ThanksGivingTurkey1001

40Qualified whaleProven trader

0xbace5a5a9e309d69164dc81788d353fed8d43429· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$83,821

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

70%

276 of 396 resolved

Resolved markets

396

Portfolio value

$350,061

Capital deployed

$2,982,679

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$34,181

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 9.8/30Return 2.3/25Consistency 12.3/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -4.1Total 40.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	96.1¢	$159,749	+$3,381	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	94.7¢	$77,833	+$3,118	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	82.9¢	$31,032	+$2,612	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	64.2¢	$8,477	-$1,161	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	31.3¢	$7,974	+$3,602	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	79.2¢	$6,272	+$722	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	25.2¢	$6,022	+$2,241	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	91.0¢	$5,246	+$154	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	No	55.8¢	$4,582	+$1,053	Trade ↗
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	85.3¢	$4,383	+$378	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$4,331	+$24	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	85.3¢	$4,076	+$586	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$3,848	+$103	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	75.1¢	$3,558	-$1,258	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	66.4¢	$2,907	+$297	Trade ↗
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$2,754	+$204	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	89.9¢	$2,280	+$134	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	86.0¢	$2,138	+$192	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?	No	91.0¢	$1,806	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$1,679	+$147	Trade ↗
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?	No	84.5¢	$1,362	+$76	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	80.5¢	$1,345	-$118	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	15.2¢	$1,000	-$524	Trade ↗
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Anthropic	93.0¢	$905	-$25	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	80.0¢	$875	-$34	Trade ↗
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?	No	83.3¢	$875	+$109	Trade ↗
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	80.0¢	$615	+$84	Trade ↗
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?	No	89.0¢	$585	+$48	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	73.0¢	$381	+$80	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	66.0¢	$307	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	67.0¢	$282	+$47	Trade ↗
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	68.0¢	$187	+$46	Trade ↗
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	83.3¢	$141	+$13	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	Yes	2.0¢	$123	-$47	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	60.0¢	$54	+$18	Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	64.0¢	$46	+$13	Trade ↗
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?	No	64.7¢	$24	-$62	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	82.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?	Yes	53.0¢	$4	+$1	Trade ↗
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	90.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $110 August 17-23?	Yes	9.5¢	$0	-$392	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	42.4¢	$0	-$71	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
19d ago	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	BUY	No	97.2¢	$10,256
20d ago	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	95.7¢	$23,925