SquirrelTheMerchant

49Qualified whaleProven trader

0xfb593511b24df1edff63c35de81c72d5733683f9· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$115,522

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

67%

177 of 264 resolved

Resolved markets

264

Portfolio value

$138,994

Capital deployed

$1,729,770

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,930

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 12.4/30Return 5.6/25Consistency 10.7/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 48.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	82.6¢	$17,020	+$2,768	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	91.0¢	$11,995	+$66	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	78.0¢	$10,979	-$270	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	83.9¢	$9,821	+$251	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.8¢	$9,763	-$32	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	92.0¢	$9,250	+$50	Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	90.1¢	$8,415	+$305	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	85.7¢	$6,874	+$132	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	49.4¢	$6,210	+$213	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	68.8¢	$5,991	+$142	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	68.5¢	$5,555	+$939	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	81.4¢	$5,355	-$341	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	31.4¢	$4,367	-$538	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	72.9¢	$3,918	+$230	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	85.0¢	$3,069	-$55	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	62.0¢	$2,660	+$180	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	70.5¢	$2,631	+$381	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	92.8¢	$2,197	+$91	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	91.7¢	$2,021	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	96.2¢	$1,723	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	47.0¢	$1,444	+$59	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	90.0¢	$1,380	+$30	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	61.0¢	$1,099	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	77.5¢	$1,050	+$62	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	97.5¢	$781	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	70.0¢	$715	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	88.8¢	$561	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	46.9¢	$492	+$23	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	55.1¢	$415	+$64	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	64.6¢	$376	+$8	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	37.5¢	$369	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	46.0¢	$153	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	61.0¢	$145	+$11	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	96.0¢	$98	+$2	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	12.6¢	$84	-$109	Trade ↗
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	29.0¢	$12	+$1	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	8.0¢	$4	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.7¢	$0	-$11,588	Trade ↗
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	69.0¢	$0	-$55	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$154	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?	Yes	9.9¢	$0	-$56	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$18	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$71	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	22.8¢	$0	-$8,996	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$68	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	20.1¢	$0	-$2,146	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?	Yes	3.3¢	$0	-$175	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	Yes	9.4¢	$0	-$704	Trade ↗
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?	No	47.7¢	$0	-$1,419	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$108	Trade ↗
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 40.5	Under	50.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Rams vs. Broncos	Rams	51.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5	Over	50.0¢	$0	-$110	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$310	Trade ↗
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?	No	39.2¢	$0	-$768	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	Yes	18.2¢	$0	-$793	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?	No	1.9¢	$0	-$95	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
3d ago	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	BUY	No	91.0¢	$11,930