MEPP

83Qualified whaleProven trader

0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790· stats updated 23h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,351,608

closed + open positions

Return on capital

10%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$496,294

Capital deployed

$14,214,652

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$76,031

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 7.9/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 82.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	82.6¢	$79,602	+$10,772	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	82.6¢	$71,469	+$8,311	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	77.2¢	$43,034	+$3,841	Trade ↗
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	81.0¢	$22,942	+$3,467	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	95.2¢	$22,920	+$81	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	86.0¢	$17,100	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	84.3¢	$16,339	+$873	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	87.5¢	$16,151	+$1,042	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	90.4¢	$16,055	+$1,191	Trade ↗
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	No	73.3¢	$12,905	+$2,519	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	67.9¢	$11,186	-$406	Trade ↗
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	81.3¢	$10,451	+$1,302	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	51.0¢	$9,300	-$900	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	75.4¢	$8,260	+$1,738	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	61.0¢	$7,887	+$2,260	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	79.7¢	$7,330	+$1,210	Trade ↗
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?	No	93.0¢	$6,632	+$260	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	64.6¢	$6,457	+$1,212	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	85.4¢	$6,414	+$157	Trade ↗
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	86.3¢	$6,338	+$331	Trade ↗
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	No	86.8¢	$6,187	+$563	Trade ↗
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	80.0¢	$6,110	+$910	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	62.8¢	$5,920	+$1,901	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	80.7¢	$5,585	+$110	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	82.8¢	$5,534	+$356	Trade ↗
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	83.9¢	$5,190	+$153	Trade ↗
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	69.3¢	$5,140	+$1,201	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	84.0¢	$5,130	+$90	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	52.4¢	$4,833	+$2,125	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	64.0¢	$4,700	+$1,500	Trade ↗
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	No	81.0¢	$3,379	+$213	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	65.0¢	$3,325	+$75	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	49.2¢	$3,317	+$788	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	88.1¢	$2,802	+$230	Trade ↗
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	Yes	60.3¢	$2,710	-$4,392	Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	65.0¢	$2,625	+$675	Trade ↗
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	80.9¢	$2,583	+$300	Trade ↗
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	85.5¢	$2,464	+$70	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	74.3¢	$2,243	-$10	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	74.0¢	$2,200	+$72	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	45.1¢	$2,145	+$62	Trade ↗
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	56.8¢	$2,083	+$429	Trade ↗
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	24.0¢	$1,475	+$275	Trade ↗
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	No	62.1¢	$1,422	+$478	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	66.8¢	$1,353	+$156	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	13.0¢	$1,350	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	91.8¢	$849	+$2	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?	No	64.6¢	$780	+$89	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	74.0¢	$695	+$40	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	61.0¢	$631	+$170	Trade ↗
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?	No	70.7¢	$362	+$91	Trade ↗
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	59.0¢	$330	-$1,291	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?	No	75.0¢	$249	+$36	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	83.2¢	$248	+$35	Trade ↗
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	56.2¢	$234	+$82	Trade ↗
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	91.0¢	$226	+$12	Trade ↗
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?	Yes	42.1¢	$178	-$570	Trade ↗
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?	No	78.6¢	$165	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	81.0¢	$151	+$14	Trade ↗
Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	41.0¢	$151	+$72	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	81.0¢	$97	+$16	Trade ↗
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	12.0¢	$81	+$71	Trade ↗
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	No	55.0¢	$61	+$25	Trade ↗
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	No	36.0¢	$59	-$107	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	43.0¢	$38	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	80.0¢	$38	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	Yes	28.0¢	$35	-$161	Trade ↗
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	71.0¢	$33	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	54.0¢	$19	+$8	Trade ↗
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?	No	35.0¢	$9	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?	No	35.2¢	$0	-$212	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	No	44.0¢	$0	-$47	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$79	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$70	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	10.5¢	$0	-$525	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	11.6¢	$0	-$217	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
7d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	SELL	No	81.0¢	$11,078
13d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	89.0¢	$21,484
18d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SELL	No	70.0¢	$12,457
23d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	BUY	Yes	68.0¢	$10,200
31d ago	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	SELL	Yes	88.5¢	$20,813