ndb1

84Qualified whaleProven trader

0xfea31bc088000ff909be1dfd8d0e3f2c7ef2d227· stats updated 6d ago

Realized PnL

+$13,923,944

closed + open positions

Return on capital

11%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$1,560,074

Capital deployed

$127,442,063

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$935,700

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

211

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 9.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 84.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	50.0¢	$381,275	+$3,775	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	50.0¢	$373,725	-$3,775	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	70.0¢	$216,261	+$15,753	Trade ↗
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	95.7¢	$87,460	+$2,925	Trade ↗
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	85.7¢	$84,214	+$7,063	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	90.4¢	$83,407	+$6,009	Trade ↗
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	80.0¢	$44,467	+$1,864	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	94.5¢	$42,102	+$1,425	Trade ↗
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	96.0¢	$39,935	+$1,428	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	96.6¢	$30,398	+$582	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	96.5¢	$29,655	+$693	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	96.1¢	$28,845	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	96.6¢	$24,978	+$608	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	95.2¢	$19,760	+$759	Trade ↗
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Soto	27.2¢	$14,306	+$10,330	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	98.0¢	$11,709	+$108	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	49.0¢	$6,202	+$63	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	54.0¢	$4,248	-$482	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	48.0¢	$2,780	+$138	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	35.0¢	$2,711	+$111	Trade ↗
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	No	50.0¢	$1,956	+$956	Trade ↗
Will Puka Nacua have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	81.0¢	$1,620	$0	Trade ↗
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?	No	65.2¢	$1,478	+$512	Trade ↗
Will Trey McBride have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	74.0¢	$1,410	-$70	Trade ↗
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	No	79.0¢	$1,213	+$251	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	30.0¢	$1,117	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Trevor Lawrence have 3,774.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	50.0¢	$980	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	13.0¢	$936	+$35	Trade ↗
Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	No	97.8¢	$845	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	61.0¢	$840	-$1,252	Trade ↗
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	69.6¢	$780	+$61	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$668	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Omarion Hampton have 1,149.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	64.0¢	$592	-$34	Trade ↗
Will Miami Hurricanes Win the 2026 ACC Championship?	No	38.7¢	$554	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Omarion Hampton have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	48.0¢	$485	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Love have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	50.0¢	$480	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Omarion Hampton have 949.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	50.0¢	$480	-$20	Trade ↗
MLB: Scorigami in 2026?	No	85.4¢	$474	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Georgia Tech have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	41.5¢	$428	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Cincinnati have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 5.5	39.4¢	$423	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Taylor Ward lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	No	97.6¢	$374	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	53.8¢	$372	-$58	Trade ↗
Will Cameron Ward have 12.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	80.0¢	$366	+$54	Trade ↗
Will T.J. Watt win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	92.1¢	$360	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Saquon Barkley have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	77.0¢	$338	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Addison have 474.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	24.0¢	$335	+$95	Trade ↗
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos	Hanwha Eagles	39.7¢	$321	+$20	Trade ↗
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos	LG Twins	50.0¢	$296	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	60.0¢	$295	-$5	Trade ↗
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Over	42.8¢	$279	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Justin Herbert have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	62.0¢	$263	-$48	Trade ↗
Will Tre Tucker have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	48.0¢	$255	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Jalen Hurts have 599.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	65.9¢	$249	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Alexandra Eala advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?	No	61.0¢	$245	-$80	Trade ↗
Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	78.0¢	$239	+$5	Trade ↗
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	38.6¢	$237	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Jayden Daniels have 549.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	48.0¢	$233	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Ashton Jeanty have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	45.0¢	$220	-$5	Trade ↗
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers	Samsung Lions	50.1¢	$213	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	No	76.4¢	$211	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	28.0¢	$210	-$70	Trade ↗
Will Zay Flowers have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	27.0¢	$205	-$65	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Love have 3,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	76.0¢	$202	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Jalen Hurts have 399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	43.0¢	$190	-$25	Trade ↗
Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	61.0¢	$188	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Michigan State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 4.5	59.0¢	$183	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Naoya Kihara win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?	No	85.5¢	$177	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Drake Maye have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	71.0¢	$171	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	64.0¢	$169	-$816	Trade ↗
Will Ashton Jeanty have 974.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	51.0¢	$163	-$93	Trade ↗
Will Courtland Sutton have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	19.0¢	$155	-$35	Trade ↗
Will Jayden Reed have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	0.0¢	$155	+$155	Trade ↗
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Tampa Bay Rays	41.6¢	$152	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	30.0¢	$151	+$91	Trade ↗
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	49.0¢	$149	-$3	Trade ↗
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	42.0¢	$146	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Ashton Jeanty have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	57.0¢	$144	-$27	Trade ↗
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	81.0¢	$139	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Christian Watson have 599.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	31.0¢	$138	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Josh Allen have 3,599.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	43.0¢	$135	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Carnell Tate have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	41.0¢	$125	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Matt Olson hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	97.0¢	$123	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Josh Allen have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	87.0¢	$120	-$24	Trade ↗
Will Josh Allen have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	24.9¢	$118	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Juwan Johnson have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	25.0¢	$115	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Matthew Golden have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	70.0¢	$114	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Chuba Hubbard have 624.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	39.0¢	$113	-$83	Trade ↗
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants	Hanwha Eagles	52.0¢	$102	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Jadarian Price have 549.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	33.0¢	$100	-$65	Trade ↗
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	63.9¢	$98	-$148	Trade ↗
Will Jaxson Dart have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	24.0¢	$98	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Chris Godwin have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	52.0¢	$97	-$93	Trade ↗
Will Alexander Bublik Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	No	92.0¢	$94	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Terry McLaurin have 749.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	64.0¢	$94	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	47.0¢	$92	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	1.0¢	$91	-$1,695	Trade ↗
Will Ashton Jeanty have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	25.0¢	$86	-$12	Trade ↗
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	18.0¢	$86	+$11	Trade ↗
Will CeeDee Lamb have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	31.0¢	$84	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	52.0¢	$82	+$21	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
13d ago	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner	SELL	Team Falcons	99.9¢	$361,386
13d ago	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner	SELL	Team Falcons	99.9¢	$174,941
13d ago	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner	BUY	Team Falcons	75.0¢	$399,373