Cbs710

0x700a306c6dd9c87db2f5519b1bfae0340e83a239· stats updated 4d ago

Realized PnL

-$9,950

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-2%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

78%

82 of 105 resolved

Resolved markets

105

Portfolio value

$56,070

Capital deployed

$643,641

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$16,917

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 17.6/25Sample size 15.7/20Concentration -6.4Total 26.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	80.0¢	$32,063	+$2,063	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	85.8¢	$18,348	+$1,430	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	65.0¢	$4,157	+$859	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	58.0¢	$436	-$75	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	Yes	67.0¢	$399	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	53.0¢	$226	-$24	Trade ↗
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	77.6¢	$181	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	19.0¢	$139	+$39	Trade ↗
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	52.6¢	$77	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	77.3¢	$37	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	77.0¢	$8	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	21.8¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	59.5¢	$0	-$1,000	Trade ↗
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5	Over	83.0¢	$0	-$2,100	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	29.0¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Adolfo Vallejo	Kyrian Jacquet	67.0¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	86.0¢	$0	-$245	Trade ↗
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5	Over	83.0¢	$0	-$12,450	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
30d ago	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	Yes	85.8¢	$16,917