GonTanaka

29Proven trader

0xa62abc8cb1fb4dc98ff0bd11b1cd89854e3aa8ff· stats updated 6d ago

Realized PnL

+$16,024

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

59%

248 of 420 resolved

Resolved markets

420

Portfolio value

$3,424

Capital deployed

$379,667

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$100,000

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 3.5/25Consistency 5.7/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.2Total 28.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	91.0¢	$896	-$5	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	87.0¢	$580	+$40	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	79.3¢	$529	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	No	71.0¢	$369	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?	No	84.0¢	$197	+$16	Trade ↗
Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	96.3¢	$177	+$4	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	74.2¢	$163	+$16	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	78.6¢	$100	+$7	Trade ↗
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?	No	90.4¢	$99	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	88.8¢	$99	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	79.3¢	$47	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	80.0¢	$45	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	67.9¢	$34	+$2	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	79.2¢	$28	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	49.4¢	$9	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	No	59.0¢	$8	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	29.0¢	$7	+$1	Trade ↗
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	58.5¢	$6	+$0	Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	29.0¢	$6	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	46.6¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	25.0¢	$5	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	26.9¢	$4	-$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	17.4¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	4.0¢	$4	-$2	Trade ↗
Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	32.5¢	$3	-$1	Trade ↗
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?	Yes	1.1¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
40d ago	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	BUY	No	97.0¢	$100,000