The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA

78Qualified whaleProven trader

0x0c0e270cf879583d6a0142fc817e05b768d0434e· stats updated 8h ago

Realized PnL

+$4,996,206

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$1,370,036

Capital deployed

$103,599,349

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$1,514,874

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

119

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 4.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.9Total 78.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	86.7¢	$406,304	-$5,467	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	97.2¢	$300,627	+$4,408	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	95.3¢	$261,843	+$11,147	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	91.5¢	$109,507	+$3,483	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	99.3¢	$55,025	+$138	Trade ↗
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	79.0¢	$28,085	+$2,444	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	62.3¢	$25,006	+$7,391	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	95.7¢	$22,302	+$818	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	70.0¢	$15,982	+$335	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	82.0¢	$14,674	-$414	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	92.4¢	$12,547	+$274	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	No	92.3¢	$12,355	+$493	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	90.8¢	$10,896	+$309	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	94.6¢	$8,912	+$446	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	36.9¢	$7,557	-$288	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$7,175	+$3,369	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$7,016	+$3,294	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	70.0¢	$6,390	+$90	Trade ↗
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?	No	98.8¢	$6,011	+$43	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	85.1¢	$4,266	-$301	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$3,451	-$624	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$3,431	-$374	Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$3,431	-$374	Trade ↗
Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?	No	88.0¢	$2,948	+$322	Trade ↗
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	No	91.5¢	$2,696	+$126	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?	No	61.9¢	$2,565	+$344	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	98.3¢	$2,324	+$13	Trade ↗
Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?	No	89.6¢	$1,906	+$11	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	80.0¢	$1,630	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	97.6¢	$1,577	+$29	Trade ↗
Senate control favorite on November 2?	Democratic Party	91.0¢	$1,502	+$106	Trade ↗
Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	85.0¢	$1,161	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$1,102	-$1,848	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?	Yes	27.8¢	$1,040	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	48.6¢	$1,014	+$380	Trade ↗
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$962	-$3,205	Trade ↗
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$935	-$3,115	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	66.0¢	$665	+$5	Trade ↗
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$661	-$2,289	Trade ↗
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$661	-$2,289	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$636	-$1,901	Trade ↗
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	Yes	21.5¢	$612	+$106	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	95.0¢	$554	+$24	Trade ↗
Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?	No	91.0¢	$550	+$48	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	98.7¢	$535	+$2	Trade ↗
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?	No	97.4¢	$506	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?	No	84.0¢	$487	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$428	-$1,482	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	36.0¢	$373	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$321	-$3,846	Trade ↗
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$321	-$3,846	Trade ↗
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$312	-$3,494	Trade ↗
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$312	-$3,494	Trade ↗
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$312	-$3,494	Trade ↗
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$312	-$3,494	Trade ↗
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$312	-$3,494	Trade ↗
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$312	-$3,494	Trade ↗
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$312	-$3,494	Trade ↗
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$312	-$3,494	Trade ↗
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$312	-$3,494	Trade ↗
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$312	-$3,494	Trade ↗
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$312	-$3,494	Trade ↗
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$312	-$3,494	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	23.0¢	$279	-$59	Trade ↗
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$275	-$916	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?	No	81.0¢	$269	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$220	-$2,730	Trade ↗
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$220	-$2,730	Trade ↗
House control favorite on November 2?	Democratic Party	97.0¢	$184	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$170	-$204	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	81.0¢	$161	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$120	-$31	Trade ↗
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	No	50.0¢	$100	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$96	-$1,077	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	79.0¢	$88	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$45	-$35	Trade ↗
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$39	-$64	Trade ↗
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$39	-$63	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.5¢	$39	-$103	Trade ↗
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$39	-$80	Trade ↗
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$39	-$110	Trade ↗
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$35	-$125	Trade ↗
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$32	-$22	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	61.0¢	$31	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	62.0¢	$31	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$30	-$336	Trade ↗
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.5¢	$25	-$249	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.5¢	$25	-$226	Trade ↗
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$22	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$13	-$92	Trade ↗
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$13	-$134	Trade ↗
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$13	-$91	Trade ↗
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$12	-$143	Trade ↗
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$11	-$129	Trade ↗
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.5¢	$10	-$85	Trade ↗
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$10	-$123	Trade ↗
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$10	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	86.0¢	$9	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	80.0¢	$9	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	87.0¢	$7	+$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
3d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	SELL	No	99.5¢	$15,096
3d ago	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	BUY	Yes	79.0¢	$25,396
8d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	BUY	No	99.3¢	$69,953
14d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	BUY	No	93.0¢	$15,347
16d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	BUY	No	91.0¢	$23,741
16d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	BUY	No	97.7¢	$60,040
18d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	SELL	No	87.0¢	$18,563
26d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	99.6¢	$20,278
27d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	99.6¢	$11,057
28d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$12,175
30d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SELL	No	78.0¢	$10,191
32d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	99.2¢	$21,629
36d ago	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	BUY	No	95.0¢	$11,131
37d ago	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	BUY	No	95.0¢	$10,557
38d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	BUY	No	93.0¢	$13,260
38d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	BUY	No	96.0¢	$25,073
38d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	BUY	No	98.6¢	$15,851
38d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	99.0¢	$39,801
38d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	98.8¢	$19,760
39d ago	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$13,242
39d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	SELL	No	98.7¢	$13,110
44d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BUY	No	84.0¢	$13,562
45d ago	Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	98.0¢	$11,773
45d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	SELL	No	99.6¢	$20,902
45d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	SELL	No	99.6¢	$39,712