Parz1vaI

84Qualified whaleProven trader

0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,698,319

closed + open positions

Return on capital

11%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$457,525

Capital deployed

$15,806,419

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$139,506

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 8.9/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 84.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$104,100	+$44,100	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	82.6¢	$46,565	+$2,118	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	90.9¢	$33,204	-$387	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	No	99.2¢	$27,134	+$201	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	98.2¢	$24,901	+$151	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	83.0¢	$22,835	+$3,543	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	77.7¢	$19,371	+$2,914	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	71.2¢	$18,833	+$339	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$15,900	-$44,100	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	Yes	66.6¢	$11,959	-$2,919	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	82.0¢	$11,778	+$482	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	80.3¢	$10,532	+$759	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	24.6¢	$9,873	-$6,902	Trade ↗
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	65.0¢	$8,225	+$994	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	64.0¢	$7,772	+$178	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	62.2¢	$7,402	-$534	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	84.3¢	$6,977	+$440	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	67.8¢	$6,684	+$68	Trade ↗
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	81.6¢	$6,020	-$235	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	82.9¢	$5,290	+$136	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	37.5¢	$5,269	-$293	Trade ↗
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	89.0¢	$5,024	+$134	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	No	62.7¢	$4,223	-$156	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	35.8¢	$4,117	-$77	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	90.5¢	$3,376	-$114	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	83.9¢	$3,206	-$16	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	49.3¢	$2,661	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	77.0¢	$2,098	+$370	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	95.8¢	$2,086	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	9.9¢	$1,657	-$1,322	Trade ↗
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	No	78.1¢	$1,432	+$175	Trade ↗
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?	No	79.6¢	$1,342	+$114	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	No	79.0¢	$1,333	+$201	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	No	96.0¢	$1,327	+$43	Trade ↗
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	59.7¢	$1,244	-$132	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?	No	87.8¢	$1,105	+$89	Trade ↗
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	85.4¢	$1,067	+$77	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?	No	97.7¢	$953	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	94.3¢	$903	+$39	Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	94.1¢	$814	+$27	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	72.0¢	$796	+$5	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	67.0¢	$783	+$180	Trade ↗
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	83.8¢	$698	+$6	Trade ↗
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?	No	92.0¢	$645	+$39	Trade ↗
Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?	Yes	96.5¢	$607	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?	No	98.0¢	$422	-$0	Trade ↗
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?	No	71.2¢	$394	+$111	Trade ↗
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	No	90.0¢	$296	-$52	Trade ↗
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	19.5¢	$264	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	88.4¢	$245	+$27	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	28.2¢	$232	-$15	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	70.6¢	$206	+$8	Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	96.4¢	$178	+$0	Trade ↗
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?	No	82.0¢	$167	+$3	Trade ↗
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?	No	71.0¢	$142	+$23	Trade ↗
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	32.0¢	$137	-$17	Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	21.0¢	$134	-$162	Trade ↗
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	64.4¢	$112	+$27	Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	96.2¢	$104	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?	No	91.7¢	$95	+$5	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	5.0¢	$66	-$104	Trade ↗
Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	2.1¢	$43	+$28	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	82.0¢	$40	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	88.7¢	$33	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	87.0¢	$32	+$4	Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	90.3¢	$18	+$0	Trade ↗
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	No	51.8¢	$15	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?	No	86.0¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	0.3¢	$8	+$5	Trade ↗
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Mayweather	51.0¢	$5	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	95.6¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?	No	90.0¢	$3	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	37.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?	No	78.9¢	$0	-$10,447	Trade ↗
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	31.2¢	$0	-$769	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima	Taylor Fritz	64.0¢	$0	-$11,890	Trade ↗
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	54.9¢	$0	-$69	Trade ↗
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?	No	69.6¢	$0	-$1,317	Trade ↗
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?	Yes	47.4¢	$0	-$176	Trade ↗
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	49.5¢	$0	-$894	Trade ↗
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	15.5¢	$0	-$354	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	35.5¢	$0	-$2,167	Trade ↗
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs	T1	67.0¢	$0	-$1,419	Trade ↗
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner	T1	25.0¢	$0	-$7,989	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	No	55.6¢	$0	-$942	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	46.0¢	$0	-$1,399	Trade ↗
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	67.7¢	$0	-$1,464	Trade ↗
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	No	82.7¢	$0	-$63	Trade ↗
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	49.6¢	$0	-$3,202	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	69.0¢	$0	-$949	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1d ago	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	No	71.0¢	$11,571
15d ago	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	BUY	No	92.5¢	$11,174
16d ago	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$13,693
18d ago	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	78.8¢	$14,159
19d ago	Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima	BUY	Taylor Fritz	64.0¢	$32,619
26d ago	Iran leadership change by December 31?	BUY	No	82.0¢	$14,868
28d ago	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	BUY	Yes	86.0¢	$11,693
30d ago	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?	BUY	No	90.0¢	$29,728