WhaleWatcher

anoin123

85Qualified whaleProven trader
0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825· stats updated 4h ago
Realized PnL
+$9,223,901
closed + open positions
Return on capital
12%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
95%
476 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$1,479,807
Capital deployed
$74,185,824
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$793,461
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
222

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 10.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 85.4 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No81.6¢$144,321+$6,518Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No81.6¢$84,324+$12,004Trade ↗
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No75.6¢$62,419+$9,708Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No92.2¢$47,743+$2,996Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No29.4¢$40,789-$6,313Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No64.4¢$40,398+$278Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No82.8¢$40,350+$6,407Trade ↗
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes61.5¢$37,459+$3,846Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No75.9¢$36,799+$3,140Trade ↗
Iran coup attempt by December 31?No88.0¢$36,326-$648Trade ↗
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No67.1¢$34,358+$2,554Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No29.2¢$33,036+$9,240Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No67.7¢$30,616+$5,203Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No51.5¢$28,530+$6,436Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No72.3¢$27,057+$4,187Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No51.6¢$26,953-$2,959Trade ↗
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes66.3¢$25,970+$5,090Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No94.0¢$25,674+$971Trade ↗
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No59.0¢$24,249+$3,961Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No25.2¢$23,666+$8,959Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes65.1¢$23,188-$210Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No14.3¢$19,117+$6,126Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No83.8¢$17,962+$2,805Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes59.0¢$17,884-$5,302Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No77.3¢$17,309+$1,924Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No74.1¢$16,905+$3,220Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No54.4¢$16,753+$632Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9.6¢$15,489+$7,783Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No92.4¢$14,852+$1,085Trade ↗
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No29.2¢$14,744+$10,306Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No75.7¢$14,427+$2,222Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No78.0¢$14,022+$1,937Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No87.5¢$13,688+$1,623Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No44.3¢$13,358+$355Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes46.5¢$12,077+$1,576Trade ↗
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?No97.8¢$11,721+$215Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No71.2¢$11,507+$2,747Trade ↗
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes48.3¢$11,081+$5,296Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No35.7¢$10,543-$64Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes19.3¢$10,304-$25,858Trade ↗
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes21.1¢$9,928+$206Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No17.7¢$9,680-$1,486Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No57.2¢$8,484+$321Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes45.8¢$8,449-$5,368Trade ↗
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes67.8¢$8,433+$863Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes44.7¢$8,258+$2,354Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No95.0¢$8,021-$124Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No62.8¢$7,830+$1,488Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes59.6¢$7,723-$13,679Trade ↗
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No74.9¢$7,323-$2,727Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes42.4¢$7,137-$1,395Trade ↗
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?No83.0¢$6,875-$214Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No26.1¢$6,761-$153Trade ↗
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No83.0¢$6,711+$452Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes64.6¢$6,612-$1,522Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No13.0¢$6,592+$2,798Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No57.9¢$6,249-$1,530Trade ↗
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?No84.9¢$6,100-$174Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No66.0¢$5,779+$590Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No86.6¢$5,520-$344Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes72.0¢$5,408-$38Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No82.0¢$5,326+$500Trade ↗
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?No73.0¢$5,066+$1,024Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes35.1¢$4,969-$1,369Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No74.5¢$4,969+$1,111Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No68.0¢$4,957-$37Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No48.6¢$4,845-$115Trade ↗
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No72.0¢$4,638+$273Trade ↗
Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?No78.0¢$4,497+$29Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes44.8¢$4,400-$27Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No22.5¢$4,012-$2,426Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes10.9¢$3,868-$20,335Trade ↗
Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No73.3¢$3,637-$741Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes71.0¢$3,622-$188Trade ↗
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?No62.0¢$3,591$0Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes19.2¢$3,540-$1,503Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No50.0¢$3,393-$34Trade ↗
No one announced as next James Bond?Yes23.2¢$3,364-$622Trade ↗
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes28.4¢$3,348+$125Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes72.6¢$3,276-$658Trade ↗
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No70.8¢$3,137+$683Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1.8¢$3,136+$3,070Trade ↗
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes26.0¢$3,102-$601Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes25.5¢$2,970-$3,079Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No78.0¢$2,954+$19Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No69.0¢$2,939+$21Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No16.7¢$2,935-$1,325Trade ↗
NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?No82.0¢$2,915-$549Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No69.0¢$2,879+$120Trade ↗
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?Yes40.0¢$2,744-$686Trade ↗
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No72.0¢$2,702-$338Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes39.2¢$2,511+$383Trade ↗
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No83.0¢$2,442+$71Trade ↗
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No67.2¢$2,419+$276Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes35.3¢$2,325+$791Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?No19.9¢$2,240+$781Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No42.0¢$2,234-$337Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No31.2¢$2,219+$419Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No20.3¢$2,190-$1,666Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes61.0¢$2,183+$371Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
5d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELLNo86.0¢$57,295
5d agoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELLNo93.0¢$32,474
16d agoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELLNo93.0¢$254,105
16d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELLNo83.0¢$145,357
16d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELLNo99.7¢$165,271
22d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELLNo99.2¢$40,158
29d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELLNo99.7¢$30,420
29d agoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELLNo95.9¢$18,203
29d agoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELLNo96.2¢$35,766
33d agoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELLNo96.0¢$14,412