0xcb58C474467A6Dca91D16E346F8f0fE87DFC0160-1768538034918

51Qualified whaleProven trader

0xcb58c474467a6dca91d16e346f8f0fe87dfc0160· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$66,437

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

91%

95 of 104 resolved

Resolved markets

104

Portfolio value

$36,332

Capital deployed

$1,546,435

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$92,596

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 8.0/30Return 3.6/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 15.6/20Concentration -1.1Total 51.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	81.3¢	$11,109	-$104	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	73.0¢	$5,049	+$1,107	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	33.5¢	$4,736	-$5,837	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	82.0¢	$4,140	+$450	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	82.0¢	$2,362	+$313	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	92.0¢	$2,213	-$88	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	30.0¢	$1,485	-$1,215	Trade ↗
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	97.7¢	$1,255	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.0¢	$1,068	+$368	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	75.6¢	$1,012	-$130	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	64.0¢	$632	+$216	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	78.0¢	$474	-$82	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	21.0¢	$330	-$825	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	49.0¢	$298	+$53	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4.4¢	$118	-$182	Trade ↗
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	0.2¢	$50	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$1	-$79	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	60.8¢	$0	-$125	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	42.9¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	18.0¢	$0	-$1,080	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	30.3¢	$0	-$3,027	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	90.0¢	$0	-$13,050	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	88.1¢	$0	-$7,050	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	47.0¢	$0	-$28,200	Trade ↗
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$0	-$128	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	88.0¢	$0	-$11,549	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	70.0¢	$0	-$595	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
15d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	Yes	90.0¢	$49,609
52d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	BUY	No	98.9¢	$13,440
58d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	BUY	No	98.5¢	$14,622
76d ago	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	BUY	No	99.5¢	$14,925