apmt

44Qualified whaleProven trader

0x328dc4b82869856f3e1a1eae904e67957641f7a9· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$70,669

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

76%

72 of 95 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$227,843

Capital deployed

$1,462,792

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$43,523

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 8.4/30Return 4.0/25Consistency 16.1/25Sample size 15.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 43.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	82.9¢	$28,045	+$1,473	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	80.1¢	$25,740	+$1,638	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	79.2¢	$22,096	+$4,216	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	70.2¢	$20,364	-$507	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	66.7¢	$18,587	+$4,261	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	81.9¢	$16,951	+$1,607	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	85.1¢	$12,105	+$1,685	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	79.4¢	$11,786	+$514	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	84.9¢	$11,312	+$1,044	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	82.9¢	$9,689	+$1,367	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	55.0¢	$8,804	+$2,391	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	46.0¢	$6,180	+$660	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	65.7¢	$6,002	+$331	Trade ↗
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	93.9¢	$5,163	+$106	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	61.1¢	$4,814	+$326	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	49.5¢	$4,790	+$94	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	45.0¢	$4,586	+$579	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	9.4¢	$2,998	+$615	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	11.4¢	$2,934	+$791	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	77.1¢	$2,324	+$40	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	78.0¢	$1,927	+$324	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	93.0¢	$492	+$27	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	80.0¢	$157	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?	Yes	34.0¢	$0	-$203	Trade ↗
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	39.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?	No	6.0¢	$0	-$58	Trade ↗
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?	Yes	27.0¢	$0	-$27	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$157	Trade ↗
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	29.2¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	28.9¢	$0	-$67	Trade ↗
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	37.7¢	$0	-$137	Trade ↗
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	19.6¢	$0	-$361	Trade ↗
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?	No	30.7¢	$0	-$462	Trade ↗
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	65.0¢	$0	-$515	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
17d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.6¢	$13,502
22d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	72.0¢	$10,800
22d ago	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	SELL	No	96.1¢	$19,221