ThanksGivingTurkey1001

34Qualified whaleProven trader

0xbace5a5a9e309d69164dc81788d353fed8d43429· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$39,193

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

69%

287 of 418 resolved

Resolved markets

418

Portfolio value

$301,348

Capital deployed

$3,775,237

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$152,192

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 3.7/30Return 0.9/25Consistency 11.7/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.1Total 34.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	85.2¢	$106,470	-$12,780	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	84.8¢	$42,736	+$831	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	41.2¢	$26,527	+$1,119	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	16.1¢	$25,850	+$8,134	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	86.9¢	$15,592	-$447	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	94.8¢	$8,501	+$284	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	79.1¢	$6,811	+$1,265	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	18.6¢	$5,542	+$621	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	No	55.8¢	$5,053	+$1,569	Trade ↗
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	85.3¢	$4,491	+$486	Trade ↗
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	85.8¢	$4,394	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$3,920	+$241	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	75.1¢	$3,582	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	66.4¢	$3,437	+$828	Trade ↗
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	86.2¢	$3,350	+$321	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	81.6¢	$3,151	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	94.0¢	$3,127	+$43	Trade ↗
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?	No	86.0¢	$2,693	+$292	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	31.7¢	$2,595	-$1,417	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	57.9¢	$2,421	-$185	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	89.9¢	$2,232	+$87	Trade ↗
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	17.0¢	$2,101	-$64	Trade ↗
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	71.8¢	$1,951	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?	No	92.0¢	$1,936	+$96	Trade ↗
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?	No	84.3¢	$1,810	+$247	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	96.7¢	$1,636	+$29	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	93.0¢	$1,467	+$72	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?	No	91.0¢	$1,431	-$338	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	68.0¢	$1,372	+$10	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	80.0¢	$1,062	+$153	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?	No	94.4¢	$949	+$14	Trade ↗
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Anthropic	93.0¢	$930	$0	Trade ↗
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	80.0¢	$647	+$115	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	77.0¢	$552	-$362	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	78.2¢	$316	+$7	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	66.0¢	$225	-$33	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	67.0¢	$200	-$35	Trade ↗
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	83.3¢	$145	+$16	Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	64.0¢	$49	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	60.0¢	$48	+$12	Trade ↗
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?	No	64.7¢	$38	-$49	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	82.0¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?	Yes	53.0¢	$4	+$1	Trade ↗
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	90.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	Yes	77.3¢	$10,822
10d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	17.0¢	$12,750
10d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	BUY	Yes	41.5¢	$12,418
16d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	86.0¢	$82,020
65d ago	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	BUY	No	97.2¢	$10,256
66d ago	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	95.7¢	$23,925