WhaleWatcher

betwick

81Qualified whaleProven trader
0xc851cd9bee7d262afd78674f861f9f576a12cd2a· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$2,213,854
closed + open positions
Return on capital
10%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
86%
428 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$181,288
Capital deployed
$21,964,391
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$533,614
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
29

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 8.4/25Consistency 22.3/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 80.7 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No70.7¢$38,669+$453Trade ↗
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No92.0¢$25,273+$137Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes75.0¢$23,047+$4,566Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes25.0¢$17,948-$7,741Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes16.0¢$17,500+$1,500Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?No5.8¢$9,049+$2,107Trade ↗
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes56.7¢$8,481+$842Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes11.7¢$7,649-$5,168Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes11.4¢$5,239-$18,229Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes65.4¢$4,153+$459Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes53.8¢$4,077+$261Trade ↗
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes50.5¢$3,876-$19,162Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes81.9¢$2,974+$482Trade ↗
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes16.8¢$2,017-$1,554Trade ↗
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes15.2¢$1,729-$780Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes18.9¢$1,684-$193Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes0.9¢$1,500-$1,200Trade ↗
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes17.3¢$1,321-$258Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes2.4¢$1,192-$380Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes13.6¢$952-$1,204Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes3.1¢$836+$365Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes9.0¢$823-$2,140Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No71.0¢$654-$975Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes4.4¢$255-$4,207Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?No10.7¢$139-$2,842Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes34.6¢$112-$549Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes2.1¢$99-$579Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes71.7¢$25-$11,798Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes0.9¢$16-$42Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes20.9¢$0-$1,973Trade ↗
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes3.3¢$0-$17Trade ↗
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes40.0¢$0-$3,479Trade ↗
Trump renames AI by September 30?No39.3¢$0-$838Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes5.0¢$0-$10,895Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes14.0¢$0-$201Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?No4.2¢$0-$2,013Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No10.5¢$0-$2,451Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes31.7¢$0-$26,770Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No12.1¢$0-$24,752Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes5.9¢$0-$9,250Trade ↗
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?Yes12.2¢$0-$123Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes9.7¢$0-$3,638Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes13.2¢$0-$151,739Trade ↗
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Yes24.1¢$0-$1,001Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes49.0¢$0-$29Trade ↗
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?Yes29.0¢$0-$20Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes0.7¢$0-$1,909Trade ↗
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes20.0¢$0-$7,183Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes12.2¢$0-$16,785Trade ↗
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?No33.0¢$0-$3,300Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes21.8¢$0-$72,565Trade ↗
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes15.5¢$0-$3,593Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes8.8¢$0-$30,091Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes0.6¢$0-$1,032Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes21.9¢$0-$58,186Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes10.7¢$0-$6,206Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
3d agoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUYYes75.0¢$18,481
4d agoWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUYNo92.0¢$25,137
4d agoWill Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUYYes16.0¢$11,200
8d agoNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUYYes24.0¢$22,048
8d agoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUYYes79.0¢$16,846
31d agoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELLYes96.0¢$13,150
31d agoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUYNo13.7¢$16,233
33d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUYYes50.0¢$12,076
43d agoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELLNo80.0¢$12,595
44d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes80.0¢$40,000
45d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo43.0¢$44,164
48d agoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUYYes87.8¢$34,349
48d agoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUYYes61.0¢$30,500
54d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes57.0¢$22,800
55d agoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUYNo79.0¢$21,156
56d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo49.0¢$14,700
57d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes43.0¢$12,900
58d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELLNo61.0¢$55,037
58d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELLYes65.0¢$19,175
58d agoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUYNo71.6¢$14,817
59d agoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUYNo68.4¢$12,676
60d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELLYes65.0¢$13,010
60d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELLNo67.0¢$21,042
69d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes75.0¢$13,277
72d agoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUYYes99.3¢$16,247