WhaleWatcher

thoodr

44
0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2ed· stats updated 24d ago
Realized PnL
-$104,411
closed + open positions
Return on capital
-2%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
88%
267 of 303 resolved
Resolved markets
303
Portfolio value
$1,184,743
Capital deployed
$5,551,410
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$84,017
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
83

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 23.8/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 43.8 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No87.9¢$243,100+$14,505Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No96.2¢$115,518+$3,499Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No96.9¢$85,866+$1,299Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No95.0¢$83,189+$2,059Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No81.8¢$65,130+$1,303Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No81.7¢$57,782-$2,381Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes91.1¢$54,354+$2,480Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No88.2¢$37,632+$1,732Trade ↗
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No97.4¢$36,643+$778Trade ↗
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No98.8¢$34,648+$100Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No89.5¢$26,451+$1,118Trade ↗
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?No95.8¢$25,382-$400Trade ↗
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No95.6¢$20,572+$512Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No96.0¢$19,090+$378Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No93.3¢$18,557+$292Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No82.3¢$18,530+$1,674Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No85.7¢$17,082+$1,423Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No87.0¢$15,947+$940Trade ↗
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No95.0¢$12,914+$388Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No84.8¢$12,344+$960Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No97.0¢$12,006+$42Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No94.8¢$10,648+$72Trade ↗
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?No96.9¢$9,800+$58Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?No92.0¢$9,450+$250Trade ↗
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes93.3¢$8,960+$443Trade ↗
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?No95.9¢$7,328+$135Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No82.1¢$7,210+$31Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No95.8¢$6,977+$82Trade ↗
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?No98.3¢$6,867+$38Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No99.5¢$6,453+$22Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes99.1¢$6,223+$44Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes93.1¢$6,220-$14Trade ↗
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?No76.0¢$6,041+$941Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No90.3¢$5,643+$134Trade ↗
Yoon out of custody before 2027?No89.3¢$5,477+$281Trade ↗
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?Yes86.9¢$4,844-$227Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No93.6¢$4,675-$5Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No98.4¢$4,094+$15Trade ↗
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No90.2¢$4,057-$725Trade ↗
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes92.0¢$3,787-$3,563Trade ↗
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No96.8¢$3,577+$73Trade ↗
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No71.1¢$3,466+$648Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes95.9¢$3,367+$5Trade ↗
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No98.5¢$3,113+$25Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No96.0¢$2,936+$56Trade ↗
Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes91.8¢$2,728+$136Trade ↗
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?No97.2¢$2,592-$4Trade ↗
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes98.4¢$2,536+$7Trade ↗
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?Yes89.0¢$2,327+$13Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by August 15?No99.8¢$2,129+$2Trade ↗
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?No90.0¢$2,079+$99Trade ↗
Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?No99.7¢$1,488+$2Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by August 22?No98.9¢$1,480+$6Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No92.6¢$1,280+$7Trade ↗
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?No95.9¢$1,050+$30Trade ↗
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Yes98.4¢$1,003+$13Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No96.3¢$982+$19Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No96.8¢$968$0Trade ↗
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No91.0¢$923-$5Trade ↗
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes96.4¢$842-$2Trade ↗
US x China tariff agreement by August 31?No86.5¢$746+$83Trade ↗
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No88.9¢$739-$21Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?No95.9¢$648+$11Trade ↗
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Yes87.0¢$626-$26Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?No90.0¢$610+$29Trade ↗
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026?No96.9¢$585+$15Trade ↗
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 13, 2026?No98.0¢$584-$5Trade ↗
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No97.0¢$428+$9Trade ↗
Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?Yes95.0¢$415+$8Trade ↗
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No98.8¢$248+$1Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No98.1¢$149+$2Trade ↗
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes98.6¢$116-$2Trade ↗
Will CJ Abrams hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?No83.9¢$103+$2Trade ↗
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?Yes99.7¢$75+$0Trade ↗
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No88.0¢$65+$3Trade ↗
Israeli forces enter Beirut by August 31?No97.0¢$62+$0Trade ↗
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?Yes98.8¢$50+$0Trade ↗
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No90.7¢$46+$1Trade ↗
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No83.5¢$46-$0Trade ↗
Will Latonya Reeves be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?No99.2¢$25+$0Trade ↗
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 13, 2026?No99.0¢$10+$0Trade ↗
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026?No99.0¢$10+$0Trade ↗
Will Kyle Schwarber hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes96.9¢$5-$0Trade ↗
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?No95.2¢$0-$6,356Trade ↗
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?No85.0¢$0-$2,125Trade ↗
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?No97.6¢$0-$537Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No95.2¢$0-$17,129Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes87.5¢$0-$9,576Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?Yes67.9¢$0-$10Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)