LA17

36Proven trader

0xf6eab31d96d24310f33f258bc48a01bd48bc0a00· stats updated 23h ago

Realized PnL

+$16,073

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

78%

338 of 435 resolved

Resolved markets

435

Portfolio value

$80,232

Capital deployed

$2,023,729

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$33,979

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.7/25Consistency 17.3/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.3Total 35.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	98.7¢	$29,414	+$255	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	95.0¢	$9,276	+$10	Trade ↗
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	22.1¢	$5,704	+$3,915	Trade ↗
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	89.4¢	$4,634	+$257	Trade ↗
GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	95.8¢	$4,378	+$58	Trade ↗
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	92.3¢	$3,300	+$22	Trade ↗
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	96.5¢	$3,171	+$63	Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	87.7¢	$2,747	-$21	Trade ↗
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?	No	96.3¢	$2,717	+$60	Trade ↗
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	95.0¢	$2,445	+$41	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	74.3¢	$1,805	-$3,467	Trade ↗
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	91.8¢	$1,768	-$5	Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	75.2¢	$1,500	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?	No	84.2¢	$1,017	-$34	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2027?	No	67.9¢	$967	-$51	Trade ↗
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?	No	93.0¢	$841	+$41	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	80.3¢	$815	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$805	+$21	Trade ↗
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?	No	96.2¢	$784	-$5	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	23.5¢	$620	-$90	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	91.0¢	$366	+$2	Trade ↗
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	14.7¢	$291	-$5	Trade ↗
Plague case in US by December 31?	No	92.7¢	$202	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?	No	95.3¢	$199	+$1	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	13.7¢	$193	-$288	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	7.8¢	$72	-$344	Trade ↗
New pandemic before 2028?	Yes	10.3¢	$64	+$1	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	97.5¢	$59	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	6.2¢	$33	-$55	Trade ↗
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	0.8¢	$18	-$42	Trade ↗
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	0.6¢	$8	-$11	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	1.4¢	$8	-$19	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	8.5¢	$6	-$32	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	7.0¢	$5	-$47	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
11d ago	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	SELL	No	97.1¢	$11,290
26d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	85.0¢	$11,050
51d ago	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	SELL	No	99.3¢	$11,639