DEGENKHAN

61Qualified whaleProven trader

0x21d0c129deb8a7f7e1569045200d20e23862ce91· stats updated 19h ago

Realized PnL

+$154,517

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$293,747

Capital deployed

$9,190,886

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$21,368

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

451

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 14.8/30Return 1.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 61.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	95.3¢	$27,103	+$390	Trade ↗
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$14,496	-$344	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	91.8¢	$13,877	-$42	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	97.7¢	$13,325	+$5	Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?	No	94.6¢	$12,094	+$249	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	93.2¢	$11,504	+$302	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?	No	83.7¢	$11,483	+$1,031	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	94.2¢	$9,034	+$173	Trade ↗
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	96.9¢	$8,869	+$19	Trade ↗
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	89.4¢	$7,186	+$507	Trade ↗
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	91.4¢	$6,280	+$123	Trade ↗
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	96.4¢	$5,929	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	92.9¢	$4,900	+$264	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	97.4¢	$4,798	-$23	Trade ↗
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	No	94.9¢	$4,742	+$145	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	95.6¢	$4,675	-$122	Trade ↗
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	18.9¢	$3,995	+$2,012	Trade ↗
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	25.6¢	$3,812	+$2,097	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	No	95.8¢	$3,711	+$72	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	79.3¢	$3,653	-$1,213	Trade ↗
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	93.7¢	$3,568	+$58	Trade ↗
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	87.0¢	$3,535	+$282	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	No	85.3¢	$3,238	+$346	Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	89.0¢	$2,951	+$143	Trade ↗
Tom Lee charged by December 31?	No	94.8¢	$2,469	+$66	Trade ↗
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?	No	94.6¢	$2,454	+$2	Trade ↗
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	No	70.1¢	$2,391	+$430	Trade ↗
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	96.8¢	$2,157	+$34	Trade ↗
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?	No	92.0¢	$2,129	+$34	Trade ↗
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	90.2¢	$2,109	+$175	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	95.3¢	$2,026	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	81.7¢	$1,994	+$279	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	No	97.0¢	$1,967	+$5	Trade ↗
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?	No	97.3¢	$1,930	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	91.6¢	$1,881	+$39	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	97.5¢	$1,752	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	93.3¢	$1,689	+$40	Trade ↗
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?	No	98.4¢	$1,610	+$1	Trade ↗
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	92.5¢	$1,590	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	11.1¢	$1,421	+$749	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	97.7¢	$1,416	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	97.1¢	$1,377	+$14	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	96.5¢	$1,350	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	No	94.0¢	$1,290	+$30	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	No	96.9¢	$1,267	+$0	Trade ↗
Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	98.9¢	$1,234	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	81.6¢	$1,198	-$71	Trade ↗
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	93.5¢	$1,195	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	91.7¢	$1,193	+$71	Trade ↗
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	92.0¢	$1,134	-$19	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	83.2¢	$1,127	-$449	Trade ↗
Will Elijah Arroyo finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	93.3¢	$1,118	+$51	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?	No	98.5¢	$1,046	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Jeremiyah Love finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	81.9¢	$1,011	+$111	Trade ↗
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?	No	92.2¢	$1,007	+$26	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	97.5¢	$970	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	97.8¢	$967	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?	No	91.5¢	$963	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	92.5¢	$915	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	No	98.2¢	$871	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	82.7¢	$829	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?	No	95.9¢	$824	+$19	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	Yes	95.8¢	$801	+$11	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?	No	93.9¢	$785	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?	No	95.4¢	$761	+$2	Trade ↗
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	93.3¢	$731	+$23	Trade ↗
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	14.5¢	$726	+$450	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	89.0¢	$713	-$34	Trade ↗
Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027?	No	96.4¢	$679	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	93.1¢	$677	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	96.3¢	$629	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	82.7¢	$626	-$42	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	97.0¢	$625	+$1	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	97.6¢	$527	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	97.5¢	$525	+$0	Trade ↗
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	41.0¢	$519	+$97	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	22.1¢	$492	-$215	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.8¢	$491	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	9.6¢	$480	-$6	Trade ↗
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	91.0¢	$478	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Ray Davis finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	89.3¢	$468	+$38	Trade ↗
Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?	Yes	33.8¢	$465	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Austin Hooper finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	94.4¢	$462	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	87.4¢	$454	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Tommy Tremble finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	92.8¢	$452	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	94.2¢	$441	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	15.1¢	$427	+$80	Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	88.2¢	$421	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Austin Hooper finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	93.8¢	$419	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?	No	93.6¢	$417	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	8.6¢	$413	-$131	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	17.5¢	$412	+$167	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	No	90.6¢	$407	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	44.2¢	$407	-$793	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	84.3¢	$398	+$37	Trade ↗
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	Yes	92.8¢	$396	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Travis Etienne Jr. finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	95.8¢	$376	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Tyler Warren finish as a top-5 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	89.3¢	$369	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Davante Adams finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	91.5¢	$366	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Blake Corum finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	94.0¢	$355	+$13	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
10d ago	US recession by end of 2026?	SELL	No	92.0¢	$10,326
63d ago	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	SELL	No	96.5¢	$11,043