WhaleWatcher

Rex416

97Qualified whaleProven traderSpecialist
0x9a3fa403a6666eef75f92f181fcf13f9c051914a· stats updated 18h ago
Realized PnL
+$1,253,138
closed + open positions
Return on capital
27%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$29,053
Capital deployed
$4,687,814
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$103,259
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
255

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 22.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 97.3 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No53.2¢$4,095+$1,511Trade ↗
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?No62.7¢$2,795+$1,030Trade ↗
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Yes50.6¢$1,725+$839Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes83.8¢$1,573-$103Trade ↗
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Yes86.1¢$1,097-$1,014Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?No73.9¢$946+$207Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No83.0¢$785-$45Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?Yes35.1¢$721+$458Trade ↗
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No70.0¢$715+$15Trade ↗
Will Ľubica Horváthová win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?No88.1¢$707+$82Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes75.4¢$703-$52Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes72.1¢$696+$53Trade ↗
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes79.8¢$687+$18Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes56.8¢$641+$110Trade ↗
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes14.1¢$638-$68Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes81.3¢$612-$29Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes80.4¢$530+$53Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No84.0¢$510+$22Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?No80.0¢$468+$68Trade ↗
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?No84.0¢$448+$28Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$384+$364Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No89.0¢$380+$12Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Mbappé67.6¢$375+$37Trade ↗
Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?No53.5¢$365+$98Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes63.0¢$352+$38Trade ↗
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?No82.0¢$352+$6Trade ↗
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No62.0¢$340+$30Trade ↗
Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?No55.0¢$330+$44Trade ↗
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?No94.0¢$267+$7Trade ↗
Will there be 4+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?Yes94.8¢$253-$33Trade ↗
Will Gus Bilirakis be the next US Ambassador to Greece?No86.0¢$226+$11Trade ↗
Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?No39.8¢$212+$29Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$206+$198Trade ↗
Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?Yes26.3¢$176-$34Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No72.0¢$169-$39Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes32.4¢$160-$164Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$127+$119Trade ↗
Will Louisville have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes66.8¢$120+$19Trade ↗
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?Yes31.5¢$117-$72Trade ↗
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No78.0¢$116-$4Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?Yes63.0¢$112-$159Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes56.1¢$111-$41Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.6¢$109+$21Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$104+$96Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$96+$91Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$94+$89Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$90+$85Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$90+$82Trade ↗
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes27.3¢$83-$133Trade ↗
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes5.6¢$81+$46Trade ↗
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1.0¢$79+$74Trade ↗
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes7.0¢$76-$92Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No85.0¢$67-$0Trade ↗
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No10.8¢$65+$4Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes21.0¢$61+$9Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes24.7¢$59-$371Trade ↗
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Yes21.6¢$58-$281Trade ↗
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes27.0¢$58-$10Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes39.0¢$53-$143Trade ↗
Will Geoffrey Pyatt be the next US Ambassador to Greece?No91.0¢$49+$3Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$49+$29Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$45+$25Trade ↗
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes69.0¢$44+$10Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$40+$32Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes48.0¢$39-$67Trade ↗
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.1¢$38$0Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$38+$33Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Rodri73.0¢$36-$18Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No5.0¢$34-$16Trade ↗
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?Yes60.0¢$34-$38Trade ↗
Will OXY play for Sentinels in 2027?Yes10.1¢$32+$28Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$30+$25Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?Yes5.5¢$30-$23Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$30+$22Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$29+$24Trade ↗
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes71.8¢$26-$62Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$26+$18Trade ↗
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Yes27.2¢$24-$145Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?No40.0¢$22-$10Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$22+$14Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$19+$14Trade ↗
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1.0¢$19+$15Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$18+$10Trade ↗
Will Drake Maye have 1.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No23.6¢$18-$17Trade ↗
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1.0¢$16+$12Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$16+$11Trade ↗
Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?Yes39.0¢$16-$93Trade ↗
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1.0¢$15+$11Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$15+$7Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$15+$7Trade ↗
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1.0¢$14+$10Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$12+$7Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$12+$4Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$12+$4Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$11+$7Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$11+$7Trade ↗
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1.0¢$11+$7Trade ↗
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1.0¢$11+$7Trade ↗
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1.0¢$11+$7Trade ↗
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1.0¢$11+$7Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
47d agoCincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersSELLLos Angeles Dodgers68.0¢$15,300
54d agoZhangjiagang: Koki Matsuda vs Jake DelaneySELLKoki Matsuda99.9¢$12,525
54d agoUS Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia ZakharovaBUYNaomi Osaka89.2¢$10,037
63d agoMonterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Elsa JacquemotSELLAnna Bondar99.9¢$15,164
63d agoMonterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Elsa JacquemotBUYAnna Bondar99.0¢$15,027
65d agoNATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?SELLYes99.0¢$11,292
73d agoCincinnati Open, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Robin MontgomeryBUYLilli Tagger93.0¢$12,585
76d agoNational Bank Open: Alexandra Eala vs Belinda BencicBUYBelinda Bencic98.0¢$11,330