paddaa

81Qualified whaleProven trader

0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71· stats updated 20h ago

Realized PnL

+$691,701

closed + open positions

Return on capital

11%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$156,902

Capital deployed

$6,155,977

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$25,968

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

276

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 27.0/30Return 9.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 81.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	70.8¢	$11,257	+$257	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	51.5¢	$9,844	+$537	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	66.9¢	$9,417	-$1,537	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	61.7¢	$8,228	+$1,724	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	82.2¢	$7,934	-$66	Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	85.0¢	$6,279	+$279	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	64.0¢	$6,234	+$234	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	42.9¢	$4,917	+$1,649	Trade ↗
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	85.6¢	$4,826	+$131	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	No	34.3¢	$4,341	+$478	Trade ↗
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	64.7¢	$4,142	-$144	Trade ↗
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	85.8¢	$4,059	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	43.8¢	$4,030	+$19	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	31.4¢	$2,927	+$185	Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	65.2¢	$2,897	+$128	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	75.0¢	$2,833	+$433	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	33.5¢	$2,729	+$524	Trade ↗
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	No	64.8¢	$2,106	-$94	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	79.0¢	$1,782	+$44	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	54.1¢	$1,773	-$125	Trade ↗
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	21.4¢	$1,639	+$1,168	Trade ↗
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	Yes	9.7¢	$1,506	+$1,263	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	31.1¢	$1,385	+$99	Trade ↗
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	82.7¢	$1,367	+$67	Trade ↗
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?	Yes	80.2¢	$1,326	+$198	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	35.7¢	$1,270	-$1,114	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	57.6¢	$1,263	+$20	Trade ↗
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	Yes	15.8¢	$1,020	-$679	Trade ↗
Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?	No	52.8¢	$965	+$181	Trade ↗
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	46.5¢	$871	-$1,582	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?	No	30.8¢	$857	+$68	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	80.0¢	$855	-$45	Trade ↗
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?	No	35.4¢	$850	+$242	Trade ↗
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	87.0¢	$823	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?	Yes	43.4¢	$801	+$236	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	16.8¢	$731	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	75.0¢	$726	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	0.9¢	$710	+$682	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	43.2¢	$681	-$136	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	17.0¢	$679	-$21	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	57.0¢	$658	-$140	Trade ↗
Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	No	39.8¢	$645	+$87	Trade ↗
Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	41.9¢	$605	+$255	Trade ↗
Will Janice Frampton win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?	No	79.5¢	$600	+$87	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	64.3¢	$596	-$704	Trade ↗
Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?	No	10.5¢	$559	+$498	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	2.1¢	$559	+$467	Trade ↗
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	28.3¢	$554	+$250	Trade ↗
Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	No	69.8¢	$551	+$163	Trade ↗
Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?	Yes	64.1¢	$549	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	14.9¢	$539	+$110	Trade ↗
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	0.9¢	$512	+$426	Trade ↗
Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?	No	64.6¢	$505	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?	No	38.3¢	$502	+$195	Trade ↗
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?	No	67.3¢	$483	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	57.2¢	$478	+$122	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?	Yes	2.1¢	$470	+$377	Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	66.5¢	$461	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Yes	3.1¢	$455	+$55	Trade ↗
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	1.5¢	$445	+$331	Trade ↗
Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?	No	50.4¢	$435	+$158	Trade ↗
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	66.1¢	$428	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	No	18.1¢	$425	+$345	Trade ↗
Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?	Yes	53.5¢	$421	+$60	Trade ↗
Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?	Yes	63.3¢	$416	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?	Yes	30.8¢	$412	+$281	Trade ↗
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	36.0¢	$410	-$90	Trade ↗
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?	No	52.1¢	$406	-$535	Trade ↗
Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	Yes	64.0¢	$401	-$30	Trade ↗
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2.9¢	$397	+$254	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	17.0¢	$376	-$24	Trade ↗
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	Yes	9.6¢	$354	+$247	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	39.3¢	$351	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election?	No	67.9¢	$350	-$21	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?	Yes	3.0¢	$337	+$244	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?	Yes	2.0¢	$331	+$148	Trade ↗
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	55.0¢	$327	+$53	Trade ↗
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	0.9¢	$325	+$240	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	2.0¢	$323	+$142	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	No	30.3¢	$313	+$210	Trade ↗
Will Michael Eamon win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	65.1¢	$312	+$84	Trade ↗
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?	Yes	74.7¢	$295	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?	Yes	28.4¢	$268	+$131	Trade ↗
Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	No	46.7¢	$267	-$53	Trade ↗
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?	No	64.7¢	$262	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?	No	74.2¢	$258	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?	Yes	78.6¢	$247	-$53	Trade ↗
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	0.9¢	$245	+$158	Trade ↗
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	0.9¢	$245	+$158	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	2.1¢	$238	+$69	Trade ↗
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?	Yes	80.4¢	$233	-$49	Trade ↗
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	86.7¢	$233	+$31	Trade ↗
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2.9¢	$228	+$85	Trade ↗
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	0.9¢	$224	+$142	Trade ↗
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	1.0¢	$224	+$163	Trade ↗
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	64.7¢	$223	+$66	Trade ↗
Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	Yes	53.4¢	$223	+$88	Trade ↗
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	0.9¢	$223	+$176	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.3¢	$218	-$37	Trade ↗
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	0.9¢	$218	+$131	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
17d ago	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	BUY	Yes	94.1¢	$15,000
76d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$10,968