abccbaq

45Qualified whaleProven trader

0x343fdd2bf9272bd12cffbfe510f3969f57e36df2· stats updated 20h ago

Realized PnL

+$31,663

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

87%

182 of 210 resolved

Resolved markets

210

Portfolio value

$18,129

Capital deployed

$1,319,658

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$19,960

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 1.9/30Return 2.0/25Consistency 22.9/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.4Total 45.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	99.1¢	$5,845	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	99.8¢	$4,998	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	83.4¢	$1,898	+$142	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	79.3¢	$1,648	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	97.8¢	$991	+$13	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	33.1¢	$561	+$296	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	99.0¢	$498	+$3	Trade ↗
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	96.5¢	$480	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	18.9¢	$349	-$28	Trade ↗
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	No	65.6¢	$234	-$292	Trade ↗
Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?	No	98.2¢	$181	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	14.1¢	$168	-$128	Trade ↗
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	75.6¢	$150	+$27	Trade ↗
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	25.6¢	$66	+$49	Trade ↗
Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?	No	94.6¢	$48	+$1	Trade ↗
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	22.0¢	$12	-$24	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	72.7¢	$1	-$49	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	41.5¢	$0	-$159	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?	No	5.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	1.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will there be no next Claude Sonnet model release by October 15, 2026?	Yes	1.2¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	66.9¢	$0	-$418	Trade ↗
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	8.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
73d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	BUY	No	99.8¢	$19,960