defillama7

74Qualified whaleProven trader

0x4c8cdcdd4c92bf44e74a642254f7414de14de36f· stats updated 22h ago

Realized PnL

+$593,091

closed + open positions

Return on capital

17%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

88%

43 of 49 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$396,208

Capital deployed

$3,504,847

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$335,505

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 25.8/30Return 14.1/25Consistency 23.6/25Sample size 10.6/20Concentration 0.0Total 74.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	64.9¢	$99,047	-$2,207	Trade ↗
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	66.6¢	$79,725	+$4,347	Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	67.5¢	$49,083	+$2,048	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	66.2¢	$38,371	-$2,284	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	42.0¢	$37,394	+$3,743	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	70.0¢	$36,591	+$1,262	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	46.4¢	$29,802	+$359	Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	67.0¢	$18,044	+$618	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	78.0¢	$4,314	-$28	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	20.8¢	$3,660	-$946	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	58.0¢	$176	-$347	Trade ↗
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	26.0¢	$0	-$905	Trade ↗
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	Yes	64.3¢	$0	-$4,464	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	24.3¢	$0	-$17,270	Trade ↗
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	36.7¢	$0	-$13,240	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	74.6¢	$0	-$3,594	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	21.6¢	$0	-$35,719	Trade ↗
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	18.1¢	$0	-$679	Trade ↗
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	46.8¢	$0	-$29,154	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$13,032	Trade ↗
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	21.5¢	$0	-$258	Trade ↗
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	2.7¢	$0	-$479	Trade ↗
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	17.0¢	$0	-$1,613	Trade ↗
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	45.3¢	$0	-$4,080	Trade ↗
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	47.3¢	$0	-$17,352	Trade ↗
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	15.0¢	$0	-$1,870	Trade ↗
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	26.5¢	$0	-$1,276	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
3d ago	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BUY	No	70.0¢	$35,329
3d ago	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	BUY	No	65.0¢	$27,281
7d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	Yes	79.5¢	$67,584
7d ago	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	BUY	No	62.0¢	$14,420
8d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	77.1¢	$50,190
17d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	16.0¢	$12,800
20d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	Yes	84.6¢	$23,521
20d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	No	85.0¢	$52,028
60d ago	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	BUY	Yes	67.0¢	$18,994
60d ago	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	BUY	Yes	65.9¢	$12,488
72d ago	Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?	BUY	No	99.5¢	$20,870