anoin123

87Qualified whaleProven trader

0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825· stats updated 7h ago

Realized PnL

+$9,570,324

closed + open positions

Return on capital

15%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$1,949,257

Capital deployed

$64,953,895

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$1,036,120

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

400

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 12.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 87.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	68.3¢	$213,514	+$57,414	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	77.3¢	$135,831	+$8,607	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	35.3¢	$87,943	+$39,304	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	83.1¢	$73,034	+$5,244	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	60.4¢	$61,728	-$19,808	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	29.6¢	$55,095	+$7,845	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	84.6¢	$53,446	+$881	Trade ↗
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	91.0¢	$43,512	+$1,655	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	50.8¢	$39,349	+$6,016	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	59.2¢	$38,250	-$11,492	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	38.1¢	$37,395	+$7,416	Trade ↗
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	32.1¢	$37,264	-$744	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	75.9¢	$36,577	+$2,918	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	44.5¢	$34,981	+$18,038	Trade ↗
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	86.9¢	$34,778	+$2,105	Trade ↗
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	No	88.1¢	$34,227	+$1,435	Trade ↗
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	61.5¢	$34,130	+$11,322	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	89.9¢	$33,991	+$2,805	Trade ↗
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	74.0¢	$33,415	+$2,298	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	80.7¢	$30,740	+$4,488	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	59.4¢	$30,568	-$756	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	59.5¢	$27,359	-$456	Trade ↗
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	82.9¢	$26,483	+$4,172	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	43.5¢	$24,377	-$7,254	Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	28.0¢	$23,731	+$10,459	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	29.9¢	$23,599	+$2,814	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	90.1¢	$18,318	+$1,705	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	62.7¢	$17,272	+$5,222	Trade ↗
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	55.7¢	$15,959	+$1,709	Trade ↗
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	90.6¢	$15,230	+$399	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	49.9¢	$15,066	-$437	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	43.7¢	$14,150	-$4,308	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	No	87.3¢	$14,046	+$569	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	72.6¢	$13,944	-$2,249	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	71.7¢	$13,180	-$1,939	Trade ↗
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	40.0¢	$13,069	-$701	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	84.7¢	$12,944	+$1,912	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	51.9¢	$12,769	-$1,965	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	80.3¢	$11,892	-$2,143	Trade ↗
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	66.3¢	$11,818	+$2,960	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	87.2¢	$11,789	+$44	Trade ↗
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	23.2¢	$11,587	-$539	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	86.4¢	$11,412	-$915	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	88.3¢	$11,235	+$454	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	83.7¢	$11,073	-$230	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	76.8¢	$10,303	+$1,972	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	79.8¢	$10,209	-$2,233	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	38.0¢	$9,668	+$2,384	Trade ↗
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	29.2¢	$9,246	+$6,491	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	64.0¢	$9,176	-$870	Trade ↗
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	84.0¢	$8,624	+$530	Trade ↗
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	41.9¢	$8,402	-$2,777	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	28.3¢	$7,118	-$1,461	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	78.5¢	$6,711	+$1,314	Trade ↗
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	83.0¢	$6,702	+$555	Trade ↗
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	84.8¢	$6,465	+$54	Trade ↗
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?	No	67.3¢	$6,358	+$1,229	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	48.7¢	$6,325	-$1,372	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	28.4¢	$6,257	+$1,635	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?	Yes	91.8¢	$6,216	+$272	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	68.7¢	$6,181	+$484	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	64.5¢	$5,917	+$1,922	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	71.0¢	$5,689	+$1,501	Trade ↗
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	85.5¢	$5,589	+$95	Trade ↗
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	90.3¢	$5,453	+$484	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	91.3¢	$5,397	+$158	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	61.5¢	$5,073	-$3,476	Trade ↗
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	32.5¢	$5,061	+$670	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	60.5¢	$4,998	+$1,287	Trade ↗
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	25.5¢	$4,785	-$37	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	No	74.0¢	$4,766	-$1,888	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	16.7¢	$4,716	+$1,632	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?	No	70.0¢	$4,474	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	19.8¢	$4,449	+$364	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?	No	72.1¢	$4,439	-$603	Trade ↗
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?	No	96.0¢	$4,350	+$76	Trade ↗
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	No	84.0¢	$4,322	+$480	Trade ↗
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	36.9¢	$4,268	+$603	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?	Yes	70.8¢	$4,264	+$13	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	61.0¢	$4,072	-$68	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	54.0¢	$4,052	-$197	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?	Yes	83.0¢	$4,014	-$124	Trade ↗
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	57.0¢	$3,963	-$1,054	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	No	72.7¢	$3,504	+$720	Trade ↗
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	No	34.6¢	$3,500	+$1,544	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	82.0¢	$3,430	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	72.9¢	$3,321	-$187	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	67.0¢	$3,184	-$23	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Yes	73.9¢	$3,182	-$1,175	Trade ↗
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	82.5¢	$3,100	-$5,288	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	30.9¢	$2,956	-$1,506	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?	No	83.0¢	$2,745	-$51	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	60.5¢	$2,707	+$45	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	No	64.0¢	$2,593	-$424	Trade ↗
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	No	83.0¢	$2,585	+$214	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	19.3¢	$2,566	-$12,446	Trade ↗
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	No	55.9¢	$2,420	+$798	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	56.7¢	$2,413	+$402	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	61.1¢	$2,370	-$3,666	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	95.7¢	$2,339	-$5	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
5d ago	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	BUY	Yes	42.8¢	$10,790
9d ago	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	SELL	No	98.8¢	$10,706
10d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	SELL	No	94.0¢	$10,743
10d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SELL	No	87.0¢	$19,049
10d ago	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	SELL	No	99.6¢	$43,862
36d ago	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	SELL	No	98.1¢	$15,200
40d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	SELL	No	98.8¢	$18,785
40d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY	Yes	53.0¢	$12,914
42d ago	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	No	92.0¢	$11,322
43d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$19,649
45d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	85.0¢	$54,795
45d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	SELL	No	99.6¢	$14,845
51d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	86.0¢	$57,295
51d ago	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	No	93.0¢	$32,474
62d ago	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	No	93.0¢	$254,105
62d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$145,357
62d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.7¢	$165,271
67d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.2¢	$40,158
74d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	SELL	No	99.7¢	$30,420
74d ago	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	SELL	No	95.9¢	$18,203
74d ago	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	SELL	No	96.2¢	$35,766
79d ago	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	SELL	No	96.0¢	$14,412