themagicofcinema

64Qualified whaleProven trader

0x33e27ac64a453337cfcea8345c705a407c573a1b· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$135,108

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$19,829

Capital deployed

$1,941,806

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$65,805

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 13.7/30Return 5.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.4Total 64.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	80.0¢	$5,333	-$172	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	96.2¢	$4,694	+$42	Trade ↗
Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?	No	98.5¢	$4,561	+$67	Trade ↗
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	66.0¢	$3,182	+$203	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	93.0¢	$545	-$15	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	25.9¢	$475	+$28	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	No	19.5¢	$469	+$243	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	23.6¢	$130	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	91.4¢	$126	+$7	Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	96.1¢	$91	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?	Yes	93.0¢	$55	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	No	16.0¢	$47	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	87.0¢	$40	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	23.8¢	$31	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	99.9¢	$22	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	63.5¢	$15	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	13.0¢	$12	$0	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	16.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Dipika Damerla win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	Yes	1.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	9.3¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	SELL	Yes	65.6¢	$10,208
2d ago	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BUY	Yes	80.0¢	$11,975
9d ago	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$10,889
12d ago	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$10,162
15d ago	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	SELL	Yes	74.0¢	$11,687
18d ago	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	SELL	Up	99.9¢	$10,885