WhaleWatcher

AngryRhino

56Qualified whaleProven trader
0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92· stats updated 1h ago
Realized PnL
+$172,771
closed + open positions
Return on capital
3%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
78%
175 of 225 resolved
Resolved markets
225
Portfolio value
$235,625
Capital deployed
$5,519,976
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$462,758
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
70

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 15.7/30Return 2.6/25Consistency 17.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 55.7 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No94.2¢$48,008+$1,480Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes92.3¢$33,719+$1,687Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No96.9¢$25,221-$147Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes92.8¢$15,424-$930Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?No97.0¢$14,521+$199Trade ↗
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No66.6¢$13,499+$4,118Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No92.6¢$10,873-$631Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes88.6¢$8,908+$278Trade ↗
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No76.2¢$7,537+$1,579Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes96.0¢$4,826+$91Trade ↗
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No70.0¢$4,732+$1,233Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes92.0¢$4,671+$0Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?No96.5¢$4,537+$35Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?Yes91.7¢$4,079+$96Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No85.0¢$3,740+$340Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes68.0¢$3,725+$325Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Yes93.0¢$2,373+$38Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes93.0¢$2,361+$87Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Yes93.7¢$2,087+$27Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes66.0¢$1,788+$149Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?No89.7¢$1,624+$2Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?No89.5¢$1,567-$192Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?No89.7¢$1,441+$74Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Yes92.3¢$1,413+$52Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Yes96.0¢$1,315+$14Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?No87.0¢$1,262+$111Trade ↗
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?No83.8¢$1,227+$127Trade ↗
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No75.0¢$981+$231Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Yes95.8¢$961+$3Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No80.0¢$929+$129Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes94.3¢$766+$7Trade ↗
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?No90.0¢$702+$66Trade ↗
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes46.0¢$700+$189Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?Yes95.0¢$630-$5Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?No6.7¢$621-$274Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No79.0¢$589+$81Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No14.0¢$353+$99Trade ↗
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes6.6¢$342-$431Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Yes94.0¢$332+$3Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes14.0¢$314+$89Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Yes91.0¢$311-$2Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes20.7¢$225-$811Trade ↗
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No25.0¢$170+$125Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No55.0¢$65+$15Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?No94.8¢$52+$1Trade ↗
Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes14.6¢$46-$43Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No88.0¢$31+$1Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No90.0¢$12+$1Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?No80.0¢$7+$1Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes7.7¢$2-$229Trade ↗
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?No4.3¢$0-$86Trade ↗
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes74.0¢$0-$370Trade ↗
Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Commanders vs. EaglesEagles65.0¢$0-$4,235Trade ↗
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No82.0¢$0-$23,288Trade ↗
Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Cowboys vs. GiantsCowboys65.9¢$0-$3,295Trade ↗
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?Yes15.0¢$0-$131Trade ↗
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes61.0¢$0-$62Trade ↗
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,100,000 by February 1?Yes18.0¢$0-$21Trade ↗
Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes0.6¢$0-$311Trade ↗
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes42.0¢$0-$4,200Trade ↗
Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?Yes28.0¢$0-$880Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Yes66.0¢$0-$4,279Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?Yes11.0¢$0-$51Trade ↗
Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes2.6¢$0-$179Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No70.8¢$0-$7,433Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
6d agoWill the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?SELLNo89.0¢$13,032
34d agoWill the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?BUYYes92.9¢$15,239
34d agoWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUYYes55.0¢$22,000
34d agoWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUYNo55.0¢$20,827
34d agoWill the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUYNo81.0¢$17,820
35d agoWill the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?BUYNo97.0¢$14,322
35d agoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELLNo93.0¢$18,600
35d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELLNo83.0¢$24,900
37d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUYNo84.0¢$25,200
41d agoWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUYYes95.1¢$10,323
41d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes80.0¢$20,000
50d agoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELLNo92.0¢$18,400
50d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELLNo85.0¢$17,000
50d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELLNo97.8¢$24,449
50d agoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELLNo92.0¢$12,604
50d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELLNo85.0¢$18,955
53d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUYNo84.0¢$13,020
59d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELLNo89.0¢$44,500
60d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYNo97.2¢$19,439
60d agoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUYNo93.0¢$31,341
67d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUYNo83.0¢$16,600
68d agoWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUYNo99.0¢$33,759
69d agoWill GameStop acquire eBay?SELLNo93.0¢$10,428