MEPP

83Qualified whaleProven trader

0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790· stats updated 17h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,419,705

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$566,813

Capital deployed

$15,348,422

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$140,784

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 7.7/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 82.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	89.7¢	$86,875	+$1,675	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	82.6¢	$80,060	+$11,230	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	77.3¢	$40,824	+$3,897	Trade ↗
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	81.0¢	$23,135	+$3,647	Trade ↗
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	83.3¢	$21,220	+$3,102	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	94.0¢	$19,060	+$260	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	90.7¢	$18,634	+$363	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	90.1¢	$16,931	+$1,594	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	44.2¢	$16,635	+$5,148	Trade ↗
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	No	73.3¢	$13,436	+$3,050	Trade ↗
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	86.4¢	$13,177	+$451	Trade ↗
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	84.3¢	$11,731	+$482	Trade ↗
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	81.3¢	$10,856	+$1,707	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	85.5¢	$8,936	+$98	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	75.4¢	$8,355	+$1,833	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	87.5¢	$8,087	+$851	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	79.7¢	$7,426	+$1,306	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	89.9¢	$7,106	+$696	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	86.0¢	$7,088	+$638	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	65.3¢	$6,879	+$1,118	Trade ↗
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	86.3¢	$6,578	+$571	Trade ↗
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	80.0¢	$6,172	+$972	Trade ↗
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	No	86.8¢	$6,154	+$531	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	62.8¢	$5,984	+$1,965	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	70.0¢	$5,550	+$116	Trade ↗
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	69.3¢	$5,470	+$1,531	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	63.8¢	$5,382	+$896	Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	77.5¢	$5,250	+$600	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	11.0¢	$5,013	+$1,210	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	64.0¢	$4,843	+$1,643	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	61.9¢	$4,576	+$1,403	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	92.0¢	$4,575	-$25	Trade ↗
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	32.4¢	$4,118	+$2,094	Trade ↗
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$4,108	+$22	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	85.7¢	$3,902	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	66.7¢	$3,839	+$1,231	Trade ↗
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	No	81.0¢	$3,535	+$370	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	82.6¢	$3,248	+$408	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	76.7¢	$3,218	-$1,768	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	35.3¢	$2,859	-$565	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	94.0¢	$2,831	+$44	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	85.7¢	$2,789	+$25	Trade ↗
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	80.9¢	$2,741	+$458	Trade ↗
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	85.5¢	$2,464	+$70	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	14.6¢	$2,444	-$651	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	88.1¢	$2,385	+$189	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	74.0¢	$2,373	+$244	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	54.8¢	$2,165	-$359	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	58.1¢	$2,144	-$1,048	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	88.7¢	$1,966	+$34	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	18.0¢	$1,900	+$100	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	81.0¢	$1,864	+$34	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	19.0¢	$1,750	-$150	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	58.0¢	$1,421	-$351	Trade ↗
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	No	62.1¢	$1,414	+$470	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	67.0¢	$1,412	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	30.0¢	$1,375	-$125	Trade ↗
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	92.4¢	$1,155	-$21	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	25.0¢	$981	-$109	Trade ↗
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	94.0¢	$949	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	74.0¢	$805	+$150	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	56.1¢	$622	+$165	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	61.0¢	$601	+$140	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	11.8¢	$487	-$399	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	34.6¢	$446	-$78	Trade ↗
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Yes	15.4¢	$385	+$221	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	17.0¢	$379	-$794	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	14.8¢	$377	-$601	Trade ↗
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?	No	70.7¢	$375	+$104	Trade ↗
Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?	Girl	48.0¢	$357	+$7	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	15.0¢	$314	-$542	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	83.2¢	$250	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	56.2¢	$202	+$49	Trade ↗
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?	No	89.8¢	$196	+$17	Trade ↗
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?	No	78.6¢	$186	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	11.8¢	$180	-$180	Trade ↗
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	5.9¢	$177	+$29	Trade ↗
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?	Yes	55.2¢	$171	+$59	Trade ↗
Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	81.0¢	$141	+$3	Trade ↗
Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	41.0¢	$130	+$51	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	2.9¢	$115	-$175	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	81.0¢	$98	+$17	Trade ↗
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?	No	63.8¢	$86	+$15	Trade ↗
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	12.0¢	$80	+$70	Trade ↗
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	No	55.0¢	$63	+$26	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	72.8¢	$59	-$117	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	38.0¢	$54	-$51	Trade ↗
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?	Yes	11.8¢	$39	+$3	Trade ↗
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	71.0¢	$35	+$8	Trade ↗
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	54.0¢	$19	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	93.9¢	$12	+$0	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	6.2¢	$12	-$157	Trade ↗
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?	No	35.0¢	$9	+$5	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	12.0¢	$7	+$1	Trade ↗
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	4.2¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	No	36.0¢	$0	-$166	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	8.0¢	$0	-$392	Trade ↗
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	59.0¢	$0	-$1,621	Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	11.3¢	$0	-$99	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	6.5¢	$0	-$666	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
8d ago	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	SELL	Yes	80.0¢	$14,752
13d ago	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	BUY	No	91.0¢	$50,000
53d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	SELL	No	81.0¢	$11,078
59d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	89.0¢	$21,484
63d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SELL	No	70.0¢	$12,457
69d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	BUY	Yes	68.0¢	$10,200
76d ago	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	SELL	Yes	88.5¢	$20,813