WharfMan

62Qualified whaleProven trader

0xe53312c6c15af508e0c31e2cfadbefddd399ab29· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$289,738

closed + open positions

Return on capital

14%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

70%

349 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$46,678

Capital deployed

$2,089,477

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$19,960

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 19.9/30Return 11.6/25Consistency 12.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.3Total 61.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	62.0¢	$16,925	-$4,719	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	96.9¢	$4,363	+$2	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	63.6¢	$4,037	-$1,372	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	91.0¢	$3,620	-$20	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	85.0¢	$2,788	-$186	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	67.6¢	$2,362	-$2	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	94.0¢	$2,339	-$12	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?	No	73.4¢	$2,337	+$503	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	79.5¢	$1,750	+$160	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	54.2¢	$1,519	-$677	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	42.3¢	$1,455	+$185	Trade ↗
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	67.0¢	$975	+$306	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	60.8¢	$737	-$782	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	58.4¢	$729	-$439	Trade ↗
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	10.0¢	$225	-$275	Trade ↗
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	82.3¢	$202	+$8	Trade ↗
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	Yes	31.0¢	$178	+$114	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	70.0¢	$98	-$953	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	9.6¢	$25	-$645	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	23.0¢	$14	-$906	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$990	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$1,000	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	No	60.0¢	$0	-$2,400	Trade ↗
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	50.0¢	$0	-$750	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
29d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	BUY	No	99.8¢	$19,960