0xf1e1…6f6f

0xf1e1d98271d19cb607450ce5242df086df2e6f6f· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$21,251

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

50%

4 of 8 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$34,181

Capital deployed

$306,109

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$15,966

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 5.8/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 0.0/20Concentration -2.7Total 3.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	96.5¢	$13,116	-$11	Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	85.8¢	$9,468	-$1,150	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	82.3¢	$6,199	-$563	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	59.8¢	$2,039	+$748	Trade ↗
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	41.7¢	$1,416	-$457	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	94.9¢	$472	+$18	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	No	99.1¢	$320	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	51.8¢	$169	+$39	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	19.1¢	$165	-$961	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.7¢	$135	-$128	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	39.5¢	$91	-$40	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	90.3¢	$90	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	51.7¢	$71	-$20	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	1.1¢	$64	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	2.7¢	$63	+$5	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	97.3¢	$59	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	92.9¢	$35	+$1	Trade ↗
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	90.1¢	$33	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	22.0¢	$26	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	82.0¢	$20	-$1	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	9.5¢	$20	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	No	82.0¢	$18	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	18.5¢	$13	-$16	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	63.3¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	8.3¢	$10	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	91.0¢	$9	-$0	Trade ↗
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	0.8¢	$8	-$19	Trade ↗
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	19.6¢	$7	-$14	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	8.8¢	$6	+$4	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	60.5¢	$6	+$1	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	81.5¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	3.4¢	$4	+$3	Trade ↗
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	0.3¢	$4	-$18	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	2.7¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	39.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	25.0¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	11.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	No	40.9¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	1.3¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	6.8¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	9.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	1.4¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	9.3¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
47d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	52.0¢	$15,966