Eire

0xda66ddc4529eb7ac68add4eca06c37cdcde03f38· stats updated 1h ago

Realized PnL

-$64,879

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-5%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

68%

303 of 443 resolved

Resolved markets

443

Portfolio value

$92,802

Capital deployed

$1,282,884

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$39,535

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 11.5/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -10.8Total 20.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	84.1¢	$73,350	-$2,367	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	85.0¢	$12,853	-$1,614	Trade ↗
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	87.0¢	$1,838	-$250	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	58.6¢	$1,176	-$141	Trade ↗
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	89.3¢	$1,096	-$29	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	95.9¢	$707	+$21	Trade ↗
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	82.0¢	$339	-$67	Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	57.1¢	$275	-$22	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	59.0¢	$114	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	69.6¢	$108	+$8	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	81.0¢	$99	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	73.0¢	$87	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?	Yes	77.0¢	$80	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	79.5¢	$79	-$21	Trade ↗
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	73.8¢	$77	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	86.0¢	$74	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	17.3¢	$62	-$38	Trade ↗
Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	Yes	83.1¢	$62	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	24.3¢	$51	-$22	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21.6¢	$48	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	90.5¢	$42	-$4	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	24.2¢	$38	-$84	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?	Yes	83.0¢	$17	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?	Yes	82.3¢	$12	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?	Yes	83.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?	Yes	84.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?	Yes	86.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	85.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-07 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-03 House seat?	Yes	94.0¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	81.0¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	Yes	85.0¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	77.0¢	$9	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?	Yes	76.0¢	$9	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?	Yes	71.0¢	$9	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	Yes	79.0¢	$3	-$33	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?	Yes	84.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?	Yes	90.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	76.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	11.0¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	68.0¢	$0	-$538	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	70.8¢	$0	-$496	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	81.2¢	$0	-$535	Trade ↗
Katie Taylor vs. Flora Pili	Flora Pili	11.1¢	$0	-$73	Trade ↗
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	64.6¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	94.0¢	$0	-$28	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1h ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	81.8¢	$12,274
51d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	55.0¢	$10,000
70d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	66.0¢	$17,262