BurstedBubble

13Specialist

0x843e32a367156a1e1e0193a36a04e41ae1b4d2f3· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

-$2,984

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

2 of 2 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$341,054

Capital deployed

$2,136,247

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$122,060

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 0.0/20Concentration -12.3Total 12.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	37.0¢	$295,773	+$59,415	Trade ↗
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	18.7¢	$26,227	-$1,844	Trade ↗
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	3.3¢	$4,391	+$1,117	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	44.4¢	$4,199	-$35	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	36.4¢	$3,796	-$2,091	Trade ↗
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$1,635	-$2,633	Trade ↗
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2.1¢	$1,223	-$870	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	36.9¢	$966	-$568	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	56.5¢	$954	+$410	Trade ↗
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	0.3¢	$637	-$1,048	Trade ↗
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	44.0¢	$427	-$74	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	67.2¢	$357	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	29.1¢	$130	-$4,911	Trade ↗
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	6.6¢	$73	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	12.7¢	$61	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	6.1¢	$59	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	92.0¢	$50	+$3	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	15.0¢	$44	-$1,066	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	13.9¢	$36	-$55	Trade ↗
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	0.2¢	$12	-$35	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	4.8¢	$4	-$40	Trade ↗
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?	Yes	9.7¢	$0	-$1,938	Trade ↗
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	21.4¢	$0	-$456	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Egypt	38.0¢	$0	-$38,000	Trade ↗
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$1,550	Trade ↗
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$62	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
3d ago	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	Yes	46.5¢	$37,200
10d ago	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	Yes	45.0¢	$41,351
11d ago	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	Yes	44.8¢	$12,130
12d ago	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	Yes	42.9¢	$11,312
37d ago	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	Yes	36.2¢	$20,068