WhaleWatcher

Parz1vaI

85Qualified whaleProven trader
0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461· stats updated 16h ago
Realized PnL
+$1,854,978
closed + open positions
Return on capital
12%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$300,149
Capital deployed
$15,771,218
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$495,016
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
97

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 9.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 84.8 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No84.0¢$28,328-$1,232Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No69.0¢$19,803+$2,497Trade ↗
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?No88.8¢$16,976+$1,284Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes65.4¢$16,854+$4,591Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No73.6¢$16,268+$3,395Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No75.6¢$10,834+$1,085Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes71.8¢$10,384-$194Trade ↗
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No66.0¢$10,319+$1,117Trade ↗
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes90.8¢$10,148+$445Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes60.5¢$9,755-$884Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No64.0¢$9,164-$72Trade ↗
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?No83.0¢$7,836+$732Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No81.4¢$7,682+$848Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No60.9¢$7,032-$294Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?No64.2¢$6,877+$135Trade ↗
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No96.8¢$6,775-$15Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes85.3¢$6,310-$820Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes97.3¢$6,206+$54Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes60.0¢$5,857-$4,259Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?No96.4¢$5,166-$58Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes82.9¢$4,889+$148Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No77.6¢$4,880+$26Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No92.4¢$4,555+$54Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?No92.2¢$4,550+$205Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No69.0¢$4,031+$138Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Mbappé53.8¢$3,923+$1,088Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No79.1¢$3,380-$137Trade ↗
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No78.5¢$3,343+$393Trade ↗
Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?No96.5¢$3,034+$8Trade ↗
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No95.4¢$2,908+$95Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes61.8¢$2,864+$751Trade ↗
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes80.8¢$2,509+$191Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes85.4¢$2,431+$223Trade ↗
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No82.4¢$2,357+$187Trade ↗
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No95.4¢$2,228+$30Trade ↗
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?No82.2¢$1,767+$84Trade ↗
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes79.3¢$1,593+$182Trade ↗
Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No95.3¢$1,584+$31Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?No45.8¢$1,577-$300Trade ↗
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6.4¢$1,423-$244Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?No99.0¢$1,385$0Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?No79.3¢$1,341+$204Trade ↗
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?No86.8¢$1,213+$99Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?No87.8¢$1,105+$89Trade ↗
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?No80.0¢$1,100+$134Trade ↗
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No99.3¢$994-$5Trade ↗
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes93.0¢$815-$87Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?No91.6¢$794+$66Trade ↗
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes61.4¢$779-$48Trade ↗
Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31?No93.4¢$753+$28Trade ↗
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No62.0¢$746+$40Trade ↗
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?Yes4.2¢$745+$450Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?No94.1¢$733+$8Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?No76.8¢$724-$1,457Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026No94.5¢$704+$17Trade ↗
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No83.8¢$702+$10Trade ↗
Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?No76.4¢$701+$56Trade ↗
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No92.0¢$624+$35Trade ↗
Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?No74.6¢$607+$55Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes98.9¢$587-$1Trade ↗
Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?Yes96.5¢$541-$58Trade ↗
US strike on Colombia by December 31?No84.0¢$481-$34Trade ↗
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No59.7¢$449-$926Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes78.0¢$308-$102Trade ↗
Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No71.0¢$289+$70Trade ↗
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Yes55.2¢$280-$5Trade ↗
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No74.4¢$181+$3Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?No88.9¢$171-$7Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes83.9¢$169-$16Trade ↗
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No53.4¢$152+$0Trade ↗
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?No71.0¢$152+$33Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No58.0¢$146+$11Trade ↗
Will Esmee Brugts finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No91.7¢$130+$5Trade ↗
Will Drake release a new album by October 31?No91.0¢$128+$9Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?No96.4¢$127-$4Trade ↗
Will Pernille Harder finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No59.0¢$112-$9Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch?No96.2¢$104+$2Trade ↗
Will Mariona Caldentey finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No89.0¢$96+$7Trade ↗
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?Yes3.6¢$89-$25Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes96.4¢$68+$2Trade ↗
Will Klara Buhl finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No93.4¢$58-$47Trade ↗
Will Alessia Russo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No74.9¢$44-$21Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?Yes21.0¢$43-$254Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes68.0¢$37-$2Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No86.0¢$36+$2Trade ↗
Cornell President out by October 31?No54.0¢$36+$16Trade ↗
Will Caroline Graham Hansen finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No92.0¢$36-$1Trade ↗
Will Claudia Pina finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No90.0¢$35-$19Trade ↗
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No87.0¢$31+$3Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?No90.3¢$19+$1Trade ↗
Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes2.1¢$12-$5Trade ↗
Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?No98.0¢$10+$0Trade ↗
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?No86.0¢$9+$1Trade ↗
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group StageT167.5¢$9-$11,893Trade ↗
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No95.6¢$5+$0Trade ↗
Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes0.3¢$4+$0Trade ↗
Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes0.6¢$1+$0Trade ↗
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No51.8¢$0-$51Trade ↗
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?No15.4¢$0-$1,384Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy76.0¢$0-$2,024Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
15h agoFrance declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?SELLNo95.3¢$13,141
16h agoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELLNo72.0¢$18,501
20h agoLoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUYKarmine Corp79.0¢$10,458
20h agoIran leadership change by December 31?SELLNo85.0¢$17,376
2d agoJames Madison vs. Appalachian StateBUYJames Madison88.0¢$17,706
12d agoUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?BUYYes95.0¢$14,777
13d agoUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?BUYYes98.4¢$27,141
16d agoWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUYNo92.0¢$36,780
16d agoWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUYNo87.0¢$13,068
26d agoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUYNo97.5¢$10,928
36d agoIran leadership change by December 31?SELLNo85.0¢$43,724
36d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELLNo84.0¢$11,571
36d agoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELLNo97.6¢$12,312
36d agoWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?SELLNo99.5¢$28,088
37d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUYYes77.0¢$11,123
45d agoCounter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BBUYAlliance66.0¢$16,866
45d agoCounter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BBUYAlliance60.0¢$36,000
45d agoCounter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BBUYAlliance62.0¢$15,844
45d agoLAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELLNo48.0¢$13,248
47d agoLAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUYNo71.0¢$11,571
60d agoWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUYNo92.5¢$11,174
62d agoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?BUYNo99.7¢$13,693
63d agoWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUYNo78.8¢$14,159
64d agoCincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon NakashimaBUYTaylor Fritz64.0¢$32,619
72d agoIran leadership change by December 31?BUYNo82.0¢$14,868