mountaindewd

75Qualified whaleProven trader

0x944e0472b99926f4f712fc97dc0a846a8c5d8c94· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$375,870

closed + open positions

Return on capital

14%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

85%

423 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$174,539

Capital deployed

$2,734,234

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,100

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 22.0/30Return 11.5/25Consistency 21.6/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 75.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	67.8¢	$26,825	+$1,735	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	54.8¢	$23,530	+$7,247	Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	60.0¢	$10,192	+$1,475	Trade ↗
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	64.4¢	$8,250	+$604	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	16.3¢	$7,508	+$1,238	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	56.4¢	$7,462	+$836	Trade ↗
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	74.6¢	$6,891	+$347	Trade ↗
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	69.1¢	$6,200	+$670	Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	69.4¢	$5,295	+$583	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	67.3¢	$5,093	+$491	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	59.2¢	$5,090	+$1,868	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	81.9¢	$4,394	-$311	Trade ↗
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	86.0¢	$4,326	+$18	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	64.5¢	$3,997	-$197	Trade ↗
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	62.2¢	$3,766	+$398	Trade ↗
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	73.0¢	$3,725	+$75	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	64.0¢	$3,658	+$138	Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	68.2¢	$3,526	+$256	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	67.4¢	$2,806	+$232	Trade ↗
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	No	70.7¢	$2,673	+$662	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	58.3¢	$2,431	-$35	Trade ↗
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	28.3¢	$2,031	+$389	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	63.0¢	$2,025	+$135	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	69.9¢	$1,877	-$255	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	85.0¢	$1,750	+$50	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	29.1¢	$1,740	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	Yes	85.0¢	$1,700	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	63.0¢	$1,688	+$113	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	75.0¢	$1,550	+$50	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	54.0¢	$1,550	+$200	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	54.0¢	$1,537	+$188	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	20.0¢	$1,313	-$188	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	32.0¢	$1,200	+$240	Trade ↗
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	53.0¢	$915	+$385	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?	Yes	81.0¢	$748	+$100	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	51.0¢	$675	+$165	Trade ↗
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	33.0¢	$668	+$173	Trade ↗
Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	58.7¢	$546	+$64	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	52.5¢	$482	-$127	Trade ↗
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	89.0¢	$481	+$36	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	50.0¢	$473	+$123	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	64.0¢	$389	-$1,033	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	11.8¢	$357	+$199	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	29.4¢	$285	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	2.6¢	$273	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?	No	81.0¢	$187	+$25	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	45.5¢	$149	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	Yes	27.0¢	$147	+$106	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	67.0¢	$60	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	17.0¢	$48	-$37	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.2¢	$40	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027?	No	72.0¢	$10	-$2	Trade ↗
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	23.9¢	$6	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	83.0¢	$3	-$108	Trade ↗
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	21.6¢	$1	-$479	Trade ↗
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	24.0¢	$0	-$120	Trade ↗
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	33.0¢	$0	-$733	Trade ↗
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	No	51.0¢	$0	-$1,700	Trade ↗
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?	Yes	8.9¢	$0	-$438	Trade ↗
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?	No	52.7¢	$0	-$278	Trade ↗
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	17.7¢	$0	-$520	Trade ↗
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	No	41.0¢	$0	-$1,822	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5	Over	48.0¢	$0	-$1,067	Trade ↗
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$660	Trade ↗
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	7.8¢	$0	-$156	Trade ↗
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5	Under	48.0¢	$0	-$1,866	Trade ↗
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Bublik	31.0¢	$0	-$344	Trade ↗
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	70.5¢	$0	-$2,978	Trade ↗
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	19.2¢	$0	-$480	Trade ↗
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	No	40.0¢	$0	-$1,155	Trade ↗
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	France	56.8¢	$0	-$1,261	Trade ↗
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	No	61.0¢	$0	-$1,355	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	34.0¢	$0	-$378	Trade ↗
Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?	Yes	17.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5	Over	45.0¢	$0	-$2,000	Trade ↗
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	No	28.9¢	$0	-$867	Trade ↗
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$467	Trade ↗
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	27.0¢	$0	-$270	Trade ↗
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5	Under	63.0¢	$0	-$700	Trade ↗
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)	Mexico	23.0¢	$0	-$511	Trade ↗
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	28.3¢	$0	-$57	Trade ↗
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	Yes	49.0¢	$0	-$994	Trade ↗
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	8.3¢	$0	-$1,670	Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	39.0¢	$0	-$1,300	Trade ↗
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	No	42.0¢	$0	-$233	Trade ↗
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	30.0¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?	Yes	8.2¢	$0	-$294	Trade ↗
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?	Lula	12.0¢	$0	-$360	Trade ↗
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	-$198	Trade ↗
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5	Under	35.0¢	$0	-$1,167	Trade ↗
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5	Under	28.0¢	$0	-$622	Trade ↗
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	No	52.1¢	$0	-$3,416	Trade ↗
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5	Under	33.0¢	$0	-$1,283	Trade ↗
Spread: France (-1.5)	Norway	64.0¢	$0	-$2,133	Trade ↗
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	19.4¢	$0	-$776	Trade ↗
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	No	32.0¢	$0	-$711	Trade ↗
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score	No	46.0¢	$0	-$1,022	Trade ↗
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	37.0¢	$0	-$822	Trade ↗
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)	Ghana	19.0¢	$0	-$422	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
36d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	74.0¢	$11,100