Bet1nthedark

42Qualified whaleProven trader

0x8b881cf08d3a53d3711d7ea85783b94738e55f5e· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$32,392

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

80%

213 of 265 resolved

Resolved markets

265

Portfolio value

$137,156

Capital deployed

$2,122,700

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$31,100

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 2.1/30Return 1.3/25Consistency 19.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 42.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.7¢	$32,291	-$95	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	95.7¢	$20,442	-$73	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	90.4¢	$18,500	+$411	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	89.5¢	$16,299	+$527	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	57.3¢	$5,846	+$812	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	62.0¢	$5,363	+$363	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	86.0¢	$5,044	+$303	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	89.7¢	$4,255	+$129	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	60.0¢	$3,570	+$510	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	59.0¢	$3,570	+$561	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	72.9¢	$3,491	+$291	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.9¢	$3,354	+$974	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	94.5¢	$3,065	+$65	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	69.0¢	$2,806	+$97	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	88.0¢	$2,607	-$392	Trade ↗
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?	No	86.9¢	$2,188	+$186	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	84.5¢	$1,932	-$68	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	99.1¢	$1,507	+$7	Trade ↗
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	87.5¢	$694	+$63	Trade ↗
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	87.9¢	$332	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	12.5¢	$0	-$1,500	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	93.9¢	$0	-$61,848	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
11d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	No	95.8¢	$18,000
35d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	80.0¢	$13,100