WhaleWatcher

probability

88Qualified whaleProven trader
0x74f1b8944c7b10f7239e3dda0de6b8ee42e816a8· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
+$594,654
closed + open positions
Return on capital
21%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$113,919
Capital deployed
$2,869,767
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$194,562
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
500

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 25.8/30Return 17.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 88.0 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes15.7¢$8,622+$6,851Trade ↗
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes99.6¢$8,385+$23Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes95.5¢$5,876+$152Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes32.0¢$4,890-$5,298Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes85.5¢$4,312-$501Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No31.4¢$3,742-$947Trade ↗
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Yes99.3¢$2,554+$14Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?No94.2¢$2,530+$51Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes95.5¢$2,082+$30Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?No96.2¢$1,950-$23Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes3.8¢$1,913+$1,509Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?No96.8¢$1,879+$8Trade ↗
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?No96.2¢$1,748+$3Trade ↗
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes95.0¢$1,631+$44Trade ↗
Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No8.5¢$1,509+$1,253Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?No93.5¢$1,226+$61Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Yes92.0¢$1,201+$52Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No37.6¢$1,139-$160Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes36.2¢$1,134-$129Trade ↗
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes9.5¢$1,109+$820Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?Yes95.8¢$1,093-$20Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?Yes95.9¢$1,062+$18Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes29.2¢$1,007+$402Trade ↗
Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes21.4¢$975+$472Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No94.5¢$954+$15Trade ↗
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?No54.9¢$946-$16Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?No94.7¢$868+$4Trade ↗
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes31.2¢$793+$338Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Yes93.9¢$775+$34Trade ↗
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?Yes2.4¢$733+$711Trade ↗
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes96.1¢$729+$22Trade ↗
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No95.9¢$705+$16Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes31.1¢$701-$13Trade ↗
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No83.8¢$701+$82Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes31.5¢$671-$59Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes93.0¢$665+$14Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No94.9¢$662+$14Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No32.5¢$661-$68Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes60.0¢$658+$68Trade ↗
Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes12.6¢$658+$515Trade ↗
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?No86.6¢$620+$55Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No79.2¢$597-$36Trade ↗
Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?No82.0¢$594+$67Trade ↗
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes28.5¢$593+$247Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?No70.2¢$571+$40Trade ↗
Will Manchester City finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No18.4¢$567+$406Trade ↗
USMCA extended in 2026?No70.0¢$559+$134Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?No95.9¢$520+$5Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No84.5¢$513-$54Trade ↗
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?No97.7¢$498-$2Trade ↗
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes3.3¢$471+$370Trade ↗
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No18.9¢$468+$318Trade ↗
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes3.0¢$467+$332Trade ↗
Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?No81.8¢$441+$29Trade ↗
Will Fulham be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No62.3¢$439+$95Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes92.5¢$424+$18Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes87.1¢$418+$7Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Yes95.0¢$418+$9Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No10.8¢$412-$183Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes5.6¢$412+$56Trade ↗
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4.7¢$407+$123Trade ↗
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes41.7¢$394+$25Trade ↗
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes40.3¢$387+$101Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No34.0¢$382-$51Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No82.8¢$379+$8Trade ↗
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No17.6¢$378+$302Trade ↗
Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No64.5¢$374+$46Trade ↗
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4.7¢$368+$54Trade ↗
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes13.0¢$367+$46Trade ↗
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North?No88.7¢$350+$11Trade ↗
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Yes53.1¢$346+$160Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes42.4¢$340-$118Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes32.7¢$335-$7Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Yes95.7¢$333+$3Trade ↗
Will New York Giants win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?No95.7¢$333+$6Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes10.1¢$327-$115Trade ↗
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes3.3¢$319+$144Trade ↗
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2.8¢$315+$37Trade ↗
Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No81.3¢$300+$33Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes64.9¢$292+$66Trade ↗
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes54.8¢$283-$18Trade ↗
Will Leeds United finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes11.2¢$271+$126Trade ↗
Will Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes8.8¢$269+$167Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes96.8¢$268+$1Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No8.1¢$268+$12Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No42.8¢$268-$96Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Yes95.9¢$265+$1Trade ↗
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?No37.1¢$261+$150Trade ↗
Will Hull City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No88.0¢$259+$22Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?Yes96.4¢$258+$1Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes15.4¢$256+$122Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Yes90.0¢$248+$13Trade ↗
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Yes44.9¢$245+$66Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes11.1¢$245+$184Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Yes11.1¢$245+$184Trade ↗
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2026 AFC South?No94.4¢$241+$10Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes27.2¢$240-$6Trade ↗
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2.9¢$235+$53Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes45.3¢$234+$64Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes11.1¢$234+$173Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)