keynesk

28Proven trader

0x8921d6e3e8c3855a8d35d1831634076c7fd35ca8· stats updated 9h ago

Realized PnL

+$3,376

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

95%

19 of 20 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$595

Capital deployed

$111,326

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,265

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 2.5/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 4.6/20Concentration -3.7Total 28.5 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	21.9¢	$258	-$57	Trade ↗
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$198	-$6	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$80	-$320	Trade ↗
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?	Yes	6.9¢	$28	-$41	Trade ↗
Will AI solve the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem in 2026?	Yes	6.0¢	$11	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	54.0¢	$8	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	Yes	25.0¢	$8	+$4	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	21.2¢	$2	-$6	Trade ↗
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	2.9¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	60.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	20.4¢	$0	-$14,251	Trade ↗
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	19.3¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	61.4¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	7.9¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
44d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	63.0¢	$10,265