paddaa

80Qualified whaleProven trader

0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$576,302

closed + open positions

Return on capital

12%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$189,108

Capital deployed

$4,824,253

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,968

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

180

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 25.5/30Return 9.9/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 80.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	74.7¢	$19,732	+$3,657	Trade ↗
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	69.0¢	$13,903	+$2,881	Trade ↗
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	82.5¢	$12,894	+$877	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	60.1¢	$9,765	+$2,286	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	No	37.7¢	$9,300	+$1,762	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	59.0¢	$8,127	+$1,127	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	46.0¢	$8,096	+$3,348	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	64.4¢	$6,523	+$12	Trade ↗
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?	No	77.9¢	$5,185	+$1,053	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?	No	78.0¢	$4,026	+$26	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	85.0¢	$3,579	+$179	Trade ↗
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	63.6¢	$3,312	-$386	Trade ↗
Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	Yes	60.1¢	$3,025	+$585	Trade ↗
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	88.4¢	$2,992	+$36	Trade ↗
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	19.3¢	$2,969	+$2,304	Trade ↗
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	No	64.0¢	$2,828	+$860	Trade ↗
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	No	79.2¢	$2,765	+$502	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	55.6¢	$2,762	-$340	Trade ↗
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?	No	58.0¢	$2,579	+$698	Trade ↗
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?	Yes	80.2¢	$2,500	+$183	Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	85.7¢	$2,110	+$67	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	50.0¢	$2,043	-$108	Trade ↗
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?	Yes	79.6¢	$1,887	+$55	Trade ↗
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	71.8¢	$1,842	+$381	Trade ↗
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	39.2¢	$1,832	+$582	Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	75.0¢	$1,821	+$185	Trade ↗
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	Yes	20.2¢	$1,798	-$887	Trade ↗
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	No	48.3¢	$1,744	+$649	Trade ↗
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	83.5¢	$1,732	+$116	Trade ↗
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	38.0¢	$1,663	+$63	Trade ↗
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	Yes	43.6¢	$1,651	+$562	Trade ↗
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?	No	66.8¢	$1,516	+$156	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	87.4¢	$1,480	+$169	Trade ↗
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	95.7¢	$1,273	-$27	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	29.0¢	$1,174	+$144	Trade ↗
Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	No	62.1¢	$1,053	+$313	Trade ↗
Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?	No	47.1¢	$1,037	+$61	Trade ↗
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	No	61.2¢	$962	+$127	Trade ↗
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	47.9¢	$952	+$2	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	74.0¢	$867	+$50	Trade ↗
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?	No	81.3¢	$829	+$88	Trade ↗
Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	Yes	63.4¢	$826	+$38	Trade ↗
Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?	Yes	30.1¢	$818	+$414	Trade ↗
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?	No	37.5¢	$756	+$323	Trade ↗
Will Yiwarr McGrath win the next Mulka by-election?	Yes	88.8¢	$743	+$61	Trade ↗
Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Yes	43.8¢	$741	-$641	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	25.3¢	$707	-$847	Trade ↗
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?	No	35.4¢	$707	+$57	Trade ↗
Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?	No	21.4¢	$692	+$143	Trade ↗
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	No	58.6¢	$663	+$111	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	52.1¢	$652	-$348	Trade ↗
Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?	No	38.3¢	$636	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	28.3¢	$628	+$317	Trade ↗
Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	Yes	64.0¢	$605	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	No	39.8¢	$596	+$38	Trade ↗
Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	No	37.7¢	$574	+$149	Trade ↗
Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?	No	49.5¢	$572	+$79	Trade ↗
Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?	Yes	64.1¢	$553	+$3	Trade ↗
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?	Yes	7.0¢	$550	-$150	Trade ↗
Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?	No	64.6¢	$537	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Rogerio Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	67.6¢	$513	+$60	Trade ↗
Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	Yes	75.1¢	$509	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	55.0¢	$505	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	57.2¢	$493	+$136	Trade ↗
Will Aaron Orlando win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	Yes	26.7¢	$454	+$154	Trade ↗
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?	No	81.5¢	$445	-$62	Trade ↗
Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	76.9¢	$445	-$40	Trade ↗
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	No	69.1¢	$429	+$94	Trade ↗
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?	No	84.0¢	$420	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election?	No	67.9¢	$413	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?	Yes	29.3¢	$412	+$34	Trade ↗
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	71.5¢	$407	+$63	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	13.8¢	$402	-$213	Trade ↗
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?	Yes	50.8¢	$401	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	No	46.2¢	$401	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Yes	52.9¢	$399	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo?	No	52.0¢	$387	+$75	Trade ↗
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?	Yes	78.0¢	$384	+$64	Trade ↗
Will Ibrahim Abba Gana win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election?	No	87.3¢	$383	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?	Yes	63.3¢	$381	+$39	Trade ↗
Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?	Yes	52.1¢	$332	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	Yes	49.5¢	$316	-$237	Trade ↗
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?	Yes	58.6¢	$312	-$519	Trade ↗
Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?	Yes	28.4¢	$309	+$148	Trade ↗
Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	Yes	35.1¢	$286	+$35	Trade ↗
Will Emmanuel Bwacha win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?	No	74.0¢	$283	+$38	Trade ↗
Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?	No	74.2¢	$277	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Yes	27.2¢	$276	+$130	Trade ↗
Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	No	57.6¢	$273	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?	No	41.4¢	$265	+$67	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$258	+$38	Trade ↗
Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	Yes	35.5¢	$256	+$42	Trade ↗
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	66.3¢	$248	+$68	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.3¢	$229	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?	No	54.6¢	$212	+$66	Trade ↗
Will Charles Page win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	66.0¢	$203	-$57	Trade ↗
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	86.7¢	$203	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?	Yes	18.4¢	$199	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?	No	78.4¢	$192	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?	No	53.7¢	$188	+$18	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
30d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$10,968