The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA

78Qualified whaleProven trader

0x0c0e270cf879583d6a0142fc817e05b768d0434e· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$5,113,267

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$1,429,738

Capital deployed

$106,828,939

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$963,675

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

105

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 4.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.3Total 77.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	86.6¢	$452,328	+$19,575	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	97.8¢	$222,720	+$3,916	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	87.0¢	$158,411	+$17,445	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	52.0¢	$102,451	+$31,905	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	92.6¢	$97,652	+$6,333	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$66,950	+$40,950	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$61,750	+$35,750	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	95.4¢	$59,322	+$361	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	96.1¢	$41,549	+$65	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	92.3¢	$39,000	+$918	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$21,883	+$659	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	80.9¢	$16,525	+$2,374	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	87.8¢	$12,444	+$500	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$10,918	+$6,044	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	87.0¢	$8,830	-$51	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	92.5¢	$8,367	+$488	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	86.0¢	$5,573	-$167	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	65.0¢	$5,156	-$1,480	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	87.2¢	$3,724	+$252	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$3,704	-$20	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	99.4¢	$3,175	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$2,823	-$2,078	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	66.0¢	$2,459	+$561	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	86.0¢	$1,662	$0	Trade ↗
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$1,603	-$3,407	Trade ↗
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$1,102	-$2,341	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	48.6¢	$1,080	+$446	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$1,060	-$2,252	Trade ↗
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$962	-$4,048	Trade ↗
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$962	-$4,048	Trade ↗
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$936	-$3,938	Trade ↗
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$936	-$3,938	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$936	-$3,938	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	86.0¢	$801	+$48	Trade ↗
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$661	-$2,782	Trade ↗
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$661	-$2,782	Trade ↗
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$661	-$2,782	Trade ↗
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$418	-$208,560	Trade ↗
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$321	-$4,690	Trade ↗
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$321	-$4,690	Trade ↗
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$321	-$4,690	Trade ↗
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$312	-$4,562	Trade ↗
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$312	-$4,562	Trade ↗
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$312	-$4,562	Trade ↗
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$312	-$4,562	Trade ↗
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$312	-$4,562	Trade ↗
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$312	-$4,562	Trade ↗
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$312	-$4,562	Trade ↗
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$312	-$4,562	Trade ↗
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$312	-$4,562	Trade ↗
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$312	-$4,562	Trade ↗
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$281	-$118	Trade ↗
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$220	-$3,222	Trade ↗
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$220	-$3,222	Trade ↗
Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 10–15%?	No	99.9¢	$213	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Seth Moulton win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by at least 5%?	No	99.9¢	$204	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 5–10%?	No	99.9¢	$198	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	23.0¢	$191	-$147	Trade ↗
Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by less than 5%?	No	99.9¢	$184	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$175	-$9,825	Trade ↗
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$173	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Seth Moulton win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by less than 5%?	No	99.9¢	$114	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 15–20%?	No	99.9¢	$108	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$97	-$408	Trade ↗
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$96	-$1,406	Trade ↗
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$91	-$112	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$85	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$78	-$125	Trade ↗
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$65	-$139	Trade ↗
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$65	-$138	Trade ↗
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$65	-$138	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$50	-$341	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	76.0¢	$50	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$39	-$164	Trade ↗
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$39	-$164	Trade ↗
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$39	-$164	Trade ↗
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$39	-$164	Trade ↗
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$36	-$45	Trade ↗
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$35	-$147	Trade ↗
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$30	-$439	Trade ↗
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$30	-$126	Trade ↗
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$30	-$126	Trade ↗
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$25	-$367	Trade ↗
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$25	-$367	Trade ↗
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$22	-$46	Trade ↗
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$12	-$178	Trade ↗
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$11	-$2,224	Trade ↗
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$11	-$158	Trade ↗
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$10	-$42	Trade ↗
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?	No	93.1¢	$9	+$0	Trade ↗
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	95.9¢	$6	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$5	-$73	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$5	-$73	Trade ↗
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$5	-$73	Trade ↗
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$3	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	95.2¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	92.8¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	87.4¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	91.6¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$1	-$6	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
5d ago	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	92.0¢	$20,919
5d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	SELL	No	98.9¢	$15,955
8d ago	Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	BUY	No	99.5¢	$10,980
8d ago	Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	BUY	Yes	99.5¢	$10,452
9d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	BUY	No	99.6¢	$16,907
9d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$24,469
10d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	BUY	No	99.6¢	$20,532
10d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	No	96.1¢	$28,907
11d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in August?	BUY	No	99.8¢	$19,957
11d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	BUY	No	99.5¢	$19,865
12d ago	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	93.0¢	$17,488
12d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.6¢	$37,352
13d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	BUY	No	98.7¢	$41,958
14d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.5¢	$14,957
15d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.6¢	$28,685
15d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	BUY	No	98.3¢	$10,712
15d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.6¢	$25,394
20d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	90.9¢	$93,618
21d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	89.6¢	$178,574
22d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	87.2¢	$42,027
23d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	BUY	No	98.9¢	$10,349
24d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	89.0¢	$24,897
28d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	85.0¢	$20,949
28d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	SELL	No	99.6¢	$51,792
30d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	BUY	No	96.4¢	$11,761