Eire

0xda66ddc4529eb7ac68add4eca06c37cdcde03f38· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

-$36,085

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-3%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

68%

270 of 395 resolved

Resolved markets

395

Portfolio value

$54,040

Capital deployed

$1,124,118

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$27,262

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 11.5/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -8.0Total 23.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	61.5¢	$35,100	-$1,812	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	94.5¢	$4,435	+$180	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	72.4¢	$2,363	-$99	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	No	81.0¢	$1,776	-$181	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	83.3¢	$1,354	-$101	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	89.8¢	$1,336	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	84.6¢	$1,220	-$380	Trade ↗
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	72.6¢	$1,205	+$328	Trade ↗
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	89.3¢	$1,109	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?	Yes	88.0¢	$619	+$68	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	No	88.0¢	$460	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	68.0¢	$431	-$107	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	44.0¢	$406	-$104	Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	82.7¢	$347	-$28	Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	57.1¢	$267	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?	Yes	88.0¢	$171	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	61.0¢	$149	-$46	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	81.0¢	$107	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	79.5¢	$101	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	96.2¢	$98	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	73.0¢	$97	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	59.0¢	$96	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	69.6¢	$91	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	43.9¢	$89	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	73.8¢	$84	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	53.4¢	$64	+$11	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21.6¢	$57	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	90.5¢	$46	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	24.3¢	$43	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	73.0¢	$42	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	17.3¢	$41	-$59	Trade ↗
Katie Taylor vs. Flora Pili	Flora Pili	11.1¢	$36	-$37	Trade ↗
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	94.0¢	$27	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?	Yes	83.0¢	$18	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?	Yes	83.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?	Yes	82.3¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?	Yes	84.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?	Yes	71.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	Yes	85.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?	Yes	86.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-07 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	81.0¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	85.0¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-03 House seat?	Yes	94.0¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?	Yes	82.0¢	$9	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?	Yes	76.0¢	$9	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	76.0¢	$9	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	77.0¢	$9	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	70.8¢	$5	-$491	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	38.0¢	$2	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	Yes	79.0¢	$1	-$34	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	76.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?	Yes	84.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?	Yes	90.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	64.6¢	$1	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	11.0¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
6d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	55.0¢	$10,000
24d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	66.0¢	$17,262