JokerTheClown

78Qualified whaleProven trader

0x819dfea4ffa9c4d3ef27f00e2dbac7e9e93507f1· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$108,269

closed + open positions

Return on capital

25%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$83,667

Capital deployed

$427,306

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$34,116

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

153

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 11.9/30Return 21.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 78.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	64.9¢	$18,066	+$4,526	Trade ↗
Canadiens vs. Blackhawks	Canadiens	61.0¢	$12,100	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	64.0¢	$7,665	+$1,265	Trade ↗
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	87.7¢	$5,707	-$2,174	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	60.9¢	$5,514	+$2,073	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	64.0¢	$4,625	+$1,425	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	38.2¢	$4,171	+$241	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	73.0¢	$3,992	+$965	Trade ↗
Army vs. Tulsa	Tulsa	51.0¢	$3,535	-$35	Trade ↗
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	87.2¢	$1,586	+$197	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	76.4¢	$1,234	+$220	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?	No	60.0¢	$1,098	+$438	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	88.5¢	$1,068	+$101	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	72.1¢	$1,014	+$73	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	96.0¢	$996	+$36	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	97.0¢	$984	+$14	Trade ↗
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	28.5¢	$745	+$101	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	17.4¢	$634	+$240	Trade ↗
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	88.0¢	$554	-$202	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	25.4¢	$510	-$30	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	97.0¢	$499	+$14	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	96.0¢	$489	+$9	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	67.6¢	$367	+$30	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	78.4¢	$305	-$581	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 22?	No	96.5¢	$300	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 23?	No	90.0¢	$300	+$30	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 22?	No	70.8¢	$293	+$85	Trade ↗
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?	No	98.0¢	$289	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 23?	No	78.0¢	$288	+$63	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	71.9¢	$283	+$22	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	37.9¢	$246	+$152	Trade ↗
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	80.2¢	$241	+$12	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 22?	No	60.0¢	$230	+$92	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	22.5¢	$216	-$172	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	67.3¢	$205	+$66	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	97.0¢	$200	+$6	Trade ↗
Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	No	96.0¢	$198	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 22?	No	53.0¢	$176	+$83	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 23?	No	77.0¢	$153	+$35	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 22?	No	78.3¢	$153	+$33	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 22?	No	58.6¢	$150	+$62	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?	No	87.2¢	$134	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?	No	92.3¢	$134	+$8	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	43.0¢	$122	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 23?	No	89.0¢	$120	+$13	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 23?	No	74.7¢	$119	+$30	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 22?	No	92.1¢	$116	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	73.3¢	$113	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	52.1¢	$112	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	68.7¢	$111	+$34	Trade ↗
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	95.0¢	$110	+$5	Trade ↗
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	No	97.0¢	$97	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 22?	No	88.0¢	$80	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	45.0¢	$79	+$43	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	42.6¢	$64	+$37	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?	No	67.0¢	$61	+$12	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 22?	No	77.0¢	$50	+$11	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 22?	No	64.1¢	$47	+$17	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 23?	No	55.0¢	$47	+$21	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 22?	No	63.0¢	$46	+$17	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 23?	Yes	15.0¢	$43	+$36	Trade ↗
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	73.1¢	$31	+$1	Trade ↗
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	56.4¢	$26	-$2,881	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 22?	No	93.9¢	$25	+$2	Trade ↗
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.6M Iranian rials on October 31?	No	95.0¢	$20	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 22?	No	83.0¢	$20	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 22?	No	87.5¢	$20	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 22?	No	87.0¢	$20	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	52.0¢	$20	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 22?	No	87.2¢	$20	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 22?	No	75.0¢	$20	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?	No	57.0¢	$19	+$8	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 22?	No	95.0¢	$16	+$1	Trade ↗
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	No	93.0¢	$15	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 24?	No	66.8¢	$14	-$1	Trade ↗
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?	No	81.0¢	$14	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	73.0¢	$14	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	81.0¢	$13	+$1	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	91.3¢	$13	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 22?	Yes	39.9¢	$12	-$87	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	No	87.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 22?	Yes	34.0¢	$10	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on October 23?	No	94.6¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 22?	Yes	24.0¢	$10	+$8	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	97.4¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	66.0¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 22?	No	87.0¢	$8	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	No	78.0¢	$6	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 22?	No	88.0¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 22?	No	93.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	48.0¢	$5	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on October 23?	No	90.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	No	95.0¢	$5	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	Yes	30.0¢	$4	-$86	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?	No	58.0¢	$4	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	No	43.0¢	$4	-$98	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	60.0¢	$3	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 23?	No	53.6¢	$2	-$159	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	35.0¢	$2	-$31	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 22?	Yes	13.0¢	$1	-$12	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1d ago	Canadiens vs. Blackhawks	BUY	Canadiens	61.0¢	$12,200
11d ago	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$10,987
11d ago	Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	BUY	Yes	99.8¢	$10,929