WhaleWatcher

probability

69Qualified whaleProven trader
0x74f1b8944c7b10f7239e3dda0de6b8ee42e816a8· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$588,228
closed + open positions
Return on capital
5%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$112,937
Capital deployed
$11,322,443
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$194,562
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
356

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 25.7/30Return 4.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -6.1Total 69.0 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No50.0¢$62,498+$29,998Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes12.9¢$8,656+$7,231Trade ↗
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?Yes83.7¢$3,198+$113Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes50.0¢$2,503-$29,998Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No45.0¢$2,491-$577Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes3.6¢$2,185+$1,799Trade ↗
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?Yes86.1¢$1,481-$20Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes19.1¢$1,424+$944Trade ↗
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes31.0¢$1,291+$393Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?No93.5¢$1,220+$55Trade ↗
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?Yes85.2¢$1,100+$101Trade ↗
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes8.6¢$799+$546Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Yes93.9¢$764+$24Trade ↗
Will Ben Shelton advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?No76.0¢$758+$68Trade ↗
Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes21.4¢$726+$128Trade ↗
Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes5.3¢$710+$657Trade ↗
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No83.8¢$675+$57Trade ↗
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?No71.7¢$637+$10Trade ↗
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes17.5¢$628+$33Trade ↗
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?Yes2.4¢$608+$586Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No88.8¢$598+$43Trade ↗
Will Frances Tiafoe advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?No87.2¢$574+$14Trade ↗
USMCA extended in 2026?No70.0¢$519+$94Trade ↗
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?No97.7¢$506+$6Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes19.6¢$501-$178Trade ↗
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes2.4¢$482+$420Trade ↗
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes3.7¢$481+$402Trade ↗
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes4.4¢$471+$291Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?No98.8¢$463-$81Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No13.0¢$457+$19Trade ↗
Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?No37.2¢$451-$138Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No36.4¢$350-$20Trade ↗
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes97.0¢$343-$45Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes27.2¢$313+$43Trade ↗
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes5.3¢$312+$94Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes34.7¢$308-$7Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No15.9¢$305-$23Trade ↗
Will Felix Gall win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?No65.2¢$301+$86Trade ↗
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?No95.5¢$288+$1Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes11.4¢$282+$2Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes70.5¢$276-$8Trade ↗
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes57.2¢$272+$11Trade ↗
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?No37.1¢$259+$149Trade ↗
Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes1.9¢$251+$163Trade ↗
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No69.0¢$247+$5Trade ↗
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?No49.9¢$233+$62Trade ↗
Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?Yes2.7¢$218+$192Trade ↗
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes2.9¢$215+$147Trade ↗
Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No67.0¢$206+$32Trade ↗
Will Leeds United finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes11.2¢$203+$56Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes45.3¢$197+$27Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes64.9¢$196-$29Trade ↗
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Yes53.1¢$194+$8Trade ↗
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Yes48.5¢$185+$7Trade ↗
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?No86.5¢$175+$1Trade ↗
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No69.8¢$175+$29Trade ↗
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No0.2¢$172+$164Trade ↗
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes51.6¢$171-$11Trade ↗
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No19.4¢$170+$1Trade ↗
Will Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes8.8¢$161+$60Trade ↗
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?No88.4¢$159+$11Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes30.0¢$159-$3Trade ↗
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes6.2¢$154-$20Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No44.4¢$152+$0Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No64.5¢$147-$22Trade ↗
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No27.3¢$140+$19Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes12.1¢$133-$12Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?No44.6¢$132-$49Trade ↗
Will Jessica Pegula advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?No73.0¢$126-$5Trade ↗
Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes20.9¢$120+$3Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No13.6¢$117+$30Trade ↗
Will Alexander Blockx advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?Yes7.4¢$117+$16Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes35.4¢$116-$3Trade ↗
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes37.5¢$115-$422Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Yes58.3¢$112-$166Trade ↗
Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?No46.1¢$112+$11Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No70.9¢$100-$3Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes13.0¢$99+$1Trade ↗
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2.8¢$95-$183Trade ↗
Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Yes19.3¢$91+$13Trade ↗
Will Manchester City finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No14.1¢$91+$47Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes12.4¢$86+$7Trade ↗
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No43.7¢$85-$84Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes91.1¢$80+$3Trade ↗
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes2.5¢$80-$9Trade ↗
Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No10.6¢$78+$12Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?No31.8¢$77-$1Trade ↗
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?No78.5¢$76+$3Trade ↗
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes2.0¢$76+$39Trade ↗
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes7.4¢$76-$196Trade ↗
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes43.0¢$70-$232Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No49.0¢$69+$1Trade ↗
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes2.0¢$67+$13Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Yes31.2¢$65+$1Trade ↗
Will Sonya Kilkenny be the next Premier of Victoria?Yes2.4¢$64+$41Trade ↗
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?Yes7.2¢$63-$20Trade ↗
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?Yes8.4¢$62+$7Trade ↗
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes58.0¢$59-$3Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No10.0¢$56+$27Trade ↗
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2.8¢$55-$223Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)