WhaleWatcher

scottilicious

78Qualified whaleProven trader
0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
+$2,675,892
closed + open positions
Return on capital
5%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$856,485
Capital deployed
$52,358,299
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$2,090,328
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
51

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 4.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.5Total 77.8 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes84.5¢$276,909+$23,941Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo91.1¢$85,123+$1,293Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes76.3¢$70,507-$1,691Trade ↗
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No96.0¢$59,446+$749Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes57.5¢$56,052-$7,284Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No94.4¢$42,914+$2,263Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes79.3¢$34,172+$520Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No86.1¢$32,375+$2,232Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes71.9¢$22,047+$3,936Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes62.0¢$15,323+$1,038Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes89.0¢$12,902-$73Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No96.8¢$12,616+$182Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes93.0¢$12,432+$476Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Yes85.9¢$9,972+$714Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes89.3¢$9,608+$226Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes78.8¢$9,289+$1,114Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No79.7¢$8,716+$1,289Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No64.0¢$7,641+$287Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes69.2¢$6,989+$1,978Trade ↗
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No66.0¢$6,662+$1,962Trade ↗
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes87.5¢$6,324+$60Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No83.7¢$6,305+$585Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes25.0¢$5,934-$2,084Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes92.0¢$4,804-$276Trade ↗
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?No89.4¢$4,366+$78Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No91.0¢$4,350-$200Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.9¢$3,730+$1,345Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes30.0¢$3,300-$2,700Trade ↗
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4.4¢$2,851-$3,214Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes92.3¢$2,649+$129Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Yes83.9¢$2,556+$250Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes92.0¢$2,281-$181Trade ↗
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No73.0¢$2,244+$45Trade ↗
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes72.0¢$1,745-$4,095Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Yes83.7¢$1,573+$15Trade ↗
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes47.6¢$1,384-$1,910Trade ↗
Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Yes90.8¢$1,321-$106Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes25.3¢$1,278-$299Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes18.0¢$1,254-$1,187Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes64.0¢$1,175-$2,025Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?No80.0¢$864+$92Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No80.0¢$833+$143Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2.5¢$676+$163Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2.6¢$503-$133Trade ↗
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.5¢$217-$844Trade ↗
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes0.1¢$100+$0Trade ↗
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes94.0¢$75-$1,260Trade ↗
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes6.7¢$55-$27Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes53.0¢$23-$26Trade ↗
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3.7¢$19-$43Trade ↗
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes35.3¢$4-$2,975Trade ↗
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes10.5¢$0-$43Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes50.0¢$0-$17,518Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No89.9¢$0-$20,360Trade ↗
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No85.0¢$0-$4,250Trade ↗
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes0.4¢$0-$169Trade ↗
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes21.9¢$0-$5,006Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes81.7¢$0-$32,284Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?Yes2.8¢$0-$167Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes47.0¢$0-$56,400Trade ↗
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1.5¢$0-$237Trade ↗
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes0.2¢$0-$177Trade ↗
ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes33.8¢$0-$3,802Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No81.8¢$0-$37,098Trade ↗
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2.1¢$0-$97Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Yes22.5¢$0-$96Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Yes7.3¢$0-$348Trade ↗
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes78.5¢$0-$2,620Trade ↗
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes87.4¢$0-$86,750Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?Yes1.3¢$0-$106Trade ↗
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes47.1¢$0-$3,305Trade ↗
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes44.7¢$0-$306Trade ↗
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes82.9¢$0-$2,422Trade ↗
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes74.4¢$0-$18,879Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No65.3¢$0-$1,091Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
12d agoWill the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?BUYYes89.0¢$12,975
15d agoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUYNo85.5¢$17,093
15d agoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUYNo94.0¢$38,481
27d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUYNo94.0¢$10,338
28d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUYNo95.0¢$16,214
29d agoWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUYYes57.9¢$16,408
29d agoWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUYYes57.4¢$17,803
29d agoWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUYYes57.1¢$19,130
33d agoWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUYYes77.0¢$60,562
33d agoWill the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?BUYYes71.9¢$18,111
34d ago2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUYNo92.0¢$12,568
35d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUYYes98.0¢$11,760
35d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUYYes98.0¢$27,410
35d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUYYes98.2¢$43,688
35d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUYYes95.0¢$14,250
35d agoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUYNo95.7¢$39,889
35d agoWill the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUYYes93.0¢$11,949
35d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUYYes90.9¢$41,246
39d agoWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELLYes76.0¢$13,676
44d agoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELLNo97.5¢$49,309
45d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYNo98.2¢$15,169
46d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes47.0¢$52,233
46d agoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUYYes87.0¢$42,770
47d agoWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUYYes79.6¢$11,938
48d agoWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELLNo98.6¢$30,879