Rex416

100Qualified whaleProven traderSpecialist

0x9a3fa403a6666eef75f92f181fcf13f9c051914a· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,233,461

closed + open positions

Return on capital

31%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$25,847

Capital deployed

$3,952,878

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$103,259

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

105

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 25.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 100.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	52.5¢	$3,437	+$863	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	90.1¢	$2,318	-$686	Trade ↗
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	SD	70.0¢	$2,063	+$313	Trade ↗
Sher-E-Punjab T20: Jalandhar Warriors vs Amritsar Soormas	Jalandhar Warriors	27.4¢	$1,689	+$573	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	88.9¢	$1,455	+$21	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	90.4¢	$1,289	+$58	Trade ↗
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?	No	79.4¢	$979	+$173	Trade ↗
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	32.3¢	$970	-$321	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	87.0¢	$865	-$5	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	37.0¢	$714	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Ľubica Horváthová win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	No	88.1¢	$700	+$75	Trade ↗
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?	Yes	86.8¢	$553	-$56	Trade ↗
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?	Yes	52.3¢	$481	-$155	Trade ↗
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	89.4¢	$473	-$333	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	91.0¢	$430	+$12	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	No	38.0¢	$404	+$242	Trade ↗
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	62.9¢	$386	-$85	Trade ↗
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?	Yes	67.7¢	$372	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Yes	62.1¢	$305	-$40	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	15.0¢	$304	+$9	Trade ↗
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	Yes	52.7¢	$293	-$392	Trade ↗
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?	No	59.1¢	$291	-$124	Trade ↗
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	Yes	83.3¢	$259	+$11	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?	No	80.5¢	$251	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 5?	Yes	60.0¢	$249	+$99	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?	No	70.5¢	$231	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	48.1¢	$225	+$38	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?	No	62.7¢	$219	+$80	Trade ↗
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September?	Yes	62.0¢	$202	+$53	Trade ↗
Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?	Yes	85.0¢	$190	+$3	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	No	31.5¢	$172	+$102	Trade ↗
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	7.0¢	$169	+$1	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	51.7¢	$167	-$1,157	Trade ↗
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?	Yes	35.7¢	$162	-$448	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	50.0¢	$159	+$52	Trade ↗
Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	No	56.1¢	$148	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	32.5¢	$145	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by August 31, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$142	+$127	Trade ↗
Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	Yes	32.6¢	$136	+$15	Trade ↗
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	28.3¢	$112	-$163	Trade ↗
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?	Yes	51.0¢	$106	-$58	Trade ↗
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Yes	81.0¢	$103	-$113	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	90.2¢	$88	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	5.6¢	$88	+$53	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	42.3¢	$82	-$87	Trade ↗
Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?	No	3.4¢	$81	+$60	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	24.7¢	$78	-$352	Trade ↗
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	35.0¢	$74	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30?	Yes	79.0¢	$61	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$60	+$45	Trade ↗
Will Justin Fields start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$59	+$52	Trade ↗
Will SG Sacavenense vs. Real SC end in a draw?	No	0.1¢	$55	+$54	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	48.0¢	$54	-$52	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	39.0¢	$53	-$143	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	Yes	5.5¢	$52	-$1	Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?	No	91.6¢	$50	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	11.1¢	$49	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?	Yes	23.8¢	$48	-$72	Trade ↗
Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?	Yes	76.3¢	$42	-$598	Trade ↗
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	Yes	35.0¢	$35	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	86.6¢	$33	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$32	+$17	Trade ↗
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	76.0¢	$32	+$5	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	Yes	18.0¢	$30	+$5	Trade ↗
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	71.8¢	$30	-$58	Trade ↗
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?	Yes	27.2¢	$28	-$141	Trade ↗
Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	0.1¢	$25	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?	Yes	88.0¢	$19	+$1	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Yes	30.1¢	$17	-$134	Trade ↗
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	Yes	11.0¢	$15	-$5	Trade ↗
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Gianmarco Ferrari	Thiago Seyboth Wild	70.0¢	$14	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 10?	Yes	10.0¢	$13	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	1.6¢	$12	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	43.5¢	$12	-$152	Trade ↗
Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Yes	30.0¢	$11	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$11	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by September 30, 2026?	Yes	90.0¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$8	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	81.0¢	$8	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$7	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$7	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	10.0¢	$5	-$22	Trade ↗
Fight to Go the Distance?	No	85.0¢	$4	$0	Trade ↗
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	0.1¢	$4	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$4	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$3	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$3	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$3	-$13	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	94.2¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$2	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$2	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$2	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$2	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Kaelan Dorr be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$1	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$1	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$1	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Kush Desai be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$1	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Pat Adams be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$1	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$1	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.9¢	$1	-$14	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	Los Angeles Dodgers	68.0¢	$15,300
8d ago	Zhangjiagang: Koki Matsuda vs Jake Delaney	SELL	Koki Matsuda	99.9¢	$12,525
9d ago	US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova	BUY	Naomi Osaka	89.2¢	$10,037
18d ago	Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Elsa Jacquemot	SELL	Anna Bondar	99.9¢	$15,164
18d ago	Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Elsa Jacquemot	BUY	Anna Bondar	99.0¢	$15,027
20d ago	NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	SELL	Yes	99.0¢	$11,292
28d ago	Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Robin Montgomery	BUY	Lilli Tagger	93.0¢	$12,585
31d ago	National Bank Open: Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic	BUY	Belinda Bencic	98.0¢	$11,330