HorribleWork

74Qualified whaleProven trader

0x78048aa26ac1967566b8ed11910b529e5f2d7025· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,101,021

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$39,873

Capital deployed

$17,471,762

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$74,171

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 5.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -6.1Total 74.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	86.1¢	$22,172	+$1,523	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	23.2¢	$3,467	-$269	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	8.8¢	$3,165	-$556	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	32.5¢	$2,739	+$121	Trade ↗
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	25.7¢	$1,443	-$13	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	33.0¢	$1,251	+$19	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	40.0¢	$1,218	-$135	Trade ↗
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	97.0¢	$1,097	+$13	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	39.0¢	$783	-$77	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	29.0¢	$754	-$138	Trade ↗
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	79.6¢	$741	-$34	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	8.0¢	$544	+$32	Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	79.0¢	$222	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	22.0¢	$102	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	5.2¢	$54	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	10.0¢	$23	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	No	73.6¢	$20	+$2	Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	13.3¢	$19	-$45	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	36.0¢	$19	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	63.0¢	$14	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	65.7¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	47.0¢	$7	+$3	Trade ↗
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	19.0¢	$6	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	5.8¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.5¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	3.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	3.8¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	61.6¢	$0	-$9,856	Trade ↗
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	No	76.6¢	$0	-$77	Trade ↗
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	18.2¢	$0	-$2,884	Trade ↗
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	Yes	12.5¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	4.6¢	$0	-$115	Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $457.50 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$48	Trade ↗
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	5.8¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	58.0¢	$0	-$586	Trade ↗
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	63.6¢	$0	-$547	Trade ↗
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$98	Trade ↗
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	Yes	34.0¢	$0	-$602	Trade ↗
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals	Yes	34.0¢	$0	-$13,600	Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	20.5¢	$0	-$14,630	Trade ↗
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	10.0¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	18.6¢	$0	-$9,988	Trade ↗
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	France	52.7¢	$0	-$8,553	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	14.9¢	$0	-$205	Trade ↗
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	22.0¢	$0	-$1,249	Trade ↗
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals	Yes	40.9¢	$0	-$16,878	Trade ↗
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in May?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	2.7¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Deniz Undav: 1+ goals	Yes	37.6¢	$0	-$1,882	Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?	No	75.7¢	$0	-$89	Trade ↗
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in May?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	18.4¢	$0	-$13,775	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$21	Trade ↗
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	5.4¢	$0	-$3,913	Trade ↗
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	8.0¢	$0	-$800	Trade ↗
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	19.2¢	$0	-$9,009	Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $420 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $142 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	4.6¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$3,208	Trade ↗
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$1,183	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in May?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?	No	10.1¢	$0	-$36	Trade ↗
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$700	Trade ↗
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	Mexico	48.7¢	$0	-$91,202	Trade ↗
Darwin Núñez: 1+ goals	Yes	22.6¢	$0	-$861	Trade ↗
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	12.4¢	$0	-$88	Trade ↗
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$69	Trade ↗
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	45.0¢	$0	-$15,750	Trade ↗
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	5.7¢	$0	-$3,846	Trade ↗
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$2,576	Trade ↗
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$1,050	Trade ↗
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals	No	65.0¢	$0	-$1,510	Trade ↗
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	No	15.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	3.5¢	$0	-$476	Trade ↗
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	No	17.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$69	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$87	Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	27.8¢	$0	-$1,924	Trade ↗
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	Yes	22.3¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	0.2¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$550	Trade ↗
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$40	Trade ↗
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$1,520	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
5d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	86.0¢	$19,514
53d ago	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$11,078
53d ago	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	BUY	No	99.5¢	$20,774
53d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.9¢	$22,805