DEGENKHAN

61Qualified whaleProven trader

0x21d0c129deb8a7f7e1569045200d20e23862ce91· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$147,194

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$280,803

Capital deployed

$9,005,547

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,043

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

227

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 14.4/30Return 1.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 60.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	94.4¢	$47,982	+$776	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	92.7¢	$27,120	+$524	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	96.2¢	$15,359	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	92.7¢	$9,708	-$382	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	92.0¢	$9,645	+$650	Trade ↗
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	95.4¢	$8,995	+$80	Trade ↗
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	89.3¢	$8,448	+$496	Trade ↗
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	No	90.8¢	$7,278	+$286	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	92.4¢	$6,607	+$78	Trade ↗
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	91.4¢	$6,580	+$9	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?	No	92.0¢	$5,236	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	89.8¢	$5,137	+$254	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	92.9¢	$4,915	+$205	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	96.9¢	$4,594	+$13	Trade ↗
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	93.5¢	$4,235	+$46	Trade ↗
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	89.2¢	$4,103	+$125	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	87.9¢	$3,634	+$65	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	91.5¢	$3,365	+$140	Trade ↗
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	86.7¢	$3,245	+$49	Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	87.4¢	$3,206	+$176	Trade ↗
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	25.6¢	$3,175	+$1,515	Trade ↗
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	18.7¢	$3,154	+$1,217	Trade ↗
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	No	97.4¢	$3,099	+$14	Trade ↗
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	No	93.9¢	$3,022	+$110	Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?	No	94.0¢	$2,767	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	94.0¢	$2,722	+$6	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	No	95.2¢	$2,698	+$66	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	96.5¢	$2,657	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	No	78.4¢	$2,504	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	96.1¢	$2,417	+$65	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	45.5¢	$2,399	+$282	Trade ↗
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?	No	96.0¢	$2,284	+$40	Trade ↗
Tom Lee charged by December 31?	No	94.5¢	$2,255	+$66	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	No	93.5¢	$2,108	+$44	Trade ↗
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	92.5¢	$2,044	+$125	Trade ↗
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	93.3¢	$1,942	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	81.7¢	$1,921	+$206	Trade ↗
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	No	68.6¢	$1,732	+$82	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	No	84.4¢	$1,674	+$170	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	95.8¢	$1,563	-$33	Trade ↗
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?	No	98.1¢	$1,500	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	94.7¢	$1,496	+$44	Trade ↗
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?	No	97.1¢	$1,451	+$16	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	91.8¢	$1,406	+$26	Trade ↗
Nick Fuentes federally charged?	No	99.0¢	$1,382	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	11.0¢	$1,144	-$274	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	No	97.0¢	$1,130	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.6¢	$1,054	+$61	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	No	94.8¢	$1,034	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	88.0¢	$1,012	+$29	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?	No	96.1¢	$921	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	92.5¢	$916	+$36	Trade ↗
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	93.9¢	$862	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	96.3¢	$830	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	86.8¢	$777	+$48	Trade ↗
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?	No	95.0¢	$733	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	No	97.1¢	$721	+$3	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	96.6¢	$702	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	96.5¢	$699	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?	No	90.3¢	$661	+$40	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	92.3¢	$658	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	22.2¢	$628	-$70	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	96.8¢	$566	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	96.5¢	$532	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.8¢	$518	+$10	Trade ↗
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	85.4¢	$510	+$32	Trade ↗
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?	No	93.4¢	$475	+$10	Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	87.9¢	$474	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.9¢	$464	-$83	Trade ↗
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	98.1¢	$457	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	87.4¢	$441	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	94.2¢	$426	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?	No	98.0¢	$421	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10.3¢	$420	-$196	Trade ↗
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	49.0¢	$408	-$768	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	39.6¢	$395	-$46	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	84.3¢	$385	+$24	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	No	94.2¢	$353	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	87.5¢	$348	+$31	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	Yes	93.5¢	$347	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	95.5¢	$344	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Garrett Wilson have 1,399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	87.5¢	$337	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027?	No	95.2¢	$330	+$4	Trade ↗
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	No	81.5¢	$327	+$39	Trade ↗
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	20.0¢	$319	+$7	Trade ↗
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	7.6¢	$310	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	79.5¢	$304	-$27	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?	No	82.7¢	$294	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	82.8¢	$282	+$28	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	91.8¢	$280	+$5	Trade ↗
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	34.7¢	$262	+$86	Trade ↗
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	98.2¢	$259	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027?	No	97.2¢	$255	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?	Yes	94.4¢	$254	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	76.4¢	$232	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?	No	91.3¢	$211	+$11	Trade ↗
100kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	94.0¢	$208	+$4	Trade ↗
Diddy released from custody in 2026?	No	87.8¢	$207	-$11	Trade ↗
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?	No	88.9¢	$205	+$9	Trade ↗
Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	88.5¢	$203	-$270	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
17d ago	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	SELL	No	96.5¢	$11,043