deltasniper

0x0826042fb1f3f5ff4325ed7237ebc87468070b32· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

-$45,203

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-1%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

60%

290 of 487 resolved

Resolved markets

487

Portfolio value

$154,812

Capital deployed

$6,291,487

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$97,246

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 6.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 26.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	90.0¢	$15,909	+$88	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	73.8¢	$8,825	+$884	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	98.6¢	$6,933	+$35	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	99.0¢	$5,938	+$3	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	60.6¢	$4,675	+$1,645	Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	81.4¢	$4,025	-$45	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	69.3¢	$3,825	+$359	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	44.6¢	$3,550	-$910	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	79.9¢	$3,525	-$472	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	34.0¢	$3,375	+$1,675	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.0¢	$3,340	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	69.6¢	$3,220	+$436	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	99.3¢	$2,987	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	98.1¢	$2,963	+$20	Trade ↗
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	No	71.5¢	$2,940	+$80	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?	No	89.1¢	$2,924	+$106	Trade ↗
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	90.8¢	$2,829	-$29	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	40.0¢	$2,780	+$1,180	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	52.5¢	$2,740	+$640	Trade ↗
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	84.6¢	$2,647	+$185	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	82.4¢	$2,330	-$143	Trade ↗
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	59.2¢	$2,283	+$593	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	77.2¢	$2,193	+$456	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	70.0¢	$2,130	+$30	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	70.0¢	$2,037	+$288	Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	51.4¢	$2,025	-$5,685	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	55.9¢	$2,024	+$627	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October?	No	98.6¢	$1,989	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	No	94.0¢	$1,960	+$80	Trade ↗
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	82.0¢	$1,938	+$298	Trade ↗
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	84.5¢	$1,886	+$266	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	80.0¢	$1,830	+$230	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	86.0¢	$1,730	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	86.3¢	$1,679	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?	No	97.7¢	$1,669	+$22	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	84.0¢	$1,660	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	57.0¢	$1,590	+$450	Trade ↗
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	52.4¢	$1,530	+$481	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	40.3¢	$1,395	+$185	Trade ↗
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	42.8¢	$1,337	+$481	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	40.0¢	$1,330	+$530	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?	No	96.6¢	$1,302	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	36.7¢	$1,240	-$229	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	44.0¢	$1,174	-$1,026	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	29.9¢	$1,160	-$1,229	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	76.8¢	$1,028	+$113	Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	74.6¢	$979	+$233	Trade ↗
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	88.0¢	$975	+$95	Trade ↗
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	88.0¢	$966	+$86	Trade ↗
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	68.0¢	$940	+$260	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	70.0¢	$925	+$225	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	63.0¢	$894	+$263	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$865	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	39.0¢	$860	+$80	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15.8¢	$789	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	61.0¢	$788	+$233	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?	No	79.1¢	$731	-$52	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	18.4¢	$725	-$195	Trade ↗
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	70.9¢	$707	-$2	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	60.5¢	$667	+$62	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	59.0¢	$605	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	17.0¢	$585	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7.6¢	$524	-$88	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	34.6¢	$509	+$236	Trade ↗
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	63.8¢	$504	-$134	Trade ↗
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	39.0¢	$473	+$39	Trade ↗
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	22.6¢	$469	-$97	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	14.3¢	$449	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4.2¢	$425	+$5	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	62.1¢	$413	-$209	Trade ↗
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	29.0¢	$360	-$220	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	30.0¢	$320	-$280	Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	26.8¢	$288	-$783	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25.0¢	$280	+$30	Trade ↗
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	Yes	0.3¢	$275	+$255	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2.7¢	$275	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $65 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	41.0¢	$270	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5.2¢	$243	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	99.2¢	$225	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	67.5¢	$223	+$27	Trade ↗
KOSPI all-time high before 2028?	Yes	53.0¢	$167	-$155	Trade ↗
Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?	Girl	49.0¢	$146	$0	Trade ↗
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	48.0¢	$145	-$335	Trade ↗
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	23.0¢	$98	-$18	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	47.0¢	$85	-$385	Trade ↗
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	3.1¢	$70	-$68	Trade ↗
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?	Yes	0.5¢	$68	+$54	Trade ↗
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	23.0¢	$49	-$181	Trade ↗
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	0.7¢	$28	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	1.6¢	$25	-$135	Trade ↗
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?	Yes	0.4¢	$10	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	2.1¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?	No	25.0¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	26.8¢	$0	-$803	Trade ↗
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	57.0¢	$0	-$570	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	16.0¢	$0	-$320	Trade ↗
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$2,605	Trade ↗
Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	62.0¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?	No	10.9¢	$0	-$219	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
40d ago	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	BUY	Yes	90.0¢	$36,000
40d ago	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	BUY	Yes	90.0¢	$45,000
42d ago	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	BUY	Yes	82.0¢	$16,246