LiquidatedDegen

94Qualified whaleProven trader

0xc7e53ac4a7c76d6df8b794de2e7d0794265d2d3a· stats updated 13h ago

Realized PnL

+$756,873

closed + open positions

Return on capital

25%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$46,363

Capital deployed

$3,035,523

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,662

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 27.7/30Return 20.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 93.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	36.8¢	$7,973	+$1,566	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	15.4¢	$4,133	+$33	Trade ↗
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	4.1¢	$3,913	-$750	Trade ↗
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	50.5¢	$2,601	+$918	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	47.9¢	$2,582	+$734	Trade ↗
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	20.9¢	$2,281	-$1,863	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	30.3¢	$2,267	-$430	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	41.6¢	$2,074	-$426	Trade ↗
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	7.7¢	$1,722	+$75	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	26.0¢	$1,444	+$194	Trade ↗
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	8.9¢	$994	-$305	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	41.0¢	$926	+$174	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	No	48.2¢	$868	+$204	Trade ↗
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	5.6¢	$849	+$112	Trade ↗
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	40.3¢	$846	-$519	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	39.0¢	$820	+$40	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?	No	26.6¢	$805	-$239	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	12.9¢	$751	+$180	Trade ↗
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	39.5¢	$739	+$319	Trade ↗
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	18.9¢	$691	+$553	Trade ↗
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	31.3¢	$674	-$831	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	10.2¢	$672	+$22	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	4.9¢	$637	-$80	Trade ↗
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	2.0¢	$631	-$59	Trade ↗
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	3.4¢	$595	-$1,019	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	15.6¢	$490	-$316	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	9.1¢	$440	-$173	Trade ↗
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	3.4¢	$420	-$32	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	22.0¢	$420	-$240	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	16.4¢	$375	-$241	Trade ↗
Lula participates in debate before first round?	No	41.0¢	$304	+$106	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	Yes	17.3¢	$272	-$13	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	22.7¢	$220	-$216	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	3.2¢	$207	-$18	Trade ↗
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	50.8¢	$133	-$2,017	Trade ↗
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	1.2¢	$130	-$54	Trade ↗
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Yes	53.5¢	$130	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	5.7¢	$110	-$793	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	8.5¢	$86	-$180	Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	11.0¢	$82	+$10	Trade ↗
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	Yes	13.0¢	$28	-$21	Trade ↗
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	2.5¢	$12	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	11.7¢	$5	-$50	Trade ↗
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	5.8¢	$4	-$48	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	17.7¢	$2	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	6.6¢	$1	-$150	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	12.0¢	$1	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Jose Ramirez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Yes	1.2¢	$1	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Williams win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Girona win on 2025-10-31?	Yes	24.0¢	$0	-$1,149	Trade ↗
Spread: Lions (-7.5)	Lions	51.0¢	$0	-$750	Trade ↗
Will Valencia CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	Yes	35.0¢	$0	-$29	Trade ↗
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	46.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox	New York Yankees	33.6¢	$0	-$255	Trade ↗
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5	Under	50.0¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	14.0¢	$0	-$147	Trade ↗
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Daniel Santos	61.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	7.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)	Ohio State Buckeyes	53.2¢	$0	-$361	Trade ↗
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	27.0¢	$0	-$108	Trade ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	42.0¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Los Angeles Angels	38.0¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	49.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$102	Trade ↗
Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	50.0¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5	Over	51.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros	Minnesota Twins	52.0¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	53.0¢	$0	-$250	Trade ↗
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	19.4¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack	Virginia Tech Hokies	18.0¢	$0	-$750	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
25d ago	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	SELL	Yes	91.3¢	$11,662