browne

45Qualified whaleProven trader

0xbf961d0c79db0bf55050cadc0995835f09c09942· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$63,441

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

76%

236 of 310 resolved

Resolved markets

310

Portfolio value

$81,241

Capital deployed

$1,577,473

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$73,765

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 7.6/30Return 3.4/25Consistency 16.3/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.8Total 45.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	66.4¢	$27,597	+$8,207	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	90.8¢	$9,311	+$161	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	95.6¢	$9,282	-$329	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	65.2¢	$5,475	+$485	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	88.4¢	$5,450	+$55	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$4,625	-$125	Trade ↗
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	90.5¢	$3,222	+$105	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	40.5¢	$2,892	+$639	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	91.9¢	$2,144	-$107	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	67.8¢	$2,140	+$54	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	83.0¢	$1,590	-$70	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	43.4¢	$1,466	+$349	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	89.1¢	$1,046	+$38	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	63.3¢	$984	+$3	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	37.2¢	$688	-$336	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	59.9¢	$652	-$21	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	67.8¢	$586	+$59	Trade ↗
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	85.0¢	$319	+$21	Trade ↗
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	77.0¢	$263	-$7	Trade ↗
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	94.8¢	$232	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	No	65.0¢	$196	+$66	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	81.0¢	$177	+$23	Trade ↗
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?	No	65.2¢	$164	+$40	Trade ↗
Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?	No	69.5¢	$151	-$18	Trade ↗
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	68.0¢	$127	+$27	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	60.5¢	$105	-$84	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	75.0¢	$88	+$13	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	59.0¢	$86	-$223	Trade ↗
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	No	89.2¢	$77	-$14	Trade ↗
Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?	No	87.1¢	$61	-$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	8.4¢	$25	-$74	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	72.0¢	$7	-$3	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	94.5¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	80.0¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	87.0¢	$4	-$0	Trade ↗
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?	No	71.7¢	$0	-$604	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	24.8¢	$0	-$2,597	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	29.5¢	$0	-$84	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	Yes	35.0¢	$0	-$567	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026?	Yes	45.1¢	$0	-$1,057	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	47.0¢	$0	-$1,107	Trade ↗
OpenAI announces a training pause by October 31?	No	80.0¢	$0	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	41.9¢	$0	-$73	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	61.0¢	$0	-$2,124	Trade ↗
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	87.0¢	$0	-$696	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	5.2¢	$0	-$139	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
67d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	SELL	No	94.0¢	$10,493
70d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	BUY	Yes	94.0¢	$10,348
70d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	SELL	Yes	99.8¢	$25,799
75d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$13,563
75d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	96.4¢	$13,562