.0¢	$0	-$242	Trade ↗
Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Juan Pablo Ficovich	Juan Pablo Ficovich	41.7¢	$0	-$448	Trade ↗
SC Internacional vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5	Under	50.0¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
27d ago	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner	SELL	Team Liquid	99.9¢	$10,867