LA17

35Proven trader

0xf6eab31d96d24310f33f258bc48a01bd48bc0a00· stats updated 6d ago

Realized PnL

+$15,265

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

78%

305 of 392 resolved

Resolved markets

392

Portfolio value

$57,715

Capital deployed

$1,759,481

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,639

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.7/25Consistency 17.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.3Total 34.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	93.0¢	$23,794	+$695	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	86.3¢	$5,917	+$145	Trade ↗
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	90.9¢	$5,620	+$96	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	76.4¢	$4,911	-$127	Trade ↗
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	89.3¢	$4,372	+$85	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	87.6¢	$3,103	+$35	Trade ↗
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	90.1¢	$1,700	+$67	Trade ↗
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	87.8¢	$1,495	+$82	Trade ↗
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$1,436	+$537	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	90.7¢	$1,071	+$6	Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	88.0¢	$704	$0	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	95.7¢	$487	+$3	Trade ↗
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	91.5¢	$458	+$1	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2027?	No	72.5¢	$375	-$22	Trade ↗
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	5.4¢	$368	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	89.3¢	$336	+$23	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	68.5¢	$328	-$40	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	90.5¢	$274	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in August?	No	98.0¢	$268	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	85.0¢	$242	+$1	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	7.0¢	$170	+$30	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	8.0¢	$75	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	4.1¢	$54	+$3	Trade ↗
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	0.6¢	$42	+$4	Trade ↗
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	0.4¢	$37	+$16	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	8.5¢	$35	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.7¢	$16	-$1	Trade ↗
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	9.4¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	1.4¢	$9	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	5.9¢	$6	-$12	Trade ↗
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	87.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
6d ago	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	SELL	No	99.3¢	$11,639