DFK

57Qualified whaleProven trader

0x0dde1b35552efae5aa3759aedb6fa7b2d6f594c3· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$85,857

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$258,059

Capital deployed

$3,077,566

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$22,037

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 10.0/30Return 2.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 57.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	92.2¢	$27,715	+$943	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	93.1¢	$24,687	+$929	Trade ↗
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	94.2¢	$15,364	+$673	Trade ↗
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	90.7¢	$13,602	+$613	Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	86.2¢	$12,051	+$1,169	Trade ↗
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	88.9¢	$11,628	-$390	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	92.3¢	$8,623	+$155	Trade ↗
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	No	98.7¢	$8,064	+$5	Trade ↗
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	No	97.2¢	$7,900	+$54	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	88.9¢	$7,435	+$291	Trade ↗
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	No	83.2¢	$6,990	+$935	Trade ↗
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	86.9¢	$6,576	+$459	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	93.6¢	$6,512	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	89.2¢	$5,599	+$334	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	81.6¢	$5,044	-$197	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	No	94.0¢	$4,951	+$160	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	88.3¢	$4,817	+$193	Trade ↗
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	93.7¢	$4,501	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	No	88.4¢	$4,105	+$358	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?	No	94.2¢	$4,089	+$129	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	96.5¢	$3,528	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	78.8¢	$3,491	+$197	Trade ↗
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	No	84.9¢	$3,009	+$347	Trade ↗
French election called by December 31, 2026?	No	91.4¢	$2,792	+$91	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	94.0¢	$2,703	+$72	Trade ↗
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	91.3¢	$2,679	+$136	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	84.2¢	$2,637	-$54	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	82.8¢	$2,538	-$121	Trade ↗
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	87.0¢	$2,294	-$56	Trade ↗
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	93.7¢	$2,201	+$64	Trade ↗
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	90.0¢	$1,927	+$127	Trade ↗
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	95.0¢	$1,876	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	91.0¢	$1,830	+$10	Trade ↗
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	89.1¢	$1,778	+$149	Trade ↗
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	93.1¢	$1,721	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	94.5¢	$1,656	+$37	Trade ↗
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?	No	94.0¢	$1,606	+$51	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	84.6¢	$1,546	+$155	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?	No	88.2¢	$1,490	+$84	Trade ↗
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?	No	91.4¢	$1,477	+$88	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	83.6¢	$1,463	-$1	Trade ↗
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	95.7¢	$1,458	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	92.4¢	$1,330	+$22	Trade ↗
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	No	89.0¢	$1,187	+$67	Trade ↗
JD Vance Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	94.0¢	$1,125	+$51	Trade ↗
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?	No	92.5¢	$1,095	+$34	Trade ↗
Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?	No	90.5¢	$890	+$53	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	90.9¢	$883	+$46	Trade ↗
NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	94.2¢	$873	+$7	Trade ↗
Will AP call US House control by November 6, 11:59 PM?	Yes	91.5¢	$764	+$39	Trade ↗
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?	No	76.8¢	$736	+$16	Trade ↗
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	94.9¢	$698	$0	Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	96.2¢	$697	+$7	Trade ↗
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	No	87.2¢	$654	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	88.3¢	$546	+$0	Trade ↗
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	No	83.0¢	$513	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?	No	92.1¢	$480	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	92.3¢	$462	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	73.9¢	$413	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	77.0¢	$396	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by June 30, 2027	No	82.1¢	$395	+$20	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: October	Nothing	93.3¢	$390	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	90.9¢	$384	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027?	No	84.6¢	$377	-$12	Trade ↗
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?	No	92.7¢	$377	+$8	Trade ↗
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	No	87.6¢	$368	-$21	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	76.6¢	$321	+$12	Trade ↗
Will AP call US House control by November 10, 11:59 PM?	Yes	93.2¢	$292	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	60.8¢	$272	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?	No	77.0¢	$269	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$250	-$4	Trade ↗
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?	No	93.0¢	$244	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No	96.0¢	$237	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	95.5¢	$237	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	45.8¢	$178	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	84.2¢	$171	-$44	Trade ↗
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?	No	85.0¢	$169	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Susan Rice be arrested before 2027?	No	92.0¢	$155	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by October 31, 2026?	No	97.3¢	$149	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	61.8¢	$147	+$11	Trade ↗
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?	Yes	73.1¢	$146	+$26	Trade ↗
Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?	Yes	92.3¢	$138	+$8	Trade ↗
Will AP call US Senate control by November 18, 11:59 PM?	Yes	84.0¢	$137	+$11	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?	No	84.0¢	$107	-$1	Trade ↗
D4vd released from custody in 2026?	No	92.4¢	$100	+$1	Trade ↗
Will AP call US House control by November 5, 11:59 PM?	Yes	82.1¢	$99	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	94.6¢	$76	-$0	Trade ↗
Panama Canal effectively closed by November 30?	No	97.0¢	$49	+$0	Trade ↗
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?	No	96.1¢	$35	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2.2¢	$30	+$15	Trade ↗
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	90.2¢	$24	+$2	Trade ↗
Will AP call US Senate control by December 2, 11:59 PM?	Yes	88.0¢	$20	+$1	Trade ↗
Diddy released from custody in 2026?	No	65.0¢	$20	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?	No	70.0¢	$0	-$210	Trade ↗
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	65.2¢	$0	-$2,050	Trade ↗
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	46.0¢	$0	-$103	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	SELL	No	95.0¢	$11,400
37d ago	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	SELL	No	96.7¢	$10,637