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47Qualified whaleProven trader

0xbf961d0c79db0bf55050cadc0995835f09c09942· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$62,084

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

75%

175 of 234 resolved

Resolved markets

234

Portfolio value

$67,465

Capital deployed

$1,231,140

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$73,765

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 7.4/30Return 4.2/25Consistency 15.5/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 47.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	43.9¢	$12,948	-$119	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	92.8¢	$8,368	-$32	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	72.8¢	$7,202	+$1,531	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$4,876	+$161	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	67.8¢	$4,082	-$2,748	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	83.1¢	$3,765	+$148	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	82.8¢	$3,648	-$637	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	82.3¢	$3,201	-$220	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	75.6¢	$2,715	-$156	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	83.0¢	$2,063	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Yes	84.9¢	$1,934	-$482	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	38.0¢	$1,500	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	74.9¢	$1,150	+$67	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	82.5¢	$1,117	+$75	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	45.1¢	$1,057	-$286	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	47.7¢	$1,012	-$110	Trade ↗
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	Yes	32.5¢	$875	-$662	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	55.0¢	$793	-$471	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	31.3¢	$705	-$233	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	80.0¢	$637	-$147	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	44.4¢	$631	-$137	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$589	+$19	Trade ↗
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?	No	65.2¢	$577	+$142	Trade ↗
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	94.8¢	$521	+$11	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	35.0¢	$230	-$128	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	59.0¢	$204	-$105	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	Yes	35.0¢	$186	-$381	Trade ↗
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	90.0¢	$168	-$12	Trade ↗
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	68.0¢	$135	+$35	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	80.0¢	$125	+$5	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?	No	97.3¢	$112	+$0	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$109	+$3	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	75.0¢	$87	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	Yes	50.0¢	$58	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	41.9¢	$46	-$27	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	79.0¢	$16	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	42.0¢	$8	-$17	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	94.5¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	79.0¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	87.0¢	$4	-$0	Trade ↗
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?	No	71.7¢	$0	-$604	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026?	Yes	45.1¢	$0	-$1,057	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	61.0¢	$0	-$2,124	Trade ↗
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	87.0¢	$0	-$696	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
21d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	SELL	No	94.0¢	$10,493
24d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	BUY	Yes	94.0¢	$10,348
24d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	SELL	Yes	99.8¢	$25,799
30d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$13,563
30d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	96.4¢	$13,562