0xcb58C474467A6Dca91D16E346F8f0fE87DFC0160-1768538034918

51Qualified whaleProven trader

0xcb58c474467a6dca91d16e346f8f0fe87dfc0160· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$60,939

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

94%

87 of 93 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$136,630

Capital deployed

$1,349,255

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$42,987

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 7.3/30Return 3.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 14.9/20Concentration -0.4Total 50.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	96.7¢	$36,689	+$718	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$15,441	+$232	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	81.2¢	$13,242	+$201	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	81.0¢	$13,079	+$830	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	88.2¢	$10,620	+$40	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	95.3¢	$9,742	+$455	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	88.1¢	$7,160	+$110	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	92.5¢	$6,453	-$131	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	73.0¢	$4,995	+$1,053	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	33.5¢	$4,531	-$6,042	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	82.0¢	$3,915	+$225	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	82.0¢	$2,337	+$288	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	60.0¢	$1,597	-$1,102	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	30.0¢	$1,305	-$1,395	Trade ↗
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	97.7¢	$1,255	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.0¢	$1,208	+$508	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	75.6¢	$1,065	-$77	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	64.0¢	$608	+$192	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	78.0¢	$502	-$53	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	63.0¢	$373	+$58	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	49.0¢	$248	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	38.6¢	$154	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$60	-$68	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4.3¢	$52	-$24	Trade ↗
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$1	-$79	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	60.8¢	$0	-$125	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	42.9¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	18.0¢	$0	-$1,080	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	30.3¢	$0	-$3,027	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	90.0¢	$0	-$13,050	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	70.0¢	$0	-$595	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
6d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	BUY	No	98.9¢	$13,440
13d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	BUY	No	98.5¢	$14,622
31d ago	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	BUY	No	99.5¢	$14,925