ndb1

81Qualified whaleProven trader

0xfea31bc088000ff909be1dfd8d0e3f2c7ef2d227· stats updated 15h ago

Realized PnL

+$15,529,749

closed + open positions

Return on capital

10%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$4,267,471

Capital deployed

$152,789,437

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$2,425,420

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

500

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 8.5/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.4Total 81.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	26.5¢	$1,568,884	+$934,183	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	22.9¢	$561,239	+$56,698	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	90.8¢	$402,749	+$3,262	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	90.1¢	$376,222	+$5,839	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	70.7¢	$327,175	+$62,810	Trade ↗
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	78.4¢	$192,907	-$4,847	Trade ↗
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	95.7¢	$88,299	+$3,764	Trade ↗
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	85.7¢	$85,340	+$8,189	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	90.4¢	$83,579	+$6,180	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	92.9¢	$67,344	+$4,318	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	76.3¢	$53,103	+$11,153	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	94.5¢	$42,253	+$1,576	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	35.0¢	$38,669	+$24,347	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	96.6¢	$30,614	+$798	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	96.5¢	$29,745	+$783	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	96.1¢	$29,235	+$405	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	31.8¢	$25,817	+$2,014	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	96.6¢	$24,902	+$532	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	95.2¢	$19,770	+$769	Trade ↗
Will Eddie Howe be the next head coach of the England national team?	No	90.4¢	$16,924	+$1,481	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	98.0¢	$11,780	+$179	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	46.1¢	$9,924	+$2,941	Trade ↗
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	87.1¢	$7,925	+$68	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	35.0¢	$7,223	+$4,624	Trade ↗
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	52.5¢	$5,609	+$208	Trade ↗
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	69.0¢	$4,062	+$745	Trade ↗
Will the Patriots win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	64.0¢	$3,175	-$25	Trade ↗
Will there be 3+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	86.7¢	$3,042	+$312	Trade ↗
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	72.0¢	$2,492	-$53	Trade ↗
Will Slovakia win 2026-27 Nations League Group C3?	Yes	94.6¢	$2,472	+$40	Trade ↗
Will a Senior or Graduate win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	No	76.6¢	$2,403	+$486	Trade ↗
Will Anze Kopitar record 100+ points?	No	97.9¢	$2,271	+$11	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	22.9¢	$2,164	-$493,909	Trade ↗
Will Inter Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	74.0¢	$2,105	+$251	Trade ↗
Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1?	Yes	94.0¢	$2,051	+$53	Trade ↗
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	No	50.0¢	$1,997	+$997	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the most Player of the Match awards in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	84.6¢	$1,881	+$158	Trade ↗
Will Trey McBride have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	74.0¢	$1,860	+$380	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	57.3¢	$1,841	-$21,606	Trade ↗
Will Puka Nacua have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	81.0¢	$1,510	-$110	Trade ↗
Will Jake Moody finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	95.7¢	$1,364	+$45	Trade ↗
Will De'Von Achane finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	98.0¢	$1,293	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Jarrett Stidham finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	98.5¢	$1,260	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Omonia finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	No	89.3¢	$1,259	+$76	Trade ↗
Will the season series between the Browns and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	52.2¢	$1,194	-$79	Trade ↗
Will South Korea win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	69.2¢	$1,137	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Garrett Wilson be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	81.4¢	$1,127	+$209	Trade ↗
Will Josh Allen finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	87.5¢	$1,122	+$131	Trade ↗
Will Brian Burns have 15+ sacks in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	97.0¢	$1,082	+$26	Trade ↗
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?	Yes	91.3¢	$1,064	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Green Bay Packers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards?	No	88.0¢	$1,059	+$22	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	50.2¢	$1,034	+$254	Trade ↗
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	13.0¢	$1,005	+$104	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	U 10.5	92.6¢	$939	+$49	Trade ↗
Will South Florida Bulls Win the 2026 American Conference?	No	77.7¢	$935	+$203	Trade ↗
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	97.9¢	$928	+$8	Trade ↗
Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	63.7¢	$915	-$146	Trade ↗
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	0.8¢	$914	+$869	Trade ↗
Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	No	42.0¢	$909	+$202	Trade ↗
Will Roma reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	87.0¢	$905	+$35	Trade ↗
Will Zane Gonzalez finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	97.6¢	$868	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	0.8¢	$855	+$810	Trade ↗
Will Puka Nacua have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	88.0¢	$830	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Luther Burden III be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	97.0¢	$810	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Omarion Hampton have 949.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	50.0¢	$810	+$310	Trade ↗
Will Alexia Putellas finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	96.7¢	$803	+$25	Trade ↗
Will the Miami Dolphins have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	94.5¢	$799	+$23	Trade ↗
Will the Tennessee Titans have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	94.7¢	$799	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	69.6¢	$791	+$72	Trade ↗
Will Wisconsin win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?	No	96.5¢	$786	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Nico Collins finish as a top-5 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	93.8¢	$775	+$23	Trade ↗
Will AEK Athens finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	93.5¢	$772	+$38	Trade ↗
Will a player from the SEC win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	No	63.8¢	$766	+$252	Trade ↗
Will Josh Jacobs have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	86.3¢	$764	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Club Brugge finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	50.0¢	$754	+$261	Trade ↗
Will Cincinnati have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 5.5	39.4¢	$746	+$329	Trade ↗
Will Cameron Ward be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	93.0¢	$736	+$51	Trade ↗
Will Michael Wilson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	70.0¢	$725	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Rico Dowdle be the first RB to 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	97.6¢	$723	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	Yes	52.4¢	$708	+$94	Trade ↗
Will Omarion Hampton have 1,149.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	64.0¢	$696	+$172	Trade ↗
Will Josh Jacobs be the first RB to 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	95.9¢	$681	+$24	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$680	+$25	Trade ↗
Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	62.0¢	$670	+$160	Trade ↗
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	No	99.8¢	$665	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Uganda win AFCON 2027?	No	87.9¢	$661	+$58	Trade ↗
Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	54.5¢	$660	+$110	Trade ↗
Will Aaron Jones be the first RB to 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	95.9¢	$649	+$24	Trade ↗
Will Galatasaray finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	93.2¢	$642	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Emeka Egbuka be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	95.7¢	$634	+$23	Trade ↗
Will Josh Jacobs finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	95.3¢	$629	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Jadarian Price be the first RB to 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	94.5¢	$628	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Spain win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3?	Yes	77.6¢	$620	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Anze Kopitar record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	97.2¢	$617	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	79.8¢	$612	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Trevor Lawrence have 3,774.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	50.0¢	$610	-$390	Trade ↗
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	68.0¢	$607	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	83.6¢	$606	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Courtland Sutton have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	92.0¢	$605	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Jayden Daniels have 749.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	73.0¢	$595	-$135	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
15h ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	BUY	No	99.3¢	$14,463
22h ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	BUY	No	99.3¢	$24,825
22h ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	BUY	No	99.3¢	$18,258
1d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	BUY	No	99.2¢	$19,854
1d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	BUY	No	99.3¢	$12,934
1d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	SELL	Yes	0.7¢	$13,874
1d ago	Rockets vs. Spurs	BUY	Spurs	64.0¢	$34,025
1d ago	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	SELL	No	92.0¢	$29,716
1d ago	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	SELL	No	92.0¢	$18,400
1d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	Yes	92.0¢	$35,895
1d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	Yes	92.0¢	$46,000
1d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	Yes	92.0¢	$27,600
1d ago	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	No	92.0¢	$16,345
1d ago	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	No	92.0¢	$18,400
2d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	Yes	67.0¢	$49,790
2d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	Yes	67.0¢	$86,681
3d ago	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	No	92.0¢	$18,400
3d ago	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	No	92.0¢	$46,000
13d ago	Vikings vs. Saints	BUY	Vikings	99.7¢	$19,383
17d ago	Will Eddie Howe be the next head coach of the England national team?	BUY	No	90.4¢	$19,022
18d ago	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY	No	92.0¢	$18,016
19d ago	Falcons vs. Saints	BUY	Falcons	66.0¢	$34,199
19d ago	Falcons vs. Saints	BUY	Falcons	66.0¢	$84,905
19d ago	Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 47.5	BUY	Under	50.0¢	$63,645
26d ago	Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 41.5	BUY	Under	47.0¢	$65,800