HorribleWork

70Qualified whaleProven trader

0x78048aa26ac1967566b8ed11910b529e5f2d7025· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,156,151

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$35

Capital deployed

$17,229,682

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$54,657

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 5.6/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -10.2Total 70.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	13.3¢	$27	-$38	Trade ↗
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	19.0¢	$8	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	61.6¢	$0	-$9,856	Trade ↗
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	No	76.6¢	$0	-$77	Trade ↗
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	18.2¢	$0	-$2,884	Trade ↗
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	Yes	12.5¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	4.6¢	$0	-$115	Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $457.50 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$48	Trade ↗
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	5.8¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	58.0¢	$0	-$586	Trade ↗
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	63.6¢	$0	-$547	Trade ↗
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$98	Trade ↗
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	Yes	34.0¢	$0	-$602	Trade ↗
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals	Yes	34.0¢	$0	-$13,600	Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	20.5¢	$0	-$14,630	Trade ↗
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	10.0¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	18.6¢	$0	-$9,988	Trade ↗
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	France	52.7¢	$0	-$8,553	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	14.9¢	$0	-$205	Trade ↗
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	22.0¢	$0	-$1,249	Trade ↗
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals	Yes	40.9¢	$0	-$16,878	Trade ↗
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in May?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	2.7¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Deniz Undav: 1+ goals	Yes	37.6¢	$0	-$1,882	Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?	No	75.7¢	$0	-$89	Trade ↗
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in May?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	18.4¢	$0	-$13,778	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$21	Trade ↗
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	5.4¢	$0	-$3,913	Trade ↗
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	8.0¢	$0	-$800	Trade ↗
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	19.2¢	$0	-$9,009	Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $420 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $142 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	4.6¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$3,208	Trade ↗
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$1,183	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in May?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?	No	10.1¢	$0	-$36	Trade ↗
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$700	Trade ↗
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	Mexico	48.7¢	$0	-$91,202	Trade ↗
Darwin Núñez: 1+ goals	Yes	22.6¢	$0	-$861	Trade ↗
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	12.4¢	$0	-$88	Trade ↗
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$69	Trade ↗
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	45.0¢	$0	-$15,750	Trade ↗
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	5.7¢	$0	-$3,846	Trade ↗
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$2,576	Trade ↗
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$1,050	Trade ↗
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals	No	65.0¢	$0	-$1,510	Trade ↗
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	No	15.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	3.5¢	$0	-$476	Trade ↗
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	No	17.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$69	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$87	Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	27.8¢	$0	-$1,924	Trade ↗
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	Yes	22.3¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	0.2¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$550	Trade ↗
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$40	Trade ↗
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$1,520	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in August?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$10,793	Trade ↗
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	Colombia	60.0¢	$0	-$60,000	Trade ↗
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	7.8¢	$0	-$10,205	Trade ↗
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	No	31.0¢	$0	-$223	Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	54.0¢	$0	-$37,800	Trade ↗
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $590 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	56.2¢	$0	-$34,369	Trade ↗
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	Athletics	0.1¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 in May?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?	Yes	8.7¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	Norway	33.0¢	$0	-$3,300	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	23.9¢	$0	-$6,092	Trade ↗
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 6?	No	5.0¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$114	Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$21	Trade ↗
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	4.5¢	$0	-$6,776	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	0.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$2,587	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	Yes	9.5¢	$0	-$2,849	Trade ↗
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
7d ago	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$11,078
7d ago	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	BUY	No	99.5¢	$20,774
7d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.9¢	$22,805