WhaleWatcher

thoodr

64Qualified whaleProven trader
0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2ed· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$206,957
closed + open positions
Return on capital
2%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$1,474,991
Capital deployed
$8,937,696
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$320,630
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
164

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 17.2/30Return 1.9/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 64.1 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No94.2¢$89,775+$325Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No93.8¢$71,747-$871Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No81.8¢$64,350+$523Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No97.7¢$59,343+$1,189Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No92.5¢$54,388+$856Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No98.4¢$53,370+$404Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No86.1¢$52,484+$3,651Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No94.0¢$49,820-$20Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No92.7¢$48,655+$434Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No81.7¢$44,165-$15,999Trade ↗
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No97.6¢$39,667-$128Trade ↗
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No90.0¢$39,191-$204Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No93.1¢$37,342-$5,319Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?No88.3¢$37,029-$750Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No97.3¢$33,499+$376Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes94.7¢$33,391+$729Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by October 31?No98.2¢$31,118-$81Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes95.1¢$29,717+$946Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No93.3¢$28,762-$260Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No93.2¢$25,545+$1,102Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No97.4¢$21,941+$132Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No95.0¢$21,142+$248Trade ↗
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No90.5¢$20,971+$1,273Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No94.1¢$20,681+$739Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes85.2¢$19,677+$77Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes88.9¢$17,549-$1,823Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No85.7¢$17,089+$1,751Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No88.9¢$17,017+$835Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No95.3¢$15,395+$264Trade ↗
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes89.0¢$14,750-$878Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?No89.8¢$14,687+$509Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes97.9¢$14,322-$54Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by November 30?No95.2¢$13,127-$385Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No94.9¢$12,365+$216Trade ↗
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?No93.7¢$12,012+$300Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No85.8¢$11,909-$2,692Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?Yes94.1¢$10,668+$595Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No93.5¢$10,549+$269Trade ↗
Yoon out of custody before 2027?No92.1¢$10,223+$282Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No95.5¢$9,660+$110Trade ↗
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No80.4¢$9,502+$869Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes92.6¢$9,294+$91Trade ↗
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic90.3¢$9,253+$218Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No96.4¢$8,845+$206Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No93.1¢$8,618+$142Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes93.0¢$8,573+$201Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No96.8¢$8,550+$205Trade ↗
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No92.2¢$8,244+$244Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-26 House seat?Yes95.7¢$7,792+$85Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?No95.8¢$7,096-$41Trade ↗
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No95.0¢$5,886+$186Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No93.0¢$5,670+$90Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes91.0¢$4,893+$343Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes95.6¢$4,813+$33Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No94.0¢$4,775+$75Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No95.8¢$4,684+$183Trade ↗
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No95.1¢$4,552+$69Trade ↗
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes90.7¢$4,187-$417Trade ↗
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No94.6¢$4,030+$72Trade ↗
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No84.2¢$3,843+$265Trade ↗
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?No96.0¢$3,843+$102Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?No97.4¢$3,824+$48Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No96.9¢$3,768+$113Trade ↗
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No92.3¢$3,481+$84Trade ↗
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No90.6¢$3,418+$188Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?No96.0¢$3,376+$16Trade ↗
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No98.4¢$3,329+$42Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes95.2¢$3,286+$112Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?Yes93.3¢$3,099+$113Trade ↗
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes94.8¢$3,082+$78Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the RI-02 House seat?No96.0¢$3,075+$3Trade ↗
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No87.5¢$3,075+$272Trade ↗
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?No90.0¢$2,956+$247Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes83.8¢$2,765-$115Trade ↗
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No92.1¢$2,722+$144Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?Yes95.9¢$2,565+$19Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat?Yes95.0¢$2,503+$33Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?No95.0¢$2,459+$84Trade ↗
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?No95.4¢$2,215+$35Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat?Yes96.0¢$2,113+$1Trade ↗
Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes93.3¢$2,080+$87Trade ↗
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?No89.0¢$2,073-$72Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes92.8¢$1,989-$3,882Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No93.0¢$1,986+$126Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?Yes95.0¢$1,920+$20Trade ↗
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No91.3¢$1,908+$55Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No89.1¢$1,890+$39Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-06 House seat?No95.0¢$1,889+$84Trade ↗
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?No90.3¢$1,889+$143Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?No95.9¢$1,807+$33Trade ↗
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?No90.0¢$1,763+$84Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?No93.8¢$1,693+$99Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Yes95.0¢$1,457+$32Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?Yes95.0¢$1,423+$7Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?Yes96.2¢$1,392-$7Trade ↗
Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings?Yes95.0¢$1,345-$3,449Trade ↗
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes92.0¢$1,270-$6,079Trade ↗
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No93.0¢$1,187+$18Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat?No95.0¢$1,169+$29Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No75.9¢$1,158-$38Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
26d agoWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUYNo99.8¢$68,862
26d agoWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUYNo99.8¢$19,960
26d agoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUYNo99.8¢$10,978
31d agoWill Elon Musk attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUYYes99.9¢$11,285
32d agoWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUYYes99.5¢$22,322
33d agoWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUYYes99.7¢$11,302
39d agoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELLNo99.8¢$19,461
48d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUYNo97.9¢$10,769
51d agoIran leadership change by September 30?BUYNo97.5¢$11,700
54d agoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUYNo97.8¢$11,736
56d agoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUYYes99.4¢$11,427
64d agoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUYNo99.3¢$11,916
64d agoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUYNo99.3¢$14,895
70d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUYNo98.5¢$49,250
78d agoWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUYNo99.3¢$19,860
78d agoWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUYYes99.0¢$14,907