segment3

0xa10c1ba5df9937ba4aea5b7edeadadb5d0b6b2de· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$9,114

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

4 of 4 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$115,137

Capital deployed

$297,330

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$23,018

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 2.5/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 0.0/20Concentration -0.7Total 26.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	69.3¢	$32,526	+$3,594	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	92.7¢	$21,563	+$240	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	86.0¢	$9,719	+$1,276	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	72.0¢	$6,950	-$250	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	40.0¢	$4,860	+$60	Trade ↗
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	69.1¢	$4,346	+$1,331	Trade ↗
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	71.0¢	$4,343	-$94	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	73.0¢	$3,625	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?	No	97.9¢	$3,465	+$46	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	83.0¢	$2,445	-$45	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	84.0¢	$2,445	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	74.0¢	$2,235	+$15	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	66.0¢	$2,055	+$75	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	65.0¢	$2,025	+$75	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	62.0¢	$2,025	-$1,075	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	42.5¢	$1,388	+$113	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	64.0¢	$1,370	+$90	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	28.0¢	$975	+$135	Trade ↗
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	87.0¢	$930	+$60	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	92.0¢	$925	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	36.0¢	$810	+$90	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	38.0¢	$810	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	80.0¢	$765	-$35	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	64.0¢	$705	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	24.0¢	$585	-$135	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	15.0¢	$495	+$45	Trade ↗
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	71.0¢	$398	+$43	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$225	+$75	Trade ↗
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	23.9¢	$77	-$43	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	1.3¢	$55	-$75	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
58d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	76.7¢	$23,018