betwick

81Qualified whaleProven trader

0xc851cd9bee7d262afd78674f861f9f576a12cd2a· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$2,333,053

closed + open positions

Return on capital

12%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

84%

419 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$212,301

Capital deployed

$19,864,082

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$301,685

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 9.8/25Consistency 21.1/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.3Total 80.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	73.7¢	$56,452	+$7,802	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	87.4¢	$43,271	+$58	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	61.0¢	$32,500	+$2,000	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	74.3¢	$20,917	-$3,550	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	46.9¢	$17,576	+$5,001	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	29.2¢	$15,201	+$4,696	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	75.0¢	$10,837	+$484	Trade ↗
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	50.5¢	$7,524	-$15,513	Trade ↗
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	16.8¢	$4,565	+$994	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.6¢	$2,049	-$179	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	16.0¢	$1,342	-$1,725	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	20.9¢	$61	-$1,912	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	Yes	49.0¢	$6	-$24	Trade ↗
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	3.3¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	40.0¢	$0	-$3,479	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$10,895	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$201	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	31.7¢	$0	-$26,770	Trade ↗
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?	Yes	12.2¢	$0	-$123	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	13.2¢	$0	-$151,739	Trade ↗
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	24.1¢	$0	-$1,001	Trade ↗
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	Yes	29.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$1,909	Trade ↗
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$7,183	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	12.2¢	$0	-$16,785	Trade ↗
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	No	33.0¢	$0	-$3,300	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	21.8¢	$0	-$72,565	Trade ↗
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	15.5¢	$0	-$3,593	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	8.8¢	$0	-$30,091	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Yes	21.9¢	$0	-$58,186	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	10.7¢	$0	-$6,206	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	BUY	Yes	87.8¢	$34,349
2d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	BUY	Yes	61.0¢	$30,500
8d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	57.0¢	$22,800
10d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	79.0¢	$21,156
10d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	49.0¢	$14,700
11d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	43.0¢	$12,900
12d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	No	61.0¢	$55,037
12d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	65.0¢	$19,175
13d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	71.6¢	$14,817
13d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	68.4¢	$12,676
14d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	65.0¢	$13,010
14d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	No	67.0¢	$21,042
23d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	75.0¢	$13,277
26d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	BUY	Yes	99.3¢	$16,247