WhaleWatcher

AngryRhino

56Qualified whaleProven trader
0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
+$193,508
closed + open positions
Return on capital
3%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
76%
150 of 197 resolved
Resolved markets
197
Portfolio value
$160,162
Capital deployed
$5,784,001
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$260,495
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
55

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 16.6/30Return 2.8/25Consistency 16.3/25Sample size 19.9/20Concentration 0.0Total 55.7 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No93.3¢$23,124+$700Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No93.0¢$18,700+$100Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes89.6¢$17,719+$1,128Trade ↗
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No66.6¢$13,421+$4,041Trade ↗
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?Over95.0¢$9,955+$455Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No90.0¢$9,785+$785Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No92.0¢$9,450+$250Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No60.0¢$8,250+$2,250Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No64.8¢$7,550+$1,070Trade ↗
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No76.2¢$7,162+$1,204Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No87.0¢$6,545+$455Trade ↗
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No70.0¢$4,482+$983Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes89.0¢$4,450$0Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No85.0¢$3,500+$100Trade ↗
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No93.0¢$2,748-$388Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?No89.5¢$1,759-$0Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?No89.7¢$1,692+$69Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No90.0¢$1,478+$93Trade ↗
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?No83.8¢$1,253+$153Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?No87.0¢$1,237+$86Trade ↗
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No75.0¢$964+$214Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes90.0¢$919+$39Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No80.0¢$905+$105Trade ↗
Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?No74.9¢$902+$62Trade ↗
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?No90.0¢$653+$18Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No55.0¢$429+$99Trade ↗
Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?No90.0¢$421+$5Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes20.7¢$325-$711Trade ↗
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No25.0¢$163+$118Trade ↗
Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes2.6¢$82-$97Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No55.0¢$64+$14Trade ↗
Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes14.6¢$40-$49Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No90.0¢$12+$1Trade ↗
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?No10.0¢$9-$591Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?No80.0¢$7+$1Trade ↗
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?No4.3¢$0-$86Trade ↗
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes5.5¢$0-$1,667Trade ↗
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes74.0¢$0-$370Trade ↗
Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
Commanders vs. EaglesEagles65.0¢$0-$4,235Trade ↗
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No82.0¢$0-$23,288Trade ↗
Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
Cowboys vs. GiantsCowboys65.9¢$0-$3,295Trade ↗
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?Yes3.8¢$0-$769Trade ↗
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?Yes15.0¢$0-$131Trade ↗
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes61.0¢$0-$62Trade ↗
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,100,000 by February 1?Yes18.0¢$0-$21Trade ↗
Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes0.9¢$0-$502Trade ↗
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes5.5¢$0-$1,667Trade ↗
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes5.5¢$0-$1,667Trade ↗
Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes42.0¢$0-$4,200Trade ↗
Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?Yes28.0¢$0-$880Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Yes66.0¢$0-$4,279Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?Yes11.0¢$0-$51Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No70.8¢$0-$7,433Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes5.5¢$0-$1,667Trade ↗
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes5.5¢$0-$1,667Trade ↗
Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
Colts vs. TexansColts18.0¢$0-$900Trade ↗
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No52.5¢$0-$2,562Trade ↗
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes5.5¢$0-$1,667Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No92.3¢$0-$35,065Trade ↗
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?Yes3.8¢$0-$769Trade ↗
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3.7¢$0-$605Trade ↗
Will Ciucu win by at least 12%?No97.0¢$0-$2,668Trade ↗
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes39.9¢$0-$1,001Trade ↗
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes28.8¢$0-$17Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?Yes33.0¢$0-$1,650Trade ↗
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No56.9¢$0-$9Trade ↗
Will another candidate win the Bucharest mayoral election?Yes16.1¢$0-$45Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)